Simplistic-Leash — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

15,091 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$12.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 08-25 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

56% 15% +$119

Crypto

43% 29% -$156

Politics

1% 60% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 25?	6	$43	38	38	+0	Yes	+$31	06-25 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?	5	$39	34	34	+0	Yes	+$28	07-07 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 8?	5	$39	32	32	+0	Yes	+$25	07-08 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 4?	5	$33	34	26	+8	Yes	+$18	07-04 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	9	$32	44	28	+16	Yes	+$22	06-18 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:40 UTC	8	$30	42	0	+42	Down	-$4	03-20 08:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?	4	$30	26	26	+0	Yes	+$20	07-07 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?	5	$30	40	30	+10	Yes	+$27	06-04 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 5?	4	$30	26	26	+0	Yes	+$21	07-05 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?	5	$29	34	26	+8	Yes	+$22	07-05 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 23?	6	$29	24	24	+0	Yes	+$18	06-23 07:27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?	5	$29	34	26	+8	Yes	+$22	06-27 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 5?	4	$28	26	26	+0	Yes	+$23	07-05 09:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?	5	$27	30	22	+8	No	+$18	07-17 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?	5	$27	24	24	+0	Yes	+$21	06-23 07:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 08:20 UTC	9	$26	62	0	+62	Up	+$9	03-20 08:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?	8	$25	24	20	+3	No	+$15	07-03 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:15 UTC	8	$25	46	0	+46	Up	+$0	03-20 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 25?	4	$25	22	22	+0	Yes	+$20	06-25 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	4	$24	30	20	+10	Yes	+$16	06-04 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?	3	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	06-09 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?	3	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$11	07-05 17:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	7	$22	42	17	+26	Yes	+$12	07-07 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?	5	$22	40	20	+20	No	+$18	06-04 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 4?	4	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$19	07-04 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	4	$22	22	15	+8	Yes	+$8	06-24 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 28?	4	$22	20	18	+2	Yes	+$17	06-28 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	3	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$17	06-02 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?	3	$22	17	17	+0	Yes	+$12	07-08 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?	4	$22	26	17	+8	Yes	+$12	07-06 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 09:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xda176c…
08-25 09:45:51	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x9cf8d8…
08-24 14:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xeeab80…
08-24 14:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x9a39ac…
08-24 12:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x839c7d…
08-24 11:26:52	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x224839…
08-23 15:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xd2cc21…
08-23 12:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x69fe2f…
08-23 10:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xd7e312…
08-23 10:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe1db6b…
08-22 07:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x36ca31…
08-12 03:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x682157…
08-11 16:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbab96c…
08-11 14:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x9e6ca8…
08-11 07:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x3f2483…
08-11 05:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x8afb3b…
08-10 20:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xe84de1…
08-10 15:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x409598…
08-10 10:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x9250cf…
08-10 00:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd820fe…
08-10 00:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5b5d1e…
08-09 21:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 9?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xc47a07…
08-09 19:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x800acc…
08-09 19:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x140214…
08-09 19:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x2c2253…
08-09 10:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6a5eaa…
08-09 08:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x942863…
08-09 07:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or higher on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x446264…
08-09 06:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x5dc5dd…
08-09 06:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa7d706…
08-09 06:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x228049…
08-09 05:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa83d02…
08-09 04:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x059b44…
08-08 19:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x566453…
08-08 19:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xb7e452…
08-08 16:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc8e6cd…
08-08 14:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x66d3ff…
08-08 04:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc71e64…
08-07 16:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3fe428…
08-07 14:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4cc804…
08-07 12:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x19581a…
08-07 09:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x237569…
08-07 08:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x6b209a…
08-07 06:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6048b6…
08-07 06:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x59d089…
08-07 06:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaec9b2…
08-07 04:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xed5009…
08-07 03:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xc308b5…
08-06 19:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe11f61…
08-06 09:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x93cf8b…
08-06 06:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xaed8cd…
08-06 03:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba6d63…
08-06 03:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xa63b36…
08-06 00:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8f367d…
08-06 00:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb04827…
08-05 23:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2dea6b…
08-04 23:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38781a…
08-04 22:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x15e77e…
08-04 21:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x575715…
08-04 21:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x62d740…
08-04 20:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xcd5b10…
08-04 18:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 4?	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x3688b2…
08-04 12:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb19a9e…
08-04 03:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xeeeb49…
08-04 00:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x16396b…
08-03 23:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xeea3d0…
08-03 22:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0f77ff…
08-03 17:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x49fd75…
08-03 15:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0bb32d…
08-03 14:52:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x89c189…
08-03 11:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa69187…
08-03 08:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xa0b7e5…
08-03 07:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4d5198…
08-03 07:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4ebc3e…
08-03 06:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x693543…
08-02 21:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7563e5…
08-02 16:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0afc4d…
08-02 14:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x1f08e3…
08-02 14:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x7b5d59…
08-02 14:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb8713f…
08-02 09:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xbc4c08…
08-02 09:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x608dcc…
08-02 07:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x439d66…
08-02 07:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x1ad2e4…
08-02 07:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xbcee29…
08-02 06:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x9dc08d…
08-02 04:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf382c9…
08-02 01:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc85245…
07-27 13:07:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xa2d0f1…
07-27 11:27:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb78eef…
07-27 11:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x73711f…
07-27 10:59:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xec3665…
07-27 10:53:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x0db35e…
07-27 10:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x58c83b…
07-27 10:53:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x218cab…
07-27 10:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xe53f7f…
07-27 10:53:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?	No	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xef43e9…
07-27 10:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x6f11b3…
07-27 10:53:03	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xbc712f…
07-27 09:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xbbaa48…