Offbeat-Mill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-44

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	8	$115	98	98	+0	Up	$-5	05-11 15:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$75	48	48	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$62	34	34	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	5	$48	32	21	+11	Up	+$1	05-11 14:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$47	60	50	+10	Up	+$1	05-10 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$44	32	32	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 18:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$37	42	26	+16	Up	$-7	05-11 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$37	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	8	$35	26	26	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	10	$34	35	35	+0	Down	$-1	05-10 21:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	9	$34	30	30	+0	Up	$-2	05-10 21:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 15:26
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 15:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	6	$30	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 21:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	7	$29	220	20	+200	Down	$-1	05-10 21:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$26	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	8	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	05-10 21:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	10	$25	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 20:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 20:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$23	17	9	+8	Down	+$2	05-10 20:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$22	19	19	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 18:48
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 15:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$20	247	24	+223	Up	$-5	05-10 19:14
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 15:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$19	55	55	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$18	41	41	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$17	89	89	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 17:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$17	45	45	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 20:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 15:37:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5f21e7…
05-11 15:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xbb7e92…
05-11 15:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0x8fd925…
05-11 15:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x216268…
05-11 15:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0x3b211f…
05-11 15:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xfdb1f0…
05-11 15:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	93¢	$16	0x737254…
05-11 15:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x5695d8…
05-11 15:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xd62767…
05-11 15:27:56	Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x22c914…
05-11 15:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xfc0a94…
05-11 15:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xcfacda…
05-11 15:23:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x80ffc6…
05-11 15:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x3c83fb…
05-11 15:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x736042…
05-11 15:21:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xfd2e45…
05-11 15:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0xb347a7…
05-11 15:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0ba638…
05-11 15:16:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xb80df3…
05-11 15:16:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x42a3dd…
05-11 15:15:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x41f7f5…
05-11 15:13:54	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x263bca…
05-11 15:13:23	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e2733…
05-11 15:11:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	66¢	$11	0x1e5b67…
05-11 15:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfbd98a…
05-11 15:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0x96931a…
05-11 15:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xe2b176…
05-11 15:07:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xf6abb7…
05-11 15:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x18af24…
05-11 15:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0x55ae42…
05-11 15:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xcae8f1…
05-11 14:57:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbcecb1…
05-11 14:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xd32355…
05-11 14:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xebe64b…
05-11 14:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xca2a4a…
05-11 14:54:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x2fcc48…
05-10 21:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2783dc…
05-10 21:40:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xc08dfb…
05-10 21:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x02e545…
05-10 21:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xb9fc67…
05-10 21:38:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaf799b…
05-10 21:37:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$2	0xe7e38f…
05-10 21:37:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x264345…
05-10 21:37:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xd275bd…
05-10 21:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8e59f4…
05-10 21:35:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x7c50f7…
05-10 21:35:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6ddddf…
05-10 21:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x9974da…
05-10 21:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x018730…
05-10 21:33:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x29dfef…
05-10 21:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x86ca03…
05-10 21:32:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	29¢	$2	0x772001…
05-10 21:32:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x54b774…
05-10 21:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdb75b5…
05-10 21:31:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xda4737…
05-10 21:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc5aa50…
05-10 21:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x4ac4fe…
05-10 21:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf00bc5…
05-10 21:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x206478…
05-10 21:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x23cce5…
05-10 21:28:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xac4498…
05-10 21:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd47c63…
05-10 21:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x7afdf8…
05-10 21:26:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4e066a…
05-10 21:26:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0xd889b8…
05-10 21:25:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc3bf9a…
05-10 21:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x5b6336…
05-10 21:23:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x007508…
05-10 21:23:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x518879…
05-10 21:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x00fbef…
05-10 21:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x15bd79…
05-10 21:21:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x44ff91…
05-10 21:21:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x82ed72…
05-10 21:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x452971…
05-10 21:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2ae033…
05-10 21:17:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x6ef28c…
05-10 21:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x00002f…
05-10 21:16:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xcd9115…
05-10 21:16:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x07036d…
05-10 21:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4e2d02…
05-10 21:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3d9b18…
05-10 21:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x10d543…
05-10 21:12:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x4e7871…
05-10 21:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xcecad5…
05-10 21:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x83f7a6…
05-10 21:10:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x89d39f…
05-10 21:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x113ed7…
05-10 21:09:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x820a58…
05-10 21:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x668200…
05-10 21:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5ae410…
05-10 21:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x41fae9…
05-10 21:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0xaf7f16…
05-10 21:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf01d11…
05-10 21:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x4e08ca…
05-10 21:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x2899ae…
05-10 21:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	33	7¢	$2	0x63b2ea…
05-10 21:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xe2a4f0…
05-10 21:02:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x845bb2…
05-10 21:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfe99fc…
05-10 20:59:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x195786…