Itchy-Litmus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$121

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

301

Trades

1,935

lifetime

Volume

$2.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-18 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

68% — —

Other

27% 6% +$163

Politics

5% 0% $-42

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+19	$0	26¢	$5	+$5	07-18 19:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	7	$41	189	38	+151	Up	$-3	05-11 19:44
btc updown 15m 1775912400	10	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	04-11 13:07
btc updown 15m 1775939400	8	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	04-11 20:35
btc updown 15m 1775754000	7	$28	33	0	+33	open	—	04-09 17:05
btc updown 15m 1775946600	8	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	04-11 22:36
btc updown 15m 1775937600	9	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	04-11 20:07
btc updown 15m 1775772900	6	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	04-09 22:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	7	$25	287	25	+262	Up	+$115	05-13 13:22
solana up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	5	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	04-09 22:50
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 12pm et	5	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-09 16:56
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 7am et	6	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-09 11:52
btc updown 15m 1775898900	6	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-11 09:20
btc updown 15m 1775844000	5	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	04-10 18:07
bitcoin up or down april 11 2026 10pm et	6	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-12 02:47
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 2pm et	6	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-10 18:45
btc updown 15m 1775812500	5	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-10 09:21
btc updown 15m 1775818800	5	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-10 11:07
btc updown 15m 1775920500	5	$22	25	0	+25	open	—	04-11 15:18
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 2am et	5	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-10 06:39
btc updown 15m 1775773800	5	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-09 22:36
solana up or down april 11 2026 6pm et	4	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 22:58
btc updown 15m 1775931300	5	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 18:22
solana up or down april 11 2026 7pm et	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 23:31
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 9pm et	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-10 01:44
solana up or down april 11 2026 11am et	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 15:37
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 5pm et	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-10 21:40
btc updown 15m 1775755800	5	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	04-09 17:34
btc updown 15m 1775810700	4	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	04-10 08:50
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 1pm et	4	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	04-09 17:50
solana up or down april 10 2026 9pm et	4	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	04-11 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 19:12:45	Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc7e8c0…
06-29 20:12:13	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe2f7a5…
06-27 18:41:49	Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe1666a…
06-21 20:20:08	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3603b2…
06-21 19:28:11	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x6cb70f…
06-21 02:41:37	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xe3b569…
06-20 21:47:26	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe22d30…
06-07 19:02:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1bb15d…
05-29 18:17:30	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0d70e9…
05-28 12:00:02	Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x54c2d6…
05-22 22:19:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x0336fd…
05-22 22:19:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xef3ac6…
05-22 22:00:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x2c47e3…
05-22 22:00:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb69b4a…
05-22 22:00:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5428d7…
05-22 22:00:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa71d13…
05-22 21:48:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x42039f…
05-22 21:48:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xed6464…
05-22 21:47:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13de3f…
05-22 21:40:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x197b39…
05-17 23:21:09	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa54232…
05-17 23:20:53	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x84e22b…
05-17 22:32:02	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb392de…
05-17 21:02:00	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x9b3e65…
05-17 19:36:25	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb71783…
05-17 07:13:34	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x544f13…
05-17 07:13:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x29fc65…
05-17 07:13:15	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdfaf60…
05-17 07:10:41	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb5f60b…
05-17 07:09:21	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x035288…
05-17 07:08:58	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd33188…
05-16 14:03:05	Will Trump post "Game" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x11ec76…
05-16 14:03:03	Will Trump post "Game" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf1bbc5…
05-16 14:03:03	Will Trump post "Game" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbc61aa…
05-16 14:03:03	Will Trump post "Game" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5afe44…
05-16 11:00:34	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec1784…
05-16 10:40:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x00607f…
05-16 10:39:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf64c39…
05-16 10:39:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2fb591…
05-16 10:39:32	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe7747c…
05-16 10:39:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x49849b…
05-16 10:37:47	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0x4483da…
05-16 10:34:55	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x5c1f91…
05-16 08:42:33	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9c49a1…
05-16 08:42:03	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07d3cd…
05-16 08:40:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xcb9842…
05-16 08:34:44	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x696f0a…
05-16 08:34:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc87e56…
05-16 08:34:31	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x12f58e…
05-16 08:34:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x037e59…
05-16 08:34:09	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc277e7…
05-16 08:34:05	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x03a833…
05-16 08:29:18	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf0e1b0…
05-16 08:29:08	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x833cf6…
05-16 08:28:55	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x535a5f…
05-16 03:33:44	Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x429331…
05-16 03:33:40	Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf53388…
05-16 03:33:40	Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xece6ba…
05-16 03:33:40	Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xab4e72…
05-16 03:33:40	Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x33264f…
05-15 19:21:46	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c2d44…
05-15 14:08:17	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcefbea…
05-15 14:07:39	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x436d67…
05-15 11:36:01	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe5d729…
05-15 10:55:40	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd405a5…
05-15 10:55:05	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3aec05…
05-15 10:31:45	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc1e38d…
05-15 10:31:45	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb2ab3e…
05-15 10:31:44	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdc0425…
05-15 10:31:44	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x4c249c…
05-15 10:31:38	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x4c554d…
05-15 10:31:38	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x274b6f…
05-15 10:31:35	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xd2e2a7…
05-15 10:31:35	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x72f708…
05-15 10:31:35	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x68f087…
05-15 10:31:35	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x04dca2…
05-15 01:35:12	Will Trump say "Regime change" this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc81f9…
05-15 01:15:28	Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec51ec…
05-15 01:01:26	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b3659…
05-15 00:57:51	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6fae13…
05-15 00:53:56	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6ac4d9…
05-14 23:56:44	Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6c32cc…
05-14 23:23:03	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xec7a7e…
05-14 23:05:16	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x78f656…
05-14 23:01:00	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0ea134…
05-14 20:49:19	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 14?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa38906…
05-14 20:49:10	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 14?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcbdcac…
05-14 19:59:16	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x08c602…
05-14 19:58:25	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0xe26bb5…
05-14 19:58:22	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcfa9db…
05-14 19:58:16	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3a9630…
05-14 19:58:15	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x44a716…
05-14 19:58:15	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x11bbba…
05-14 19:58:06	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x7bc138…
05-14 19:57:59	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x3484a2…
05-14 19:57:33	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xf920b4…
05-14 19:57:31	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x40133c…
05-14 19:57:13	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xd7e6ca…
05-14 19:57:12	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3df6dd…
05-14 19:56:14	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x277264…