Wary-Seal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$669

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

127

Trades

3,318

lifetime

Volume

$125.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-11 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

80% 31% $-668

Politics

15% 0% $-1

Sports

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	8	$2.4K	2,016	2,016	+0	Nikoloz Basilashvili	+$1	05-11 05:44
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	3	$1.6K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	05-18 11:12
Cordoba: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Renzo Olivo	13	$1.6K	959	959	+0	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	$-8	05-12 14:13
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zheng	8	$1.4K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-25 02:22
Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukund	13	$1.4K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-19 04:18
Will Aspen Miller win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	8	$1.2K	1,289	1,289	+0	open	—	05-15 16:26
Tunis: Laurent Lokoli vs Federico Agustin Gomez	10	$1.1K	1,005	1,005	+0	Laurent Lokoli	$-0	05-13 09:15
Will Sam Petersen win Bareback Riding at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?	23	$1.1K	821	821	+0	open	—	05-11 03:33
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	6	$1.1K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	05-14 08:46
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	13	$1.1K	1,020	1,001	+19	open	—	05-24 03:54
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-15 01:01
Cervia: Moise Kouame vs Jacopo Vasami	24	$1.0K	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-19 06:14
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden	27	$1.0K	1,002	851	+151	open	—	06-01 13:50
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$999	1,004	1,004	+0	open	—	05-27 19:43
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	8	$969	550	550	+0	open	—	05-15 12:53
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	13	$962	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-17 07:06
Oeiras 4: Roman Safiullin vs Laslo Djere	15	$901	1,001	1,001	+0	Laslo Djere	+$0	05-13 04:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$856	719	719	+0	open	—	05-28 15:40
Oeiras 4: Henrique Rocha vs Roman Safiullin	2	$851	1,001	1,001	+0	Roman Safiullin	$-30	05-11 01:13
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	8	$848	501	501	+0	open	—	05-16 06:11
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	16	$842	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-23 21:09
Bengaluru 2: Alex Hernandez vs Yuta Kawahashi	4	$827	629	629	+0	Yuta Kawahashi	$-3	05-11 02:40
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddy	3	$815	1,006	1,006	+0	Tomas Barrios	$-70	05-13 09:45
Bengaluru 3: Kuan-Yi Lee vs Kriish Tyagi	8	$812	1,002	1,002	+0	open	—	05-19 09:40
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$812	501	501	+0	open	—	05-26 00:50
Tunis: Ilia Simakin vs Laurent Lokoli	16	$790	987	987	+0	Laurent Lokoli	$-0	05-12 06:16
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	15	$782	1,613	1,263	+350	open	—	05-14 08:40
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$777	501	501	+0	open	—	05-15 01:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$773	502	424	+78	open	—	05-28 15:39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	10	$756	502	502	+0	open	—	05-30 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 05:47:19	grok 4pt6 released by august 11 2026	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x1177ee…
08-10 03:51:42	spy closes above 780 on august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xe1b383…
08-10 03:49:34	spy closes above 765 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf23d53…
08-10 03:48:57	spy closes above 780 on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xc35ea9…
08-10 02:24:22	will coin dip to 137 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xa1bbf5…
08-10 02:22:37	will googl dip to 320 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x3cc462…
08-10 02:14:06	will googl dip to 320 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x124d10…
08-10 01:22:09	wti closes above 76 on august 10 2026	No	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xe6f3f7…
08-10 01:21:43	wti closes above 76 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x5ee97c…
08-10 01:16:01	spy closes above 750 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbb64ed…
08-10 01:15:57	spy closes above 750 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9c9e11…
08-09 16:48:39	will heroic qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106777	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3622d2…
08-09 16:48:03	will liz cheney announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241631	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x02cf9e…
08-09 16:38:16	lol lll vks 2026 08 09 game1	LOUD	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x4ac7e0…
08-08 11:34:30	lol dcg mvk 2026 08 07 game3	MVK Esports	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x8b0c51…
08-08 11:24:51	lol dcg mvk 2026 08 07 game3	MVK Esports	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xfc6828…
08-08 11:00:21	lisa cook out as fed governor by november 30 20260807204638265	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe27a0f…
08-08 10:37:39	lisa cook out as fed governor by december 31 20260807204638266	No	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x88d4d9…
08-08 10:00:25	lisa cook out as fed governor by november 30 20260807204638265	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x830082…
08-08 04:36:37	will chelsea clinton announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241637	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xf3f0db…
08-08 00:41:18	will erling haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	SELL	101	4¢	$4	0xd4749f…
08-08 00:29:15	will erling haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	101	11¢	$11	0x797da2…
08-08 00:27:16	will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x9a7259…
08-07 23:43:01	will barrett pfeiffer be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432949	Yes	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xf6c3de…
08-07 23:42:36	will barrett pfeiffer be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432949	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xb40051…
08-07 23:42:30	will barrett pfeiffer be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432949	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x1b51d3…
08-07 23:42:25	will barrett pfeiffer be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432949	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xfe2a9b…
08-07 23:36:48	will ousmane dembele finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x02323e…
08-07 02:32:55	will liz cheney announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241631	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xfc74fa…
08-07 02:32:37	will john thune announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241663	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8f7dc4…
08-06 07:22:59	will south florida have an undefeated cfb regular season 20260804202438640	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xe1c3ae…
08-06 06:01:20	will betclic qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106770	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x578d92…
08-06 05:57:20	will betclic qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106770	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xa198dc…
08-06 05:30:44	will heroic qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106777	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x200c3f…
08-06 05:27:56	will eac qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106762	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x478063…
08-06 04:06:30	will eac qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106762	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x32ac92…
08-06 01:37:35	will 6666 qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106784	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0xdebff0…
08-05 08:51:38	will hillary clinton announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241630	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xce6ce0…
08-05 05:03:57	will liz cheney announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241631	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x20347c…
08-05 05:03:32	will chelsea clinton announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241637	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf5552c…
08-05 05:00:14	will hillary clinton announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241630	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x9a62e6…
08-05 04:48:08	will liz cheney announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241631	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x5c6ce6…
08-05 04:20:21	will john thune announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241663	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf30219…
08-05 01:06:05	will robert fpt kennedy jrpt announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241667	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xd1abc1…
08-05 01:05:35	will tucker carlson announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241666	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xce1e86…
08-05 01:04:18	will rand paul announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241670	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x741c9f…
08-04 02:40:27	will tyloo be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808465	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xbaabfd…
08-04 02:39:23	will trace esports be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808469	No	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x3be18d…
08-04 02:35:00	will tyloo be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808465	No	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xb2a1eb…
08-04 02:25:09	will all gamers be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808472	No	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0xf3db77…
08-04 02:21:59	will all gamers be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808472	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x9a5e0a…
08-04 02:00:29	will weibo gaming be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808483	Yes	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xb026e4…
08-04 01:59:44	will weibo gaming be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808483	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0xacc95d…
08-04 01:18:54	will xi lai gaming be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808471	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xcac5af…
08-04 01:18:27	will xi lai gaming be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808471	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x0bb298…
08-04 01:11:42	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x61fae5…
08-04 01:11:06	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0xaa8128…
08-04 01:06:11	will xagusd dip to 54 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0xf729f7…
08-04 01:01:29	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0xeb0f3a…
08-04 01:01:03	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x0ea474…
08-03 15:32:17	will googl dip to 325 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x7ed71b…
08-03 10:26:48	will xagusd dip to 55 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x101d49…
08-03 06:10:30	will mu dip to 660 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$2	0x92b4dd…
08-03 05:35:03	will mu dip to 660 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0x0d148b…
08-03 05:17:32	will xagusd dip to 54 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x02087a…
08-03 05:17:06	will xagusd dip to 54 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x8cb483…
08-03 05:15:56	will xagusd dip to 54 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xd78fa1…
08-03 05:15:56	will xagusd dip to 55 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xc43e24…
08-03 02:38:48	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x0cf872…
08-03 02:37:42	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x1275c3…
08-03 02:35:41	will googl reach 380 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0xd0eac2…
08-03 02:02:39	will aapl reach 328 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	32	90¢	$28	0x66face…
08-03 02:01:24	will mu dip to 630 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xecc3c5…
08-03 02:01:23	will mu dip to 630 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd2547e…
08-03 01:42:00	will googl reach 385 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x6f988c…
08-03 01:40:38	spx up or down on august 3 2026	Down	BUY	75	21¢	$16	0x76ceb9…
08-03 01:29:44	will meta reach 610 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc80a7f…
08-03 01:29:29	will meta reach 610 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0xd3a584…
08-03 01:29:11	will meta dip to 520 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	65	84¢	$55	0xa26be9…
08-03 01:28:33	will meta dip to 520 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0x8349f8…
07-30 00:51:05	lol blue cont 2026 07 29 game1	Blue Otter	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x7666e5…
07-28 16:24:32	will trump say socialist during cabinet meeting 20260727172357443	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x1ab746…
07-28 09:49:56	will amazon say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260728011934938	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x1ba214…
07-28 09:38:13	will trump say trump derangement syndrome during cabinet meeting 20260727172357447	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x2c1d1f…
07-28 09:37:35	will leavitt say president 60 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550007	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xa0355a…
07-28 09:37:07	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xca6ee7…
07-28 09:36:41	will trump say trump derangement syndrome during cabinet meeting 20260727172357447	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xa31f17…
07-28 07:31:00	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x5bc8fd…
07-28 07:28:58	will trump say gay during fox friends appearance 20260728022316502	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x59870a…
07-28 07:26:15	will leavitt say president 60 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172550007	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfe8709…
07-28 07:25:22	will trump say boeing during fox friends appearance 20260728022316505	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x23ef0d…
07-28 07:25:12	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xa5f38c…
07-28 07:25:12	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357438	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xa36866…
07-28 07:20:36	will trump say top five or top ten during tribute to lindsey graham 20260728013231957	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x0cbf42…
07-28 07:16:48	will leavitt say president 50 times during the next white house press briefing 20260723172420401	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xb471ab…
07-28 06:31:39	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556652	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0x3c501d…
07-28 06:30:49	will trump say job 20 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357437	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd82edd…
07-28 06:27:31	will trump say transgender during cabinet meeting 20260727172357445	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xa5aeae…
07-28 06:13:43	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0xcd9a01…
07-28 06:12:46	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xb19ed2…