Hideous-Stair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

873

lifetime

Volume

$2.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-12 08:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 82% +$18

Politics

29% 100% +$8

Other

18% 76% $-16

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	06-17 07:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 08:32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	3	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	06-02 09:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	2	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 13:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-02 09:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	06-01 08:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	2	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 09:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-23 18:38
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-05 08:20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	2	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 05:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 12:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-27 07:32
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	2	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	06-06 07:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	2	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	06-03 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 13:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-17 19:47
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 29 2026	3	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-29 09:07
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 14:15
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	3	$11	12	11	+1	open	—	06-22 07:20
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 10:21
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 16 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-19 08:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 09:52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-22 19:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 08:57
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 20 2026	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-20 08:56
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-02 12:18
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-05 14:41
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	05-06 15:09
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 13, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	05-12 09:14
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 9 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-09 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 08:53:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 12	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x07891b…
08-12 08:52:54	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 12	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x169516…
08-12 08:52:39	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 12	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x573f51…
08-12 08:51:45	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xda1136…
08-11 07:54:48	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 11	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec2a72…
08-11 07:52:12	bitcoin up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2b57fa…
08-10 08:35:48	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 10	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d2149…
08-10 08:35:36	will bitcoin reach 68k on august 10	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcecd14…
08-10 08:34:57	bitcoin up or down on august 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd260ea…
08-10 08:34:12	btc updown 5m 1786350600	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc75f73…
08-09 08:31:54	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 9	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfc15d8…
08-09 08:31:06	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x653454…
08-09 08:30:43	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xae17b9…
08-08 06:33:07	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 8	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8bbb6…
08-08 06:32:12	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86ec39…
08-08 06:31:52	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 8	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xffe3d0…
08-07 08:03:46	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7097f4…
08-07 08:03:27	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 7	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6fe4f6…
08-07 08:03:12	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 7	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x85dc4f…
08-07 08:02:57	will bitcoin reach 68k on august 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8a9219…
08-06 08:15:30	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x080628…
08-06 08:15:18	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 6	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f87d3…
08-06 08:14:59	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 6	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ab88a…
08-06 08:13:59	bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x662f37…
08-05 07:32:47	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x62f3fc…
08-05 07:32:33	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 5	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24af7c…
08-04 21:58:29	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 4	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf62b6d…
08-04 21:57:59	bitcoin up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x80daf8…
08-04 08:04:35	will bitcoin dip to 62k on august 4	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdc8ac2…
08-04 08:04:15	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ef5e6…
08-04 08:03:51	bitcoin up or down on august 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x123145…
08-03 08:24:21	solana up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x78b9a5…
08-03 08:23:56	ethereum up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa4dc4f…
08-03 08:23:27	will bitcoin dip to 59k on august 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6cfc7…
08-03 08:23:11	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 3	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x69b0ea…
08-03 08:22:48	bitcoin up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb58fc5…
08-02 08:20:09	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 2	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87d31f…
08-02 08:19:53	will bitcoin reach 65k on august 2	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5a1bb2…
08-02 08:19:38	will bitcoin reach 66k on august 2	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf0db3…
08-02 08:19:23	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 2	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6e521…
08-02 08:18:54	bitcoin up or down on august 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x026a48…
08-01 08:17:51	will bitcoin dip to 61k on august 1	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x164919…
08-01 08:15:56	will bitcoin reach 64k on august 1	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x37854e…
08-01 08:15:32	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6614c1…
07-31 08:22:48	solana up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x15e015…
07-31 08:22:23	ethereum up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x29e980…
07-31 08:20:09	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3a7e83…
07-31 08:19:53	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b9cfc…
07-31 08:19:32	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3afe40…
07-31 08:19:02	bitcoin up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0e72ed…
07-28 07:56:57	solana up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e9f56…
07-28 07:56:27	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa1d12e…
07-28 07:54:16	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 28	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x51f296…
07-28 07:52:55	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 28	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3ccc4c…
07-28 07:52:36	bitcoin up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1eb620…
07-27 07:42:27	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8ea84e…
07-26 15:00:01	bitcoin up or down on july 26 2026	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1fc324…
07-25 07:08:39	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 25	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x778ec7…
07-25 07:08:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 25	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe94224…
07-25 07:08:13	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 25	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x224ca4…
07-24 07:32:12	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91efc6…
07-24 07:31:51	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 24	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1192ff…
07-24 07:31:16	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf97fc6…
07-23 07:46:28	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2066a7…
07-22 08:27:52	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x13facc…
07-22 08:27:30	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 22	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x60cb5d…
07-22 08:27:12	will bitcoin reach 69k on july 22	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f7e59…
07-22 08:26:45	bitcoin up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa16306…
07-20 09:25:48	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbdfab1…
07-20 09:10:42	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x577704…
07-20 09:10:22	bitcoin up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x598a7e…
07-19 08:51:30	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99307f…
07-19 08:51:13	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 19	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb561b5…
07-19 08:50:13	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 19	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd84676…
07-18 08:02:03	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 18	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xeb2545…
07-18 08:01:51	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 18	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb98fb4…
07-17 07:49:27	solana up or down on july 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ce24e…
07-17 07:49:07	ethereum up or down on july 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe87033…
07-17 07:48:45	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 17	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7c00d…
07-17 07:48:30	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 17	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x950df5…
07-17 07:48:13	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 17	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8539a0…
07-17 07:48:01	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 17	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfd3657…
07-17 07:47:39	bitcoin up or down on july 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0cd359…
07-16 08:03:23	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 16	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5534d…
07-16 08:03:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 16	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x350155…
07-16 08:02:58	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 16	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38ebd6…
07-16 08:02:37	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 16	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x832ff6…
07-16 08:02:25	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 16	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x62b60c…
07-16 08:02:14	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 16	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x019035…
07-16 08:01:55	bitcoin up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x514673…
07-16 08:00:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 16 2026 20260630182730894	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x77c576…
07-15 19:53:26	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5d7e62…
07-15 19:53:10	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 15	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x38af78…
07-15 19:52:55	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf15e0b…
07-15 19:52:14	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 15 2026 20260630182730893	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xca26ba…
07-15 10:33:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf4797…
07-15 10:33:13	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 15	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xda3a51…
07-15 10:32:55	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf9fdda…
07-15 10:32:38	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x42bdcf…
07-13 08:07:13	solana up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfabc82…