Trustworthy-Bake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.7%

Resolved

744

Trades

751

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 08-18 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 98% +$2

Other

6% 97% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down july 3 2026 12pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-03 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-07 19:58
ethereum up or down august 16 2026 11pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	08-17 03:59
bitcoin up or down july 12 2026 2pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-12 18:55
xrp up or down june 21 2026 1pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-21 17:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-11 16:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-11 19:50
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	08-13 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-27 16:58
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 04:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 07:51
ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-09 15:49
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 3pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-06 19:55
ethereum up or down june 13 2026 11am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-13 15:57
bitcoin up or down july 10 2026 8am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-10 12:56
ethereum up or down june 21 2026 12pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-21 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	-$50	05-27 02:58
solana up or down july 15 2026 1pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-15 17:55
solana up or down on july 15 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-15 15:32
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-21 16:00 UTC	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	07-21 19:55
solana up or down on june 27 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-27 15:30
ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 15:32
bitcoin up or down july 13 2026 7am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-13 11:55
bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-20 15:35
bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-11 21:57
bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-23 06:57
bnb up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-21 15:31
xrp up or down june 13 2026 11am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-13 15:57
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 3am et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	06-30 07:56
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 11:57
ethereum up or down on june 17 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-17 15:34
ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	08-08 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 01:13:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x55034f…
08-17 22:39:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x426396…
08-17 18:29:13	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xbda26c…
08-17 13:28:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa555d2…
08-17 13:28:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4c5060…
08-17 05:56:31	ethereum up or down august 17 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x26f37d…
08-17 03:59:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x00ee26…
08-17 03:59:00	ethereum up or down august 16 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x117faf…
08-16 19:51:51	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd9770…
08-16 18:43:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1c962d…
08-16 17:43:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6aef46…
08-16 17:43:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcf5499…
08-16 15:50:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf3429d…
08-16 15:43:48	bitcoin up or down on august 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x60923f…
08-16 15:43:43	xrp above 1 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x39db49…
08-16 15:43:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x39e1eb…
08-16 03:58:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb542d3…
08-16 02:28:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x22ad85…
08-16 01:29:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xf0c5ac…
08-15 22:58:54	bitcoin up or down august 15 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x95d09a…
08-15 21:55:49	solana up or down august 15 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc75116…
08-15 21:55:46	ethereum up or down august 15 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xaa6f1e…
08-15 15:49:16	ethereum up or down on august 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1cb6ae…
08-14 16:58:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xe0deb2…
08-14 16:58:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x37fb29…
08-14 01:58:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6586ff…
08-13 20:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7ea543…
08-12 21:13:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x790c89…
08-12 15:41:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x930471…
08-12 15:41:43	ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x9be6b1…
08-11 17:44:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9f4363…
08-11 12:13:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd3ecfc…
08-11 06:39:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe4d0b4…
08-11 04:28:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd8453b…
08-11 02:54:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04fcab…
08-10 22:55:37	solana up or down august 10 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xca0466…
08-10 21:58:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9bb52f…
08-10 16:59:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x15e48a…
08-10 11:58:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x83115a…
08-10 08:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x67e602…
08-10 05:13:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9a6fd5…
08-09 21:55:19	solana up or down august 9 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x812493…
08-09 21:55:16	bitcoin up or down august 9 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x44876a…
08-09 15:49:58	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa9bf6b…
08-09 15:42:54	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xbb187a…
08-08 19:54:00	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4b8c6e…
08-08 15:40:58	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x33e1c7…
08-07 19:58:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-07 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8907fe…
08-07 12:49:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3a271…
08-07 07:54:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-07 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xaab1bf…
08-06 20:45:33	xauusd up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd5e6a8…
08-06 16:24:29	Solana Up or Down - August 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x65c1ed…
08-06 15:33:32	solana up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2d3b34…
08-06 01:13:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x338b83…
08-05 21:55:30	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5bea21…
08-05 09:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9706fc…
08-05 02:55:26	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x084f81…
08-05 01:58:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x523504…
08-04 12:57:57	solana up or down august 4 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e9e44…
08-04 12:57:54	ethereum up or down august 4 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcc557b…
08-04 06:43:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2cebab…
08-03 21:58:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4bb018…
08-03 20:41:05	wti closes above 83 on august 3 2026	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x91bc61…
08-03 19:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xb5848e…
08-03 15:50:20	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xdfae74…
08-03 05:19:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x320137…
08-02 18:29:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x25eed6…
08-02 15:40:57	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xdea300…
08-02 15:40:54	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x092a2e…
08-02 07:55:09	bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc3d72d…
08-01 22:43:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x207e5f…
08-01 15:55:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x220b43…
08-01 08:49:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58ddd5…
08-01 08:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeb4bdd…
08-01 00:59:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24160f…
08-01 00:59:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20a50e…
08-01 00:59:11	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04fcee…
07-31 23:14:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf953c0…
07-31 23:14:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb41d47…
07-31 20:55:53	solana up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x932609…
07-31 19:55:15	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xdcc3c1…
07-31 19:55:12	ethereum up or down july 31 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8ffcc4…
07-31 19:55:09	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x8f9061…
07-31 13:28:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa1307a…
07-31 13:28:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb91143…
07-30 09:28:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5005e0…
07-29 15:52:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x101525…
07-29 15:52:23	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 29?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5bfbb4…
07-29 15:52:20	ethereum above 1900 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x50e89f…
07-29 13:59:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x372e21…
07-29 12:28:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-29 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x31e5b1…
07-29 11:52:36	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf8a375…
07-29 01:58:23	Solana Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd87e67…
07-28 21:14:56	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x335357…
07-28 15:38:26	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xc27114…
07-28 07:13:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x34a16b…
07-28 03:29:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa7d94d…
07-27 20:58:12	solana up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xa42e00…
07-27 20:58:07	bitcoin up or down july 27 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x3b98b4…
07-27 15:32:04	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa4e66a…