Wary-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$669

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

127

Trades

2,519

lifetime

Volume

$110.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

84% 31% $-668

Politics

13% 0% $-1

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No		-22	$-2	18¢	$-4	$-2	05-28 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	8	$2.4K	2,016	2,016	+0	Nikoloz Basilashvili	+$1	05-11 05:44
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	3	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	05-18 11:12
Cordoba: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Renzo Olivo	13	$1.6K	959	959	+0	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	$-8	05-12 14:13
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng	8	$1.4K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-25 02:22
Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukund	13	$1.4K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-19 04:18
Will Aspen Miller win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	8	$1.2K	1,289	1,289	+0	open	—	05-15 16:26
Tunis: Laurent Lokoli vs Federico Agustin Gomez	10	$1.1K	1,005	1,005	+0	Laurent Lokoli	$-0	05-13 09:15
Will Sam Petersen win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	23	$1.1K	821	821	+0	open	—	05-11 03:33
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	6	$1.1K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	05-14 08:46
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	13	$1.1K	1,020	1,001	+19	open	—	05-24 03:54
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-15 01:01
Cervia: Moise Kouame vs Jacopo Vasami	24	$1.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-19 06:14
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden	27	$1.0K	1,002	851	+151	open	—	06-01 13:50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$999	1,004	1,004	+0	open	—	05-27 19:43
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	8	$969	550	550	+0	open	—	05-15 12:53
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	13	$962	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-17 07:06
Oeiras 4: Roman Safiullin vs Laslo Djere	15	$901	1,001	1,001	+0	Laslo Djere	+$0	05-13 04:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$856	719	719	+0	open	—	05-28 15:40
Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin	2	$851	1,001	1,001	+0	Roman Safiullin	$-30	05-11 01:13
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	8	$848	501	501	+0	open	—	05-16 06:11
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	16	$842	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-23 21:09
Bengaluru 2: Alex Hernandez vs Yuta Kawahashi	4	$827	629	629	+0	Yuta Kawahashi	$-3	05-11 02:40
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddy	3	$815	1,006	1,006	+0	Tomas Barrios	$-70	05-13 09:45
Bengaluru 3: Kuan-Yi Lee vs Kriish Tyagi	8	$812	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-19 09:40
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$812	501	501	+0	open	—	05-26 00:50
Tunis: Ilia Simakin vs Laurent Lokoli	16	$790	987	987	+0	Laurent Lokoli	$-0	05-12 06:16
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	15	$782	1,613	1,263	+350	open	—	05-14 08:40
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$777	501	501	+0	open	—	05-15 01:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$773	502	424	+78	open	—	05-28 15:39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	10	$756	502	502	+0	open	—	05-30 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 10:17:33	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	80	72¢	$58	0xbe3f75…
06-09 09:27:12	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x5bb613…
06-09 09:12:19	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	42	72¢	$30	0xb2f019…
06-09 08:52:40	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0x81a297…
06-09 08:47:45	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	BIG	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x93e70e…
06-09 08:45:06	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	139	72¢	$100	0x0b57c1…
06-09 08:06:16	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x8809c8…
06-09 07:58:12	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x2c6453…
06-09 06:31:33	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x5c7cf2…
06-09 06:23:15	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x8752e4…
06-09 05:45:22	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	BIG	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xda66da…
06-09 05:44:31	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	BIG	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x8b1cf0…
06-09 04:48:03	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	SELL	97	72¢	$70	0x893ec0…
06-09 04:06:03	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 game1 round handicap b8 3pt5	BIG	SELL	141	65¢	$92	0x5b67a0…
06-09 03:50:21	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	BIG	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x37a73f…
06-09 03:46:42	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 map handicap away 1pt5	paiN	BUY	417	71¢	$296	0x8ff2f8…
06-09 03:39:45	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	BIG	BUY	33	71¢	$24	0x1a956b…
06-09 01:26:33	will russia capture dorozhnie by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x6b0988…
06-09 01:13:39	cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09	TYLOO	SELL	502	27¢	$136	0xe46f5f…
06-09 01:06:58	cs2 tyloo lgc 2026 06 09	TYLOO	BUY	502	27¢	$136	0xb1d711…
06-09 00:37:58	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 game1 round handicap b8 3pt5	BIG	SELL	147	66¢	$97	0xdf76df…
06-09 00:24:09	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 game1 round handicap b8 3pt5	BIG	BUY	288	66¢	$190	0x9f94c0…
06-06 13:53:25	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xf6b8d4…
06-06 13:52:39	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x65be4c…
06-06 13:51:37	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xe8f926…
06-06 13:51:37	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	62	84¢	$52	0x566b57…
06-06 08:17:37	lol dcg gam 2026 06 06	GAM Esports	SELL	99	54¢	$53	0xf26a2a…
06-06 03:10:10	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	180	58¢	$105	0x175631…
06-06 02:53:18	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xfaf219…
06-06 02:52:54	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x7acb72…
06-06 02:41:39	will there be a double breen bang during the 2026 nba finals	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xd59627…
06-06 02:40:37	will there be a double breen bang during the 2026 nba finals	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x31663a…
06-06 02:27:40	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	140	61¢	$85	0x84c14d…
06-06 02:20:48	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0x0243f7…
06-06 02:18:16	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	250	53¢	$132	0xbbacbf…
06-06 02:15:46	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	BUY	501	62¢	$311	0xd04911…
06-06 02:13:43	lol dcg gam 2026 06 06	GAM Esports	BUY	197	54¢	$107	0xe29d06…
06-06 02:12:19	will fut qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	110	63¢	$69	0xee368a…
06-06 02:10:55	will fut qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	110	64¢	$70	0x2cbb38…
06-06 00:14:25	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	SELL	22	65¢	$15	0x279ec4…
06-06 00:05:19	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb4b3c3…
06-06 00:05:13	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x89217b…
06-06 00:05:13	cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	100 Thieves	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x79e530…
06-05 23:37:06	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x93f335…
06-05 16:28:24	will parivision reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0x787517…
06-05 16:28:04	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xb144fe…
06-05 16:27:42	will astralis reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$3	0x45e049…
06-05 10:47:16	will mouz reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	302	5¢	$15	0x355866…
06-05 08:13:03	cs2 zerote js1 2026 06 05	ex-Zero Tenacity	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0xe5d24b…
06-05 08:12:57	cs2 zerote js1 2026 06 05	ex-Zero Tenacity	SELL	131	27¢	$35	0xd43fb3…
06-05 07:56:58	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x646d7c…
06-05 07:51:55	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x5160ce…
06-05 06:59:40	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xb345d6…
06-05 03:21:21	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	101	7¢	$7	0x75fc31…
06-05 03:19:10	will astralis reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x96a16a…
06-05 03:19:06	will parivision reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xe04a95…
06-05 03:03:12	will gamerlegion reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0x80715e…
06-05 01:49:42	will g2 reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	101	11¢	$11	0xdaded7…
06-05 01:49:28	will mouz reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x3e46b4…
06-05 01:49:06	will mouz reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x574472…
06-05 01:48:03	will gamerlegion reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0x984207…
06-05 01:47:46	will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xea6061…
06-05 01:47:21	will astralis reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0xacd5fb…
06-05 01:45:52	will parivision reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0x6b344c…
06-04 23:58:06	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	51	82¢	$42	0xa59d6a…
06-04 23:54:16	will spacex have exactly 12 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0xeb87ec…
06-04 23:49:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xdb155b…
06-04 23:49:24	will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xf27e95…
06-04 23:28:13	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x5a21e4…
06-04 23:27:01	will spacex have exactly 11 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xd21171…
06-04 23:16:57	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xf00cd2…
06-04 23:15:36	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	SELL	309	40¢	$124	0xc5769c…
06-04 23:15:01	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05	Team Liquid	SELL	600	47¢	$282	0x2c03d2…
06-04 23:12:52	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xee7e5c…
06-04 23:11:58	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	SELL	164	40¢	$66	0x8d8349…
06-04 23:11:58	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x83e9cb…
06-04 23:11:10	dota2 flc bb4 2026 06 05	Team Falcons	BUY	505	39¢	$197	0xc709b2…
06-04 23:06:58	cs2 zerote js1 2026 06 05	ex-Zero Tenacity	BUY	389	46¢	$179	0xe42bb9…
06-04 22:50:42	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05	Team Liquid	BUY	600	47¢	$282	0x993e34…
06-04 14:50:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0xee7ccf…
06-04 14:47:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$11	0x40213f…
06-04 14:18:12	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x70c9c1…
06-04 09:29:42	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	No	SELL	104	31¢	$32	0xf3eb99…
06-04 09:29:27	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	52	31¢	$16	0x1cc5b3…
06-04 02:16:57	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xc275b9…
06-03 14:33:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0xf2b01a…
06-03 14:32:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x8cf431…
06-03 14:31:33	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb38ad4…
06-03 14:31:33	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x4aace9…
06-03 14:31:01	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3db990…
06-03 14:29:25	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xf292d4…
06-03 10:29:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x281dff…
06-03 10:16:43	Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x862692…
06-03 06:56:17	Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xdd06e6…
06-03 06:54:14	Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xce7dfc…
06-03 06:48:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x5c4ef3…
06-03 06:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x71c61c…
06-03 06:41:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x2a296a…
06-03 04:58:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x17c411…
06-03 04:34:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x8df644…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	388	$19.4M	41,512	06-10 01:18
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	254	$29.4K	1,583	06-09 19:54
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	234	$50.1K	14,681	06-10 01:10
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	211	$304.5K	5,888	06-09 16:40
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	210	$729.2K	14,195	06-09 18:06
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	204	$16.7K	3,433	06-09 20:47
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	193	$148.1K	1,758	06-09 16:13
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	182	$84.9K	2,208	06-10 00:57