Exciting-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

225

Trades

470

lifetime

Volume

$2.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-03 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

95% 84% -$45

Crypto

5% 85% -$2

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	2	$60	31	31	+0	Yes	+$0	06-29 16:43
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-17?	6	$55	29	29	+0	Yes	+$3	05-17 19:10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on May 24?	4	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	05-25 04:24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 23?	3	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-23 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 27?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-28 04:46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 26?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-27 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 28?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	$0	05-28 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?	5	$37	21	21	+0	No	+$3	05-23 17:05
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?	5	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	05-17 21:08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 23?	4	$32	23	23	+0	No	-$8	05-23 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on May 25?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-25 20:56
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	3	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 18:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?	3	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	05-23 17:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 31?	4	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 04:40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 24?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-24 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-29 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-09 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 21?	3	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-21 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 23?	2	$30	36	0	+36	Yes	-$30	05-23 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?	3	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-23 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Down	+$1	05-19 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?	4	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-02 17:48
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba end in a draw?	5	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?	3	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-01 17:22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26?	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	05-26 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 23?	4	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-24 00:07
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	07-02 20:33
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 1?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	06-02 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 25?	3	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-25 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on May 25?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 16:38:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 3?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe08a2…
07-03 12:24:35	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4e6638…
07-03 11:09:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x98675a…
07-03 11:08:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf8dd1c…
07-03 11:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x48b3b7…
07-02 20:33:52	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8a0f2e…
07-02 20:33:43	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc5ae23…
06-30 20:44:43	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x78addb…
06-30 20:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8b2193…
06-30 19:09:52	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25b762…
06-30 19:09:49	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbeb0a1…
06-30 15:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x77ec00…
06-30 14:46:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe4d62d…
06-29 20:51:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3c0c52…
06-29 20:25:35	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x67c0bc…
06-29 16:48:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc09010…
06-29 16:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbe9b20…
06-29 16:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x17c40e…
06-29 15:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x04f6fe…
06-29 15:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x784e61…
06-29 13:45:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfd01ab…
06-29 05:08:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4a977f…
06-29 04:48:47	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb129a1…
06-29 04:48:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16a7ac…
06-28 21:41:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1c9b90…
06-28 21:40:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 28?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x502688…
06-28 21:36:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 28?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1414f9…
06-28 21:36:22	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 28?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd21db…
06-24 21:23:13	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 goals frantzdy pierrot gte1	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4b3d1c…
06-24 21:18:28	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb8ddeb…
06-22 21:33:49	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals kristian thorstvedt gte1	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb1f519…
06-21 21:27:20	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0217a0…
06-17 12:45:43	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x03f418…
06-16 21:03:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2b20b…
06-16 21:03:01	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x876163…
06-15 20:54:03	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8f6148…
06-15 17:01:28	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe06895…
06-15 08:00:10	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x4662bc…
06-14 21:58:04	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x769c2d…
06-14 21:57:57	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xdc08a4…
06-14 21:57:13	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa0a701…
06-14 21:48:10	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa99ebd…
06-14 21:46:39	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x408a38…
06-14 18:19:10	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x623e95…
06-14 18:18:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2e09c6…
06-14 16:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf1b574…
06-14 16:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf88b7a…
06-14 12:46:09	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x163425…
06-14 12:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf27357…
06-14 12:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfb0eab…
06-14 11:48:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xae3d8b…
06-14 00:10:21	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbc8bc3…
06-14 00:10:01	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb00df1…
06-14 00:09:18	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf6796…
06-14 00:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x63e3f4…
06-14 00:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16cd31…
06-13 23:52:46	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6d1f62…
06-13 21:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1e8d71…
06-13 21:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9a5c35…
06-13 17:10:46	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x457d06…
06-13 17:10:31	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x998ec6…
06-13 17:10:19	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x477e6b…
06-12 21:54:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf1a4a7…
06-12 21:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7a4b61…
06-12 09:35:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x72f331…
06-11 20:45:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xb53de8…
06-11 20:25:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x96be98…
06-11 18:53:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfb23f5…
06-11 17:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdbfd7a…
06-11 17:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0bb416…
06-11 17:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x768e40…
06-11 15:10:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x86d875…
06-11 15:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x962b8e…
06-11 15:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x234f38…
06-11 15:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x28c06f…
06-11 13:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0053ad…
06-11 13:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5cb743…
06-11 13:17:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xba1761…
06-11 12:14:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe9d273…
06-11 12:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x17dbaf…
06-11 12:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4f120e…
06-11 12:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa6d42e…
06-11 12:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3c7cc5…
06-11 09:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xda89a1…
06-11 05:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x173777…
06-11 05:03:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 10?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3817e7…
06-11 05:03:03	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5bd2ef…
06-10 20:03:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x06088a…
06-10 20:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 10?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5e7c03…
06-10 18:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x15dd7f…
06-10 17:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x630fc8…
06-10 17:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xebbdca…
06-10 15:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x865a2f…
06-10 15:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x18527f…
06-10 13:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd84f00…
06-10 13:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfa2475…
06-10 13:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 10?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf69e52…
06-10 13:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x0a9b07…
06-10 13:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 10?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa55b4d…
06-10 11:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x26539b…