Fresh-Palate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

1,238

Trades

2,407

lifetime

Volume

$76.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 08-14 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

43% 63% -$608

Crypto

28% 97% -$160

Politics

27% 16% -$616

Sports

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	86	$8.4K	9,740	9,740	+0	No	-$16	03-18 12:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	55	$4.1K	5,811	5,811	+0	No	+$11	03-17 18:06
will trump visit china by march 31	36	$1.9K	4,122	4,122	+0	No	-$20	03-18 11:05
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	18	$1.5K	1,259	1,259	+0	No	-$6	03-18 10:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	29	$1.4K	1,014	1,014	+0	No	+$8	03-17 09:26
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	16	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$10	03-18 01:20
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	17	$1.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$19	03-09 20:21
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	25	$1.3K	1,354	1,354	+0	Howard Bison	-$27	03-18 00:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$1.2K	800	1,400	-600	No	-$204	03-10 03:31
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	59	$1.1K	976	1,306	-330	Yes	+$169	03-15 23:00
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	72	$1.1K	961	961	+0	No	-$3	03-18 12:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	15	$1.1K	1,353	1,353	+0	No	-$43	03-17 17:10
Iran leadership change by April 30?	35	$1.1K	1,343	1,343	+0	No	-$10	03-17 05:39
iran leadership change by march 31	37	$1.1K	800	800	+0	No	$0	03-17 09:54
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	60	$1.0K	1,182	1,182	+0	No	-$12	03-16 02:30
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	10	$1.0K	815	815	+0	No	+$5	03-09 22:38
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	40	$791	709	709	+0	No	-$3	03-18 12:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	12	$788	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$36	03-16 03:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$780	600	600	+0	No	-$32	03-10 05:58
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	8	$776	669	669	+0	Yes	+$12	03-18 00:03
spx up or down on march 10 2026	48	$688	710	1,210	-500	Down	-$348	03-10 18:44
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17 total 157pt5	2	$668	362	362	+0	Under	-$4	03-18 03:57
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	32	$663	705	705	+0	Yes	-$2	03-15 23:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$644	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 10:01
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 total 139pt5	7	$641	541	541	+0	Over	-$25	03-17 17:33
spx opens up or down on march 10 2026	6	$618	600	600	+0	Up	-$50	03-10 06:19
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	8	$586	621	621	+0	No	-$27	03-11 13:54
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	9	$551	800	800	+0	Yes	-$31	03-16 16:46
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	31	$540	1,353	1,353	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 02:31
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	10	$490	348	348	+0	No	-$10	03-18 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 10:13:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb55175…
08-14 03:43:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf81904…
08-14 03:43:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x230f53…
08-13 09:54:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc04ef3…
08-09 02:28:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x462b41…
08-09 00:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x312535…
08-08 21:15:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4aff3b…
08-08 19:43:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdb4336…
08-08 13:13:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbd52d0…
08-07 22:44:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x455953…
08-07 19:52:28	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x03fd26…
08-07 19:52:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x6ba4bf…
08-07 17:57:43	bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe89c23…
08-07 11:50:54	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1dafa2…
08-07 05:09:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3f3540…
08-07 04:59:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x6019c9…
08-07 04:59:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc6db88…
08-06 23:43:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4ef68e…
08-06 23:43:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x076987…
08-06 15:37:06	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x6ef5d2…
08-06 11:58:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x8f5847…
08-06 11:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x76254c…
08-05 15:55:26	solana up or down august 5 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xae21da…
08-05 07:24:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e0d37…
08-05 05:29:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x69e86b…
08-05 05:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x727a8d…
08-05 03:13:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x0caafb…
08-05 03:13:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xc457da…
08-04 20:29:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbce40e…
08-04 19:58:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4c41a0…
08-04 18:13:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x706f57…
08-04 17:54:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f1896…
08-04 15:42:14	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc5493d…
08-04 08:44:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd6f0a4…
08-04 08:44:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x97a61c…
08-04 07:43:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x245fae…
08-04 02:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x164e0f…
08-04 02:39:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5d19b4…
08-03 23:54:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8618ce…
08-03 20:38:41	ng up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x27b643…
08-03 16:28:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xfcad3a…
08-03 15:44:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaa5597…
08-03 15:44:33	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6ee083…
08-03 08:29:11	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xfef480…
08-03 08:14:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3f4ee1…
08-02 15:46:53	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x140742…
08-02 11:50:14	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2693e9…
08-02 10:43:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x11bdf0…
08-02 07:58:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf75305…
08-02 07:58:53	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xda7c4a…
08-02 05:58:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xde222f…
08-02 04:58:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5807a7…
08-02 00:56:30	solana up or down august 1 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x48466e…
08-02 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x951b0c…
08-01 21:29:39	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x55867e…
08-01 21:13:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x8527b8…
08-01 10:44:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x085a21…
08-01 05:58:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x16a231…
08-01 05:58:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8ef929…
08-01 04:58:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xcc11d9…
08-01 01:55:50	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xfe11e1…
07-31 20:56:12	solana up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x1df7d7…
07-31 19:56:50	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x6527ce…
07-31 17:49:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0dda6f…
07-31 17:49:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x22b6be…
07-31 08:49:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdf2ad1…
07-31 08:43:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa4e796…
07-31 02:59:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8f5068…
07-30 14:58:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x66a485…
07-30 14:58:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xccfd1c…
07-30 02:43:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fd656…
07-30 01:59:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xfb83fd…
07-30 01:59:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xeeb9b6…
07-29 15:40:09	xrp up or down on july 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x79343d…
07-29 15:40:06	ethereum up or down on july 29 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x586000…
07-29 11:50:27	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfcd0be…
07-29 07:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4def92…
07-29 03:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xed84cb…
07-28 19:58:20	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe8467d…
07-28 19:58:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcd6af0…
07-28 19:56:49	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x98e808…
07-28 15:45:22	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x466df5…
07-28 11:43:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xe47445…
07-28 04:29:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdb5690…
07-28 03:14:36	Solana Up or Down - July 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x1923ae…
07-28 02:29:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf98514…
07-27 16:43:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf2f250…
07-27 12:13:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6dbc31…
07-27 11:57:22	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x7f1344…
07-27 08:58:06	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xdbed63…
07-27 07:55:55	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe28efe…
07-27 07:55:48	solana up or down july 27 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xdf6ed8…
07-26 19:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x538589…
07-26 19:14:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x490bc6…
07-26 16:57:03	ethereum up or down july 26 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8fb4bc…
07-26 12:57:54	ethereum up or down july 26 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5ffac1…
07-26 10:44:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x52fbd4…
07-26 06:43:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc93e20…
07-26 03:39:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x63cafe…
07-25 15:36:49	xrp above 1pt1 on july 25 2026	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0e993e…