Realized P&L
-$107
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
41
Trades
21,649
lifetime
Volume
$326.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$442
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 07-10 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
55% 73% +$298
Sports
20%
Politics
14%
Other
9% 47% $-406
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 1584 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +82 $78 96¢ $78 +$0 07-07 12:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +83 $78 92¢ $76 $-2 07-08 05:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +81 $71 84¢ $67 $-4 07-07 19:19
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +129 $58 44¢ $56 $-2 07-09 13:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +185 $24 18¢ $33 +$9 07-07 08:40
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +26 $23 87¢ $22 $-1 07-08 17:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +30 $21 66¢ $20 $-1 07-07 06:36
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $9 94¢ $11 +$3 07-07 12:59
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +20 $7 55¢ $11 +$4 07-07 06:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +19 $11 56¢ $11 +$0 07-09 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $-10 96¢ $10 +$20 07-07 13:23
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 07-08 08:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -49 $-5 16¢ $-8 $-3 07-05 22:24
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +19 $7 41¢ $8 +$1 07-07 18:34
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $7 51¢ $8 +$0 07-08 07:11
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $7 28¢ $6 $-1 07-08 12:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +86 $6 $4 $-2 07-07 14:35
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 07-09 10:00
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-22 16:49