Legitimate-Optimal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$389

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,411

lifetime

Volume

$213.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-20 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

75% — —

Other

20% 44% $-37

Politics

5% 100% +$426

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775841900	2	$4.5K	2,302	2,296	+6	open	—	04-10 17:30
btc updown 5m 1775834100	3	$3.6K	2,047	2,015	+32	open	—	04-10 15:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	6	$3.2K	206,195	0	+206,195	open	—	04-02 20:39
btc updown 5m 1775824200	4	$3.1K	1,883	1,844	+39	open	—	04-10 12:33
btc updown 5m 1775849400	1	$2.4K	2,514	0	+2,514	open	—	04-10 19:33
btc updown 5m 1771492200	7	$1.7K	1,222	1,207	+15	open	—	02-19 09:15
btc updown 5m 1772618100	4	$1.5K	1,312	1,292	+20	open	—	03-04 10:00
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	5	$1.4K	2,156	2,156	+0	open	—	04-10 08:02
ng up or down on july 14 2026	7	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-14 20:08
btc updown 5m 1772618700	2	$1.2K	770	760	+10	open	—	03-04 10:09
msft up or down on july 13 2026	6	$1.2K	794	794	+0	open	—	07-13 15:37
wti up or down on july 15 2026	3	$1.1K	718	718	+0	open	—	07-15 20:10
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$996	1,678	1,678	+0	open	—	04-09 14:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$946	835	835	+0	open	—	05-29 18:49
btc updown 5m 1775820300	4	$913	1,112	1,054	+58	open	—	04-10 11:28
btc updown 5m 1775820000	2	$864	590	569	+21	open	—	04-10 11:25
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 3?	6	$819	862	644	+218	open	—	06-03 18:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$811	585	585	+0	open	—	06-14 21:36
btc updown 5m 1772617500	2	$784	539	530	+8	open	—	03-04 09:51
btc updown 5m 1771496700	6	$780	522	517	+5	open	—	02-19 10:30
spx up or down on july 2 2026	6	$762	515	515	+0	open	—	07-02 20:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$752	589	589	+0	Yes	+$426	05-09 09:56
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	6	$735	773	773	+0	open	—	06-03 18:34
btc updown 5m 1772619300	4	$726	1,205	1,187	+18	open	—	03-04 10:19
nflx up or down on june 29 2026	2	$726	530	530	+0	open	—	06-29 20:02
btc updown 5m 1771505100	4	$705	2,106	2,095	+12	open	—	02-19 12:47
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$704	498	498	+0	open	—	07-15 20:56
btc updown 5m 1772481300	8	$702	658	649	+9	open	—	03-02 20:00
btc updown 5m 1772396400	4	$690	397	395	+2	open	—	03-01 20:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$677	487	487	+0	open	—	05-16 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:44:28	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	850	42¢	$357	0x69a9ed…
07-20 19:13:09	nvda up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x92b103…
07-20 18:41:22	rklb up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	365	26¢	$96	0xaecad5…
07-20 15:05:33	meta up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	210	56¢	$118	0x7989a3…
07-20 15:03:40	meta up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	700	51¢	$357	0xbe783d…
07-16 19:49:22	nflx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	88	21¢	$19	0x11232e…
07-16 19:44:25	nflx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	507	30¢	$152	0xb03cc9…
07-16 19:43:32	nflx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa671f1…
07-16 19:43:29	nflx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	692	17¢	$118	0xebdc06…
07-16 18:41:53	rut up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	250	34¢	$85	0x2a3a22…
07-16 17:35:26	rut up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x33782d…
07-16 16:15:32	rut up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	450	62¢	$279	0xc3dba6…
07-16 16:08:14	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x0f4e53…
07-16 16:02:25	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	180	42¢	$76	0x7e75b0…
07-16 16:00:50	pltr up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	670	45¢	$302	0x2b9c81…
07-15 20:56:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	498	96¢	$475	0x34c95d…
07-15 20:22:04	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1e2420…
07-15 20:20:31	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x2c802d…
07-15 20:18:40	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x95423c…
07-15 20:18:14	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x65b010…
07-15 20:13:49	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xa13f98…
07-15 20:13:13	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	360	74¢	$266	0x97151a…
07-15 20:12:34	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x6e66d9…
07-15 20:12:34	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x603edc…
07-15 20:12:32	ng up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x473eff…
07-15 20:10:10	wti up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	310	96¢	$297	0xb0ea30…
07-15 20:09:26	wti up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	408	97¢	$396	0x44cb99…
07-15 19:29:40	wti up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	718	56¢	$400	0x80c143…
07-15 19:05:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	498	46¢	$229	0xcd260e…
07-15 16:36:46	pltr up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	125	46¢	$58	0xe304de…
07-15 16:35:58	pltr up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xa58a4f…
07-15 16:33:47	pltr up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	80	53¢	$42	0xf5ad94…
07-15 16:23:23	pltr up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	550	52¢	$286	0x808b0d…
07-15 16:23:19	pltr up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x80b573…
07-14 20:29:34	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	SELL	308	90¢	$278	0xf2458c…
07-14 20:08:37	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6231da…
07-14 20:06:23	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x3a87e5…
07-14 20:04:37	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0999a3…
07-14 20:03:31	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	450	95¢	$428	0x968582…
07-14 20:03:16	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xa57721…
07-14 20:02:22	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0x042e0d…
07-14 18:50:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	Spain	BUY	308	44¢	$136	0xe9c50c…
07-14 15:54:41	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x3b8d58…
07-14 14:12:11	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	114	60¢	$68	0x6f4970…
07-14 14:10:55	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x99e8c7…
07-14 14:10:50	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x7fc97c…
07-14 14:10:32	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0xc5b9d7…
07-14 14:10:26	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x236077…
07-14 14:10:22	meta up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	78	60¢	$47	0xcd45de…
07-14 11:39:47	ng up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0xc246b8…
07-13 18:02:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	261	58¢	$153	0x128193…
07-13 16:41:05	googl up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	200	34¢	$69	0xa815af…
07-13 15:37:50	msft up or down on july 13 2026	Up	SELL	794	93¢	$741	0xe39196…
07-13 14:38:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	261	76¢	$199	0xae5b03…
07-13 14:23:20	msft up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	192	49¢	$94	0x95480d…
07-13 14:22:55	msft up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x1923fa…
07-13 14:16:20	msft up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xd99c83…
07-13 14:16:05	msft up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x33e2db…
07-13 14:15:37	amzn up or down on july 13 2026	Down	SELL	300	20¢	$61	0x6e0077…
07-13 14:12:26	amzn up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xf38602…
07-13 14:11:34	msft up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	450	58¢	$261	0xf11e6a…
07-10 17:47:26	msft up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	318	39¢	$123	0xf09b1f…
07-10 17:25:04	msft up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	539	58¢	$313	0xc64b48…
07-10 17:24:50	msft up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x120dec…
07-10 17:15:20	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	369	91¢	$336	0x7e3b7d…
07-10 15:39:16	amzn up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	395	36¢	$142	0xd3331a…
07-10 14:50:37	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	99	65¢	$65	0x719a64…
07-10 14:50:32	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	130	65¢	$84	0x70dbbf…
07-10 14:30:46	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	140	69¢	$97	0x0a83e1…
07-10 14:29:23	amzn up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	250	43¢	$108	0x7ac16e…
07-08 20:01:58	rklb up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x18bda0…
07-08 19:57:22	open up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	156	18¢	$29	0x0344a0…
07-08 19:43:59	open up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0x5b212c…
07-08 19:31:38	open up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xa9e1cd…
07-08 19:24:31	nflx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x986483…
07-08 19:24:31	nflx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	241	22¢	$53	0x48c88e…
07-08 17:38:26	open up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	400	51¢	$203	0xba53c9…
07-08 17:11:08	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	SELL	350	93¢	$326	0xa360a5…
07-08 14:37:52	ng up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	129	42¢	$54	0x13cce5…
07-08 14:32:58	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	150	38¢	$57	0x178a01…
07-08 14:26:11	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	129	49¢	$63	0xee3e37…
07-08 14:25:59	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x0a1f6f…
07-08 14:24:31	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdf9f7d…
07-08 14:24:22	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xb1f859…
07-08 14:21:53	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5f2abd…
07-08 14:21:52	aapl up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	28	49¢	$14	0x0c47af…
07-08 14:19:38	rklb up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	180	47¢	$85	0x68c5aa…
07-08 14:19:08	rklb up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x6430c6…
07-07 17:54:19	aapl up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	95	44¢	$42	0x8a8d9f…
07-07 17:53:38	ng up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	250	17¢	$42	0xc6dbed…
07-07 14:48:11	aapl up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	158	54¢	$85	0xc6896d…
07-07 14:13:59	aapl up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0x8ddb1e…
07-07 14:12:50	ng up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	250	39¢	$98	0x3e1d3a…
07-07 14:12:29	aapl up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x8d54b6…
07-06 21:01:05	wti up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	368	100¢	$368	0x57c5f8…
07-06 19:28:23	wti up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	368	82¢	$304	0xa6d243…
07-06 19:26:17	amzn up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xbdf61e…
07-06 19:26:17	amzn up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	180	95¢	$171	0x2df5af…
07-06 19:26:16	amzn up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	84	97¢	$81	0x96ed1f…
07-06 19:24:31	abnb up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	250	21¢	$52	0xcfc512…