Realized P&L
-$135
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved
782
Trades
2,728
lifetime
Volume
$51.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$691
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 07-11 05:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
59% 51% $-31
Sports
37% 49% $-1,149
Politics
2% 67% +$887
Crypto
2% 73% +$158
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -200 $-124 60¢ $-121 +$3 07-11 05:40
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -119 $-105 88¢ $-105 $-1 07-11 05:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -91 $-78 86¢ $-79 $-0 07-11 05:41
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes -670 $-54 10¢ $-64 $-10 07-11 05:36
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -906 $-45 $-59 $-14 07-11 05:38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -119 $-78 44¢ $-52 +$26 07-11 05:41
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -244 $-42 21¢ $-51 $-10 07-11 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -68 $-58 72¢ $-50 +$8 07-11 05:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -51 $-28 68¢ $-35 $-7 07-11 05:37
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes -218 $-20 $-20 $-1 07-11 05:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -515 $-10 $-18 $-8 07-11 05:38
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes -294 $-12 $-13 $-1 07-11 05:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -17 $-3 28¢ $-5 $-2 07-11 05:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 80¢ $-4 +$0 07-11 05:41
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -24 $-3 15¢ $-3 $-1 07-11 05:39
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes -38 $-4 $-3 +$1 07-11 05:39
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-3 54¢ $-3 $-0 07-11 05:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-2 20¢ $-1 +$1 07-11 05:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -26 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-11 05:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -18 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-11 05:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 10¢ $-1 $-0 07-11 05:39