Realized P&L
-$107
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
41
Trades
19,809
lifetime
Volume
$293.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.24K
28 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 06-19 04:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 73% +$298
Sports
23%
Politics
9%
Other
7% 47% $-406
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 1584 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? No +162 $160 98¢ $159 $-1 06-09 21:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +149 $140 98¢ $147 +$7 06-10 21:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +132 $122 97¢ $127 +$6 06-18 16:52
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +125 $115 95¢ $119 +$4 06-10 15:57
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +124 $115 94¢ $116 +$1 06-09 20:52
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-10 19:49
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +95 $86 88¢ $84 $-2 06-18 16:53
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? No +89 $80 89¢ $79 $-1 06-09 21:02
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +91 $80 71¢ $65 $-15 06-10 21:38
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +33 $28 94¢ $31 +$3 06-14 12:53
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 06-10 14:20
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30? No +30 $28 92¢ $27 $-1 06-10 16:01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +58 $50 34¢ $20 $-30 06-09 20:51
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +23 $19 88¢ $20 +$1 06-18 15:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 06-18 15:52
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 93¢ $14 $-0 06-18 15:52
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +12 $11 96¢ $11 $-0 06-18 15:52
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-18 16:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-18 16:22
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 $-0 06-18 16:22
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +7 $7 94¢ $7 $-0 06-18 16:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +8 $6 81¢ $6 $-0 06-18 16:52
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-18 17:23
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +6 $6 86¢ $6 $-0 06-18 17:23
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-18 17:23
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-19 00:00
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-19 04:35
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-19 04:35