Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?
open
Total volume
$719
$579 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$3,769
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
54¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 18:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-79.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $33
vs crowd: 80% YES on $412)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $190 | $33 | +$157 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $138 | $51 | +$87 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Median | 7 | $72 | $1 | +$71 |
| Below median | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $190 | — | +$190 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| unranked | 3 | $6 | — | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Up | +306 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 05-14 17:49 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Down | +154 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 05-14 16:21 |
| Velvety-Den-Sprout 0xef25…24c8 | Down | +88 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 17:18 |
| Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | +40 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Expensive-Infusion 0xc2e6…08dd | Up | +24 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 16:54 |
| Damaged-Cross 0x138a…8197 | Up | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 16:21 |
| Clean-Pantsuit 0x0ed3…7ad4 | Up | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:16 |
| Phony-Creek 0x1225…2ebf | Up | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:46 |
| Hideous-Stair 0x0ceb…48ac | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:59 |
| Threadbare-Verification 0xc654…55a8 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 18:13 |
| Outlandish-Puffin 0xe72f…b869 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:21 |
| Disgusting-Narrative 0x24ba…db46 | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 18:14:12 | Silver-Hurry 0xed37…2f93 | Down | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x6a398a… |
| 05-14 18:13:55 | Threadbare-Verification 0xc654…55a8 | Up | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xba1de6… |
| 05-14 17:49:34 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Up | BUY | 150 | 63¢ | $94 | 0x16e518… |
| 05-14 17:49:21 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Up | BUY | 156 | 61¢ | $95 | 0x5fcb15… |
| 05-14 17:18:39 | Velvety-Den-Sprout 0xef25…24c8 | Down | BUY | 88 | 57¢ | $50 | 0xb81f69… |
| 05-14 17:16:48 | Hidden-Robe 0x3dcb…e3c5 | Up | SELL | 146 | 47¢ | $69 | 0x93dfe5… |
| 05-14 17:16:41 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x0bfd26… |
| 05-14 17:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xbf27…0f78 | Up | SELL | 30 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x8e80e0… |
| 05-14 17:16:36 | Hidden-Robe 0x3dcb…e3c5 | Up | SELL | 438 | 45¢ | $199 | 0x922311… |
| 05-14 16:54:17 | Expensive-Infusion 0xc2e6…08dd | Up | BUY | 24 | 63¢ | $15 | 0xd8382d… |
| 05-14 16:54:14 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xba657f… |
| 05-14 16:49:37 | Bad-Orientation 0x08bf…df57 | Up | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x320531… |
| 05-14 16:46:42 | Phony-Creek 0x1225…2ebf | Up | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x3f54a3… |
| 05-14 16:21:30 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Down | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x85391b… |
| 05-14 16:21:20 | Damaged-Cross 0x138a…8197 | Up | BUY | 23 | 86¢ | $20 | 0x9b4428… |
| 05-14 15:56:08 | Serpentine-Friction-Havoc 0x95ad…097d | Up | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xb712e0… |
| 05-14 15:49:29 | Outlandish-Puffin 0xe72f…b869 | Up | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xbf282c… |
| 05-14 15:41:35 | Hidden-Robe 0x3dcb…e3c5 | Up | BUY | 67 | 75¢ | $50 | 0x1eae89… |
| 05-14 14:21:06 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Down | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x6404c5… |
| 05-14 14:21:03 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | Down | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xbcffa2… |
| 05-14 14:00:59 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Down | SELL | 30 | 52¢ | $16 | 0xabab77… |
| 05-14 13:39:20 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Down | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xe135fd… |
| 05-14 11:59:27 | Hideous-Stair 0x0ceb…48ac | Up | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x389787… |
| 05-14 11:55:22 | Disgusting-Narrative 0x24ba…db46 | Up | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xf53436… |
| 05-14 08:49:13 | Weak-Resume-Embryo 0xf67d…2de1 | Down | SELL | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x7ef1b6… |
| 05-13 22:18:36 | Clean-Pantsuit 0x0ed3…7ad4 | Up | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x51fa27… |