Legitimate-Optimal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$389

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,255

lifetime

Volume

$197.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-30 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

81% — —

Other

13% 44% $-37

Politics

5% 100% +$426

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775841900	2	$4.5K	2,302	2,296	+6	open	—	04-10 17:30
btc updown 5m 1775834100	3	$3.6K	2,047	2,015	+32	open	—	04-10 15:20
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	6	$3.2K	206,195	0	+206,195	open	—	04-02 20:39
btc updown 5m 1775824200	4	$3.1K	1,883	1,844	+39	open	—	04-10 12:33
btc updown 5m 1775849400	1	$2.4K	2,514	0	+2,514	open	—	04-10 19:33
btc updown 5m 1771492200	7	$1.7K	1,222	1,207	+15	open	—	02-19 09:15
btc updown 5m 1772618100	4	$1.5K	1,312	1,292	+20	open	—	03-04 10:00
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	5	$1.4K	2,156	2,156	+0	open	—	04-10 08:02
btc updown 5m 1772618700	2	$1.2K	770	760	+10	open	—	03-04 10:09
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$996	1,678	1,678	+0	open	—	04-09 14:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$946	835	835	+0	open	—	05-29 18:49
btc updown 5m 1775820300	4	$913	1,112	1,054	+58	open	—	04-10 11:28
btc updown 5m 1775820000	2	$864	590	569	+21	open	—	04-10 11:25
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 3?	6	$819	862	644	+218	open	—	06-03 18:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$811	585	585	+0	open	—	06-14 21:36
btc updown 5m 1772617500	2	$784	539	530	+8	open	—	03-04 09:51
btc updown 5m 1771496700	6	$780	522	517	+5	open	—	02-19 10:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$752	589	589	+0	Yes	+$426	05-09 09:56
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3?	6	$735	773	773	+0	open	—	06-03 18:34
btc updown 5m 1772619300	4	$726	1,205	1,187	+18	open	—	03-04 10:19
nflx up or down on june 29 2026	2	$726	530	530	+0	open	—	06-29 20:02
btc updown 5m 1771505100	4	$705	2,106	2,095	+12	open	—	02-19 12:47
btc updown 5m 1772481300	8	$702	658	649	+9	open	—	03-02 20:00
btc updown 5m 1772396400	4	$690	397	395	+2	open	—	03-01 20:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$677	487	487	+0	open	—	05-16 00:03
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	4	$647	810	310	+500	open	—	05-23 16:28
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	3	$642	910	910	+0	open	—	04-02 19:42
xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	12	$625	387	387	+0	open	—	06-17 17:38
btc updown 5m 1771414200	6	$610	528	520	+8	open	—	02-18 11:33
btc updown 5m 1771491900	4	$606	366	364	+2	open	—	02-19 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 20:14:20	xauusd up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2357fc…
06-30 20:01:56	xauusd up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	241	49¢	$118	0xf74f07…
06-30 19:41:29	meta up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xe18d0b…
06-30 18:47:11	open up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	230	95¢	$218	0xdbe5b1…
06-30 17:02:13	amzn up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	468	58¢	$271	0x1f6869…
06-30 17:02:11	amzn up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	89	57¢	$51	0x36b497…
06-30 16:49:05	rklb up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xf30a62…
06-30 15:36:49	rklb up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xcf9093…
06-30 15:24:37	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	227	30¢	$68	0x6908d3…
06-30 15:24:31	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	49	32¢	$16	0x91de05…
06-30 15:12:16	open up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	230	42¢	$97	0x8fcedb…
06-30 15:05:43	msft up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	93	51¢	$48	0x8c04d3…
06-30 15:05:43	msft up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x0f79b1…
06-30 15:05:10	msft up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9deab3…
06-30 15:05:05	msft up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	126	49¢	$62	0xac8eb2…
06-30 15:04:22	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0xa55c05…
06-30 15:02:29	wti up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	126	44¢	$55	0x442d6a…
06-29 20:02:50	nflx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	530	100¢	$530	0x144427…
06-29 19:56:47	nflx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	530	37¢	$196	0x4af4f5…
06-29 19:10:35	aapl up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	335	18¢	$60	0x44e216…
06-29 17:49:40	open up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x05e823…
06-29 15:07:58	open up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe9ca7e…
06-29 14:57:34	aapl up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0x91848f…
06-29 14:51:43	aapl up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	230	30¢	$69	0xccf5e2…
06-29 14:51:43	aapl up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9e348e…
06-26 19:56:37	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	171	33¢	$57	0x3da59c…
06-26 18:45:20	open up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x1e894e…
06-26 18:30:11	open up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x011c88…
06-26 18:10:02	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3d5277…
06-26 18:09:26	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x6e61a6…
06-26 18:09:16	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x27c8d6…
06-26 18:08:47	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x917a1e…
06-26 18:07:59	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x68e425…
06-26 18:07:58	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xcdab7f…
06-26 18:07:55	nvda up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	104	34¢	$35	0xf9a4e5…
06-26 16:45:04	googl up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	250	26¢	$65	0x94f60a…
06-26 16:11:53	aapl up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	200	42¢	$83	0x9f6be7…
06-25 22:40:35	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	366	100¢	$366	0xf6be28…
06-25 20:01:19	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	329	59¢	$194	0x0b459a…
06-25 20:00:47	nflx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x3b37f6…
06-25 17:23:35	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0xf33671…
06-25 16:50:07	ng up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xb9fff6…
06-25 16:43:17	open up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	81	36¢	$30	0xb69cd3…
06-25 15:56:53	abnb up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0xd1ed2b…
06-25 15:17:46	nflx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	170	51¢	$87	0xfa2162…
06-25 15:17:37	nflx up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x713f08…
06-24 18:36:50	btc updown 5m 1782326100	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xcad34e…
06-24 18:35:31	btc updown 5m 1782326100	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7aba3f…
06-24 18:34:38	btc updown 5m 1782325800	Up	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x1fcdaf…
06-24 18:33:08	btc updown 5m 1782325800	Up	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x462e19…
06-24 18:32:26	msft up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	350	3¢	$9	0x087899…
06-24 17:24:16	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0xd91b37…
06-24 17:24:16	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc46894…
06-24 15:43:38	msft up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	350	50¢	$175	0x7cdf31…
06-24 15:39:59	aapl up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xaef46a…
06-24 14:57:01	pltr up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0x58d6d8…
06-24 14:56:14	pltr up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x525967…
06-24 14:04:55	aapl up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x679af5…
06-24 14:00:50	pltr up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$101	0xa5cc7e…
06-23 19:27:23	aapl up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	144	22¢	$32	0x82870b…
06-23 19:24:44	aapl up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	106	18¢	$19	0x57a63c…
06-23 18:38:02	meta up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	185	42¢	$78	0xd33804…
06-23 18:38:02	meta up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xb5d6de…
06-23 17:45:31	nflx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x04aaf3…
06-23 17:45:17	nflx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x36d0cb…
06-23 17:43:26	nflx up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf5a23c…
06-23 17:09:14	pltr up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xf39bc4…
06-22 16:15:13	btc updown 5m 1782144900	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xfc0388…
06-22 15:55:34	btc updown 5m 1782143700	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe20241…
06-22 15:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782141900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x75aa95…
06-22 14:10:19	abnb up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	115	54¢	$62	0x431caa…
06-22 13:50:23	msft up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x7056e9…
06-22 13:50:22	msft up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	110	55¢	$61	0xb2866e…
06-22 13:50:22	msft up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	81	53¢	$43	0x49fbde…
06-22 13:22:49	amzn up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x1a811f…
06-18 19:57:44	tsla up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0xa3c270…
06-18 19:57:35	tsla up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xd84ff3…
06-18 19:55:38	tsla up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf1ca1c…
06-18 17:40:14	tsla up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	289	53¢	$153	0xce5ecf…
06-18 17:02:32	open up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0xb02bba…
06-18 16:55:14	ng up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	279	92¢	$256	0xaec6f3…
06-18 14:24:10	ng up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	279	57¢	$159	0x5de72c…
06-17 18:11:44	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	665	12¢	$77	0x0bff9f…
06-17 18:11:13	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	370	25¢	$93	0x51cfb1…
06-17 17:39:20	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	665	55¢	$364	0x241b89…
06-17 17:38:59	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	387	94¢	$363	0xe946ed…
06-17 13:55:04	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	33	68¢	$22	0xf221cb…
06-17 13:54:59	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x7efb8b…
06-17 13:54:47	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x047e05…
06-17 13:54:46	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x70e45a…
06-17 13:54:38	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x8b4e09…
06-17 13:54:35	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x745eb8…
06-17 13:54:22	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd7cd5f…
06-17 13:52:46	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf2f129…
06-17 13:51:43	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xe735ba…
06-17 13:51:43	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x2c8b90…
06-17 13:51:41	xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	236	68¢	$160	0x70d148…
06-17 13:49:58	spx up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	370	65¢	$242	0x2e81de…
06-16 20:01:38	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	285	99¢	$282	0xb6ad0f…
06-16 19:15:41	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	285	59¢	$167	0x4dcf04…