Hideous-Stair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

805

lifetime

Volume

$2.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-20 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 82% +$18

Politics

30% 100% +$8

Other

19% 76% $-16

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No		-6	$-5	86¢	$-5	+$0	06-19 08:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	06-17 07:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 08:32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 09:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 13:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-02 09:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	06-01 08:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	2	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 09:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-23 18:38
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-05 08:20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 05:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 12:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-27 07:32
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-06 07:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	2	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	06-03 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 13:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-17 19:47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?	3	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-29 09:07
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 14:15
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	3	$11	12	11	+1	open	—	06-22 07:20
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 10:21
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 16 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-19 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 09:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-22 19:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 08:57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-24 05:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-15 07:16
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 20 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-20 08:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 16, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 08:51
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-05 14:41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 09:25:48	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbdfab1…
07-20 09:10:42	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x577704…
07-20 09:10:22	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x598a7e…
07-19 08:51:30	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99307f…
07-19 08:51:13	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb561b5…
07-19 08:50:13	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd84676…
07-18 08:02:03	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeb2545…
07-18 08:01:51	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb98fb4…
07-17 07:49:27	solana up or down on july 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ce24e…
07-17 07:49:07	ethereum up or down on july 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe87033…
07-17 07:48:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 17	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7c00d…
07-17 07:48:30	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 17	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x950df5…
07-17 07:48:13	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 17	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8539a0…
07-17 07:48:01	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 17	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfd3657…
07-17 07:47:39	bitcoin up or down on july 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0cd359…
07-16 08:03:23	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 16	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5534d…
07-16 08:03:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 16	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x350155…
07-16 08:02:58	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 16	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38ebd6…
07-16 08:02:37	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 16	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x832ff6…
07-16 08:02:25	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 16	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62b60c…
07-16 08:02:14	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 16	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x019035…
07-16 08:01:55	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x514673…
07-16 08:00:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x77c576…
07-15 19:53:26	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d7e62…
07-15 19:53:10	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 15	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x38af78…
07-15 19:52:55	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf15e0b…
07-15 19:52:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xca26ba…
07-15 10:33:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf4797…
07-15 10:33:13	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 15	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xda3a51…
07-15 10:32:55	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9fdda…
07-15 10:32:38	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42bdcf…
07-13 08:07:13	solana up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfabc82…
07-13 08:06:50	ethereum up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc188a8…
07-13 08:06:32	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56c06d…
07-13 08:06:11	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17e0b6…
07-13 08:05:40	bitcoin up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x741c4c…
07-12 16:11:14	will bitcoin reach 66k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x819a39…
07-11 08:18:25	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 11 2026 20260630182730889	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x839932…
07-11 08:17:37	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 11	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb15556…
07-11 08:17:22	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 11	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xedd453…
07-11 08:17:10	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x640ad6…
07-10 07:59:34	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1b43f…
07-10 07:59:17	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 10	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9f66c…
07-10 07:58:04	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x807d8a…
07-10 07:57:46	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 10	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x92e1ae…
07-10 07:57:11	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 10	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x199405…
07-10 07:56:47	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab6fc4…
07-10 07:56:22	bitcoin up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa92e5a…
07-10 07:55:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 10 2026 20260630182730888	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6c071a…
07-09 08:21:32	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b9e60…
07-09 08:21:13	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 9	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa833fe…
07-09 08:20:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21c624…
07-09 08:20:20	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 9	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa1480c…
07-09 08:20:02	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 9	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9ef66a…
07-09 08:19:47	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd500ae…
07-09 08:19:17	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9563bc…
07-09 08:18:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 9 2026 20260630182730887	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd7745e…
07-08 09:48:37	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 8	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9f4146…
07-08 09:48:22	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1f4c0…
07-08 09:47:50	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 8	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x34a111…
07-08 09:47:38	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 8	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x34dc4b…
07-08 09:47:11	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 8	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb1220…
07-08 09:46:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa77b5a…
07-08 09:46:38	bitcoin up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x709f28…
07-08 09:46:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 8 2026 20260630182730886	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x83d2f3…
07-07 16:12:16	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x074a34…
07-07 08:24:07	tsla close above 410 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x48a7c0…
07-07 08:23:19	wti closes above 72 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ec90a…
07-07 08:23:01	wti closes above 71 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa47720…
07-07 08:22:29	spy closes above 755 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x165e63…
07-07 08:22:14	spy closes above 760 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x82ac9e…
07-07 08:15:59	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 7 2026 20260630182730885	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a4e92…
07-07 08:15:29	will solana reach 90 on july 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e70c0…
07-07 08:14:53	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x509d9b…
07-07 08:14:37	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 7	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4c4e42…
07-07 08:14:22	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc15674…
07-07 08:13:56	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99e68c…
07-07 08:13:38	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 7	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x10b4c8…
07-07 08:13:22	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 7	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x788462…
07-07 08:12:53	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa52c0d…
07-07 08:12:38	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5735f1…
07-06 08:11:47	will solana dip to 75 on july 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x763e42…
07-06 08:11:32	will solana reach 85 on july 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9470a7…
07-06 08:11:19	will solana reach 90 on july 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x583e23…
07-06 08:10:46	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x23208a…
07-06 08:10:20	bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf6c05e…
07-06 08:09:58	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad70a3…
07-06 08:09:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x12b307…
07-06 08:09:31	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x299ec0…
07-06 08:09:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78443c…
07-06 08:08:47	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 6 2026 20260630182730884	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7ea19…
07-05 07:45:56	will solana dip to 75 on july 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45a99b…
07-05 07:45:17	will ethereum dip to 1650 on july 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77b2e0…
07-05 07:44:59	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf66217…
07-05 07:43:29	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 5	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf7ae89…
07-05 07:43:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8702b3…
07-05 07:42:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 5 2026 20260630182730883	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x760801…
07-04 08:28:44	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8930ad…
07-03 09:10:22	wti closes above 71 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c5279…
07-03 09:10:05	wti closes above 72 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f173e…