Hideous-Stair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

3,625

Trades

3,739

lifetime

Volume

$5.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-26 08:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Other

57% 96% -$32

Crypto

28% 89% +$1

Politics

14% 85% -$113

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+18	$5	18¢	$3	-$2	05-13 09:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$106	170	0	+170	Yes	-$106	06-14 08:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$40	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-17 07:59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	06-01 08:32
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	3	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	06-02 09:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 19, 2026?	2	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$1	05-19 13:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-02 09:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	42	0	+42	Yes	-$20	06-01 08:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$20	27	0	+27	No	+$7	05-23 18:38
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?	2	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	05-14 09:17
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 5 2026	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	06-05 08:20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	2	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	05-21 05:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-05 12:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	2	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-27 07:32
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	2	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	06-06 07:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 3 2026	2	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$1	06-03 20:03
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	05-22 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 13:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 18 2026	2	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	06-17 19:47
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?	3	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	06-29 09:07
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 8AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-02 14:15
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-22 19:17
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	3	$11	12	11	+1	No	-$10	06-22 07:20
Will Solana dip to $80 on April 30?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	05-01 10:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	06-19 08:19
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 16 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	06-19 08:19
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-22 19:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-19 09:52
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	05-03 11:48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	05-22 19:15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 18, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87d67f…
10-26 08:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe35981…
10-26 08:21:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x59c0de…
10-26 08:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd98753…
10-26 08:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0cb3c1…
10-26 08:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c00d4…
10-26 08:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd973ba…
10-26 08:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x428f01…
10-26 08:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96ee87…
10-26 08:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb35905…
10-26 08:16:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb06672…
10-26 08:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d01a8…
10-26 08:15:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc272e4…
10-26 08:15:41	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb8be2f…
10-26 08:15:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb364a9…
10-25 07:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c3c80…
10-25 07:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcf182…
10-25 07:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6a026e…
10-25 07:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4fbf6d…
10-25 07:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x084bd0…
10-25 07:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x287bbf…
10-25 07:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xebe0f9…
10-25 07:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58a926…
10-25 07:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x799370…
10-25 07:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1694d…
10-25 07:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd7457d…
10-25 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7ba447…
10-25 07:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe5d4ac…
10-25 07:27:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87761f…
10-25 07:27:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda38e5…
10-25 07:26:41	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf85fa6…
10-24 07:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x896b64…
10-24 07:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a30e9…
10-24 07:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd140e…
10-24 07:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x94ca45…
10-24 07:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4c28ba…
10-24 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b5cd6…
10-24 07:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x80a2bc…
10-24 07:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51d800…
10-24 07:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x553942…
10-24 07:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb9c380…
10-24 07:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0016be…
10-24 07:47:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbb8a97…
10-24 07:47:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 24?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17f139…
10-24 07:46:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a0303…
10-24 07:45:50	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb755d6…
10-23 07:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73c2c1…
10-23 07:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x25d69b…
10-23 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xba816e…
10-23 07:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4528bc…
10-23 07:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4b2ab7…
10-23 07:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabeae3…
10-23 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c5975…
10-23 07:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf99144…
10-23 07:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbc2f5…
10-23 07:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe730a4…
10-23 07:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x32f0b6…
10-23 07:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe91bb6…
10-23 07:51:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98a13a…
10-23 07:50:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x22d4f3…
10-23 07:50:41	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc239ec…
10-23 07:50:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46e159…
10-22 08:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf1437d…
10-22 08:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 21?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf56faf…
10-22 08:02:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 21?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf68eed…
10-22 08:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x57cb98…
10-21 07:48:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb8d22…
10-21 07:47:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1a33b…
10-21 07:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf7c728…
10-21 07:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb609eb…
10-21 07:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xef0134…
10-21 07:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd3ace3…
10-21 07:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8cbe4c…
10-21 07:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91207a…
10-21 07:45:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x724956…
10-21 07:44:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc7d95c…
10-21 07:43:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfab116…
10-21 07:43:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15195a…
10-21 07:42:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x660d45…
10-21 07:42:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6123ac…
10-21 07:42:35	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff6677…
10-21 07:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb8c878…
10-21 07:41:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa1691…
10-21 07:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd21f1a…
10-21 07:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf33166…
10-21 07:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6d2ef4…
10-21 07:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9870ea…
10-21 07:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc18622…
10-21 07:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 20?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbd9e4…
10-20 07:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x315e3d…
10-20 07:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73b640…
10-20 07:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x836e5d…
10-20 07:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd302e7…
10-20 07:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf220cb…
10-20 07:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcc7c8f…
10-20 07:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e37fa…
10-20 07:35:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29d54c…
10-20 07:34:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa69237…
10-20 07:34:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbbbe8c…
10-20 07:34:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf7809b…