Exciting-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$211

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-03 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

55% — —

Other

42% 80% $-0

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 22:19
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 20:27
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-19 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-19 21:15
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-27 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 13:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-11 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 20:34
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	5	$8	5	4	+0	open	—	05-14 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-19 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:39
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 21:06
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 21:25
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-14 21:57
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 23:23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 22:11
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 goals brian brobbey gte1	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-14 21:58
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 19:56
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 14:39
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals kristian thorstvedt gte1	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-22 21:33
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-03 12:24
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	1	$1	1	0	+1	Under	$-1	05-11 20:43
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 goals frantzdy pierrot gte1	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-24 21:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 12:24:35	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4e6638…
06-24 21:23:13	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 goals frantzdy pierrot gte1	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4b3d1c…
06-22 21:33:49	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 goals kristian thorstvedt gte1	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb1f519…
06-14 21:58:04	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x769c2d…
06-14 21:57:57	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xdc08a4…
06-14 21:46:39	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 goals brian brobbey gte1	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x408a38…
06-14 18:18:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2e09c6…
05-27 20:07:12	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x70fbf2…
05-27 19:08:22	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4e2e17…
05-21 22:11:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3909ff…
05-21 19:14:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2bf888…
05-21 16:57:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaf7823…
05-19 22:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbeb019…
05-19 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc383a…
05-19 21:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x629892…
05-19 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3108a8…
05-19 20:27:00	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd6c3ea…
05-19 19:59:51	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc6966e…
05-19 17:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4b2c34…
05-19 16:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x24c6a4…
05-19 10:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x857776…
05-18 21:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88ad27…
05-18 21:06:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x055c02…
05-18 20:41:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe610f…
05-18 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf76421…
05-18 20:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc76ec…
05-18 20:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0c642c…
05-18 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x118340…
05-18 20:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x170a74…
05-18 20:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0725c9…
05-18 19:56:28	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x43a0a8…
05-18 19:38:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8f16c9…
05-18 19:35:49	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x976821…
05-17 16:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5f0e1c…
05-16 23:23:26	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e022c…
05-16 22:41:30	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf91135…
05-15 22:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb71d4e…
05-15 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd61cab…
05-15 21:25:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9a9bfb…
05-15 17:04:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5f69d2…
05-15 13:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1f9d3a…
05-15 13:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8cc4ab…
05-15 12:12:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x591d34…
05-14 20:19:55	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd9a358…
05-14 20:19:46	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe1a116…
05-14 19:57:12	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3df6dd…
05-14 19:55:55	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6fd90f…
05-14 19:55:49	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x691db3…
05-14 19:52:30	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc9a9c8…
05-14 19:45:07	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x017b93…
05-14 19:43:52	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd3e935…
05-13 14:36:01	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeebd91…
05-12 14:39:43	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x543583…
05-12 12:40:11	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb674ae…
05-12 12:39:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1a82c6…
05-11 20:43:47	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc2e72…
05-11 20:28:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36eb2a…