Bad-Orientation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

39,480

lifetime

Volume

$406.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 05:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 60% $-4

Other

17% 69% $-19

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	26	$2.7K	1,619	1,619	+0	open	—	05-20 13:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	22	$2.5K	2,179	2,179	+0	Up	$-267	05-07 20:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	41	$1.7K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	05-21 18:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	13	$1.5K	780	780	+0	open	—	05-19 19:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	32	$1.4K	928	928	+0	open	—	05-21 13:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	11	$1.3K	731	731	+0	Up	+$84	05-05 16:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	4	$1.3K	687	687	+0	Up	+$99	05-06 09:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	18	$1.1K	665	665	+0	open	—	05-15 14:50
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	19	$997	540	540	+0	Up	+$54	05-06 17:23
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	14	$947	523	523	+0	Up	+$76	05-06 15:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	12	$940	1,121	1,121	+0	Down	$-270	05-07 18:19
btc updown 15m 1767624300	20	$921	477	477	+0	open	—	01-05 14:59
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	13	$918	580	580	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59
btc updown 15m 1767725100	26	$871	451	451	+0	open	—	01-06 18:59
btc updown 15m 1768317300	35	$840	451	450	+1	open	—	01-13 15:27
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	3	$836	442	442	+0	open	—	05-20 18:09
bitcoin up or down on january 16	5	$806	476	476	+0	open	—	01-16 09:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	8	$801	713	129	+584	Up	+$36	05-04 20:49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	7	$786	428	428	+0	open	—	05-22 19:30
spx up or down on january 30 2026	22	$768	535	476	+59	open	—	01-30 20:50
spy up or down on june 24 2026	4	$759	418	418	+0	open	—	06-24 19:57
bitcoin up or down on january 1	14	$735	425	425	+0	open	—	01-01 15:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	13	$636	388	388	+0	Up	+$39	05-13 12:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	12	$632	381	381	+0	open	—	05-14 12:27
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 14?	6	$616	342	342	+0	open	—	05-14 14:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	18	$611	387	367	+20	open	—	05-18 11:53
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 6?	18	$610	372	372	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 19:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	9	$607	395	395	+0	open	—	05-21 15:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$603	330	330	+0	Down	+$29	05-04 19:20
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	4	$603	304	304	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:18:24	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	46	85¢	$39	0xbd4634…
07-21 05:33:43	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x32a3e3…
07-20 19:30:12	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	64	64¢	$41	0x243af0…
07-20 19:24:10	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	64	81¢	$52	0xdcaf15…
07-20 18:41:30	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	114	47¢	$53	0x75f876…
07-20 13:39:19	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	114	90¢	$103	0xfa4fff…
07-20 13:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x3812d5…
07-16 18:42:50	nvda up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc99369…
07-16 18:30:25	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfa5583…
07-16 17:49:23	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xef7969…
07-16 17:49:04	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x5b9346…
07-16 17:42:34	aapl up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x48eb75…
07-16 15:47:08	aapl up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x6cc570…
07-16 14:42:28	nvda up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x0feb9e…
07-16 13:42:44	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xda8e48…
07-16 13:42:40	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	16	85¢	$13	0x405490…
07-16 12:40:44	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0xfdb1d0…
07-16 11:08:50	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x79dcf0…
07-16 08:17:17	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0x5f82aa…
07-16 08:15:52	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd8cc44…
07-15 21:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfaf1db…
07-12 02:43:17	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	94	17¢	$16	0x170738…
07-12 01:45:38	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x311f45…
07-12 01:24:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x595f27…
07-11 06:09:35	btc updown 5m 1783749900	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x16a90a…
07-11 06:07:50	btc updown 5m 1783749900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x395645…
07-10 20:57:25	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 penalty shootout	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf92022…
07-10 20:56:41	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 penalty shootout	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xba78a4…
07-10 20:44:50	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8a519c…
07-10 19:53:53	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 penalty shootout	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x89e5a9…
07-10 19:50:14	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7f3ea6…
07-10 19:30:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xf2916d…
07-10 18:11:20	spy up or down on july 10 2026	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x596588…
07-09 21:18:31	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xc02807…
07-09 20:45:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb32e66…
07-09 07:23:11	btc updown 15m 1783581300	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xdf9179…
07-09 07:19:59	btc updown 15m 1783581300	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xba18e7…
07-09 07:18:46	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe88fdb…
07-09 07:18:13	btc updown 5m 1783581300	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7c544a…
07-09 06:40:56	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x630008…
07-09 04:14:17	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xa9a6b5…
07-08 19:12:20	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$27	0xade055…
07-08 17:00:17	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x0bcd02…
07-08 16:26:10	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x066ca8…
07-08 14:49:34	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x95bb52…
07-08 08:39:38	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xbba14f…
07-08 08:16:43	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x800b76…
07-08 08:09:49	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x680f1a…
07-08 08:04:28	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x044495…
07-08 07:59:25	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0a5f98…
07-08 07:09:35	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x8a5403…
07-08 06:52:19	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0xa54f38…
07-08 05:56:01	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x10b810…
07-07 18:26:01	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0608f9…
07-07 17:55:32	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6af9c9…
07-07 17:39:16	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x7934b6…
07-07 17:06:04	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x5f78da…
07-07 15:31:50	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xe8c2c0…
07-07 15:30:59	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe78636…
07-07 14:35:26	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x239ac1…
07-07 14:14:44	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7b8f5d…
07-07 14:12:26	spy up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x3a0b59…
07-07 13:44:50	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1d86c8…
07-07 12:40:07	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x846ee5…
07-07 12:39:55	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe9259b…
07-07 12:36:11	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2740cc…
07-07 12:19:53	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc98451…
07-07 12:00:26	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3e5312…
07-07 11:57:04	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe10123…
07-07 11:10:31	xagusd up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	40	86¢	$35	0x33a5fd…
07-07 11:08:19	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0x7bfb18…
07-07 09:09:13	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb808e0…
07-07 04:51:53	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe0fefd…
07-07 04:46:50	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xf6e378…
07-07 03:53:29	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3657b6…
07-07 03:53:29	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x192c14…
07-06 15:51:05	spy up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xe40290…
07-06 15:37:07	aapl up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0xf17072…
07-06 15:24:47	aapl up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x554104…
07-06 15:04:13	aapl up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbe6429…
07-06 15:01:11	bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	Down	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x47b584…
07-06 14:17:10	spy up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xedc9b5…
07-06 13:56:04	bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x47cd7c…
07-06 11:52:10	btc updown 4h 1783324800	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xccfe91…
07-06 11:29:38	btc updown 4h 1783324800	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x157db7…
07-06 08:01:25	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x80ce0e…
07-05 22:00:50	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5045e3…
07-05 21:18:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x4a6b58…
07-05 20:41:19	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x1386b7…
07-04 02:29:55	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x61a44a…
07-04 00:44:05	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x80199c…
07-03 23:40:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa41860…
07-03 23:40:58	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7c3172…
07-03 23:40:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdff953…
07-03 23:40:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xce6d5c…
07-03 23:40:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7070bf…
07-03 23:40:56	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2de242…
07-03 22:33:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x2fd3a3…
07-03 22:32:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xb866b3…
07-03 19:54:58	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	25	85¢	$22	0x96aff1…