Simplistic-Leash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

9,745

lifetime

Volume

$5.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-19 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 52% +$0

Other

2% 54% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 1435 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773996000	8	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	03-20 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773994800	9	$26	62	0	+62	open	—	03-20 08:24
btc updown 5m 1774001700	8	$25	46	0	+46	open	—	03-20 10:19
btc updown 5m 1773997800	5	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 09:14
btc updown 5m 1773993000	5	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 07:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 21:56
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 10:04
btc updown 5m 1774004400	5	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	03-20 11:04
btc updown 5m 1773993300	3	$15	95	0	+95	open	—	03-20 07:59
btc updown 5m 1774000200	5	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	03-20 09:54
btc updown 5m 1773995100	5	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	03-20 08:29
eth updown 5m 1773870000	12	$13	21	0	+21	open	—	03-18 21:45
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	5	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 03:53
btc updown 5m 1774001400	4	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	03-20 10:14
eth updown 15m 1774946700	12	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-31 08:59
xrp updown 5m 1772445300	10	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-02 09:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 08:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 10:45
eth updown 5m 1774992900	12	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-31 21:39
eth updown 5m 1774960200	15	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	03-31 12:34
btc updown 5m 1772365800	10	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 11:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-28 11:09
eth updown 5m 1775032200	11	$9	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 08:35
eth updown 5m 1774911000	10	$9	18	0	+18	open	—	03-30 22:55
btc updown 5m 1772284200	9	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	02-28 13:14
btc updown 5m 1773996900	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 08:58
btc updown 5m 1772105400	14	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	02-26 11:33
btc updown 5m 1773872400	12	$9	19	0	+19	open	—	03-18 22:24
eth updown 5m 1775028300	12	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-01 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 10:04:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x8e54d5…
05-19 03:53:26	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x1632a6…
05-19 03:52:41	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0x085d0c…
05-19 03:17:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x513ea5…
05-19 03:17:07	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0xc4ecb1…
05-18 15:07:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x103941…
05-18 13:53:45	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x10f1c4…
05-16 21:56:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xbbae1d…
05-14 15:08:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xb74fac…
05-14 13:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe7ac89…
05-14 11:53:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x800620…
05-14 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa1b47c…
05-14 11:46:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14c0b5…
05-14 10:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x09c422…
05-14 10:45:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x24671c…
05-14 10:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f8ec4…
05-14 10:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13c186…
05-14 10:41:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x699443…
05-14 10:25:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8128da…
05-14 10:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xee8104…
05-14 10:06:10	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad891e…
05-14 10:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6791d8…
05-14 10:02:12	Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner	GLYPH	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf8f0b…
05-14 09:48:52	Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fa074…
05-14 09:45:03	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3eec68…
05-14 09:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x34ffc2…
05-14 08:56:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa2ca93…
05-14 08:49:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf352a4…
05-14 08:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8528c2…
05-14 08:08:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05648a…
05-14 02:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x16d60d…
05-13 06:31:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e6546…
05-13 04:09:47	Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner	Team Envy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa17ac…
05-13 03:26:58	Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa17d8a…
05-13 03:03:35	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Legacy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72d1ae…
05-13 02:48:04	Spread: Spurs (-8.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa3d3e5…
05-13 02:44:39	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdeafd9…
05-13 02:33:15	AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40a68a…
05-13 02:21:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a4bb4…
05-13 01:52:54	Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63e470…
05-13 01:39:07	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcdc962…
05-12 16:51:01	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cbb8f…
05-12 11:20:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e0e00…
05-12 08:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8a564…
05-11 17:34:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5c837…
05-11 17:13:26	LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt - Game 1 Winner	G2 NORD	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe013d9…
05-11 17:04:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4a10a…
05-11 16:44:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x318177…
05-11 16:37:44	Map Handicap: THE (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)	The Huns Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c8dd7…
05-11 16:36:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x686309…
05-11 16:03:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f0091…
05-11 15:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8d151…
05-11 15:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28a30f…
05-11 15:47:27	Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	Haunted House	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9aae5e…
05-11 15:42:15	LoL: Ozarox Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner	Ozarox Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x95f9e4…
05-11 15:35:05	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Two Move - Game 2 Winner	Two Move	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad2366…
05-11 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf96e30…
05-11 15:12:16	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Johnny Speeds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69f2d6…
05-11 14:48:51	Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	Haunted House	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc86863…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d84b0…
05-11 14:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c279b…
05-11 14:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8c069…
05-11 14:18:35	FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83eeee…
05-11 14:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5ebb7…
05-11 13:59:46	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0d19fb…
05-11 13:59:30	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xaeb83d…
05-11 13:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x78f121…
05-10 03:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4fe12e…
05-08 12:28:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf46041…
05-08 12:15:34	Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf09c9a…
05-08 12:15:34	Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe721e9…
05-08 12:11:28	Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8287cf…
05-08 12:03:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3b5a1a…
05-08 11:51:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x16a5de…
05-08 11:36:17	Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5)	Borges	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3aebda…
05-08 10:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcd4a50…
05-08 10:36:31	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x797596…
05-08 10:36:30	Ethereum above 2,210 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x58566a…
05-08 10:19:08	Total Kills Over/Under 12.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5c7447…
05-08 10:19:03	Total Kills Over/Under 13.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc33716…
05-08 10:18:32	Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x02ca89…
05-08 10:17:46	Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0f3bfa…
05-08 10:17:39	Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xab4e40…
05-08 10:05:40	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9d0e78…
05-08 10:05:17	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf3dc4…
05-08 10:05:03	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9765e9…
05-08 10:03:32	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9c6e3e…
05-08 10:03:16	Bitcoin above 77,800 on May 8, 7AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfadd9c…
05-08 10:02:52	Tubello vs. Kudermetova: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x61f89b…
05-08 10:02:52	Tubello vs. Kudermetova: Match O/U 21.5	Under	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2bfbd4…
05-08 10:02:20	Alice Tubello vs. Polina Kudermetova: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc70326…
05-08 10:00:06	Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe87607…
05-08 09:59:55	Bitcoin above 79,400 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0c6990…
05-08 09:57:05	Ethereum above 2,270 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x669859…
05-08 09:56:22	Bitcoin above 79,400 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x57b8c5…
05-08 09:49:08	Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Alzon (+1.5)	Alzon	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xec1c94…
05-08 09:48:17	Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x692b83…
05-08 09:46:14	Ethereum above 2,255 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc5fbeb…
05-08 09:43:40	Ethereum above 2,240 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd5c0db…
05-08 09:43:19	Ethereum above 2,210 on May 8, 6AM ET?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc9abae…