Private-Horde — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

2,304

Trades

3,648

lifetime

Volume

$68.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-11 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

64% 46% -$1,724

Sports

29% 47% -$2,095

Politics

5% 51% +$735

Crypto

2% 52% -$75

Tech

0% 50% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	31	$700	1,284	0	+1,284	Cincinnati Reds	-$482	05-31 20:19
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?	6	$600	1,221	0	+1,221	Yes	-$24	05-10 10:03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	5	$500	1,032	0	+1,032	Yes	-$24	05-10 09:57
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	23	$495	909	0	+909	Atlanta Braves	+$360	05-31 01:30
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	20	$462	834	0	+834	Athletics	-$462	05-31 03:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptiste	37	$459	1,405	0	+1,405	Elina Svitolina	-$175	05-10 09:48
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	19	$413	773	0	+773	Los Angeles Angels	-$125	05-30 20:14
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	5	$400	764	0	+764	T1	+$78	05-10 09:13
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	16	$400	755	0	+755	Spurs	-$400	05-30 22:07
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner	7	$397	1,039	0	+1,039	Weibo Gaming	+$641	05-10 10:17
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	18	$375	646	0	+646	Tampa Bay Rays	+$56	05-31 19:26
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$373	314	314	+0	Yes	-$35	07-11 05:41
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	13	$325	524	0	+524	New York Yankees	+$199	05-31 20:05
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	11	$296	1,292	0	+1,292	Spirit	-$296	05-10 09:23
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner	3	$291	662	0	+662	Weibo Gaming	+$371	05-10 09:17
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	11	$248	489	0	+489	Philadelphia Phillies	-$116	05-31 03:47
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	9	$225	346	0	+346	Milwaukee Brewers	+$121	05-31 17:34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	07-11 05:40
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$205	119	119	+0	open	—	07-11 05:40
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$205	233	233	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$5	07-11 05:40
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	2	$200	303	0	+303	T1	+$103	05-10 04:24
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-08?	2	$200	286	0	+286	No	+$86	05-08 18:34
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5	2	$200	301	0	+301	Over	-$200	05-08 18:44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	2	$200	308	0	+308	Mattia Bellucci	-$200	05-09 14:54
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-09?	2	$200	385	0	+385	No	+$185	05-09 23:24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	2	$200	424	0	+424	Casper Ruud	-$46	05-10 08:54
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$200	364	0	+364	Atlanta Braves	-$200	05-10 01:24
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	4	$200	364	0	+364	Cavaliers	-$200	05-09 19:24
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner	4	$200	648	0	+648	TheMongolz	-$200	05-09 08:24
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner	2	$200	364	0	+364	Disguised	-$200	05-09 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 05:42:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xc44f0e…
07-11 05:42:04	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x3b94f6…
07-11 05:41:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x581e64…
07-11 05:41:53	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x4868ce…
07-11 05:41:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$4	0xfda45c…
07-11 05:41:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x55083e…
07-11 05:41:43	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x403f63…
07-11 05:41:38	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xd79386…
07-11 05:41:34	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2059ec…
07-11 05:41:31	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	No	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x82718f…
07-11 05:41:26	kbo nc doo 2026 05 20	Doosan Bears	SELL	33	57¢	$19	0xf07ef3…
07-11 05:41:22	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0x381368…
07-11 05:41:17	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	62	90¢	$56	0xc85bc3…
07-11 05:41:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	68	84¢	$58	0xa6a3f9…
07-11 05:41:10	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	450	14¢	$65	0xb8f795…
07-11 05:41:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	65¢	$78	0xc2fc3f…
07-11 05:41:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	86¢	$78	0x212e6c…
07-11 05:40:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	132	60¢	$79	0xaaf405…
07-11 05:40:52	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	119	88¢	$105	0xc1113c…
07-11 05:40:44	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	233	45¢	$105	0x8bc5f8…
07-11 05:40:40	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	93¢	$108	0x038872…
07-11 05:40:31	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0xe86614…
07-11 05:39:53	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0xf186e7…
07-11 05:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x8e1df0…
07-11 05:39:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x43a600…
07-11 05:39:43	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x7b6849…
07-11 05:39:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xf5d291…
07-11 05:39:32	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x7ceeca…
07-11 05:39:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x04359d…
07-11 05:39:23	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	38	11¢	$4	0x57da41…
07-11 05:39:19	Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xa55365…
07-11 05:39:14	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x7c9552…
07-11 05:39:02	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	15	60¢	$9	0x322fc3…
07-11 05:38:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	2¢	$10	0xbf33a4…
07-11 05:38:43	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	4¢	$12	0x61e534…
07-11 05:38:35	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	127	22¢	$28	0xeefc9e…
07-11 05:38:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	240	13¢	$31	0x24d226…
07-11 05:38:26	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	238	16¢	$38	0x5a1bdd…
07-11 05:38:20	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	244	17¢	$42	0xd1d577…
07-11 05:38:16	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	82	59¢	$49	0x835df6…
07-11 05:38:08	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	906	5¢	$45	0xbbffe8…
07-11 05:37:50	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	218	9¢	$20	0x5588ad…
07-11 05:37:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	54¢	$28	0x9ed3f1…
07-11 05:36:56	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	320	14¢	$44	0x69d20a…
07-11 05:36:47	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	62	80¢	$50	0x1cc3d0…
07-11 05:36:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	670	8¢	$54	0xc7dc63…
07-11 05:33:46	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	303	54¢	$164	0x2a786f…
05-31 20:19:25	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xdfdeaf…
05-31 20:05:10	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xbc0900…
05-31 20:04:54	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1b435f…
05-31 20:04:42	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x8fdf27…
05-31 20:04:29	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xfb26c7…
05-31 20:04:15	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x09a08e…
05-31 20:04:03	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x644a07…
05-31 20:03:51	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	39	63¢	$24	0x02ca00…
05-31 20:03:42	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xcb6e77…
05-31 20:03:39	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x0fe641…
05-31 20:03:25	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	38	64¢	$25	0xd497a9…
05-31 19:57:54	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x2490ae…
05-31 19:57:43	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x951625…
05-31 19:57:31	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x83f918…
05-31 19:57:21	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xc34b73…
05-31 19:51:22	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1f1710…
05-31 19:45:35	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x3972b4…
05-31 19:45:21	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x1b6d6a…
05-31 19:45:00	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xe388ab…
05-31 19:44:43	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7af82b…
05-31 19:44:01	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xdcef9e…
05-31 19:42:54	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	New York Mets	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc64404…
05-31 19:27:20	New York Yankees vs. Athletics	New York Yankees	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x512c9d…
05-31 19:26:33	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x712d7b…
05-31 19:09:57	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xb5f782…
05-31 19:09:24	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x38691d…
05-31 19:07:44	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x6c7264…
05-31 19:07:44	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x5c2f04…
05-31 19:07:44	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x2a677c…
05-31 18:09:22	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Detroit Tigers	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x1b79bf…
05-31 17:53:06	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x3bea96…
05-31 17:52:59	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4c7f70…
05-31 17:51:22	Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x4f31c8…
05-31 17:41:08	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Boston Red Sox	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xac40f9…
05-31 17:40:56	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x431ef3…
05-31 17:40:42	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb9d019…
05-31 17:40:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xbc498d…
05-31 17:40:16	Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xaf0a3a…
05-31 17:39:49	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc7908b…
05-31 17:39:37	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xac6d1b…
05-31 17:39:23	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x3c73f4…
05-31 17:34:29	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	38	64¢	$25	0xd9af59…
05-31 17:34:19	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x4b7ef5…
05-31 17:34:05	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x951186…
05-31 17:33:52	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x62bafd…
05-31 17:33:40	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x23c0d2…
05-31 17:33:26	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x0c6adc…
05-31 17:27:20	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xe56598…
05-31 17:22:26	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x84084b…
05-31 17:22:12	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7ab59e…
05-31 17:22:00	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x270bdc…
05-31 17:21:48	Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	Atlanta Braves	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xc12bd5…
05-31 17:21:36	Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x719786…