Bad-Orientation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

6,417

Trades

41,186

lifetime

Volume

$442.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-01 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 89% -$353

Other

21% 76% -$743

Sports

0% 64% -$12

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	26	$2.7K	1,619	1,619	+0	Up	-$6	05-20 13:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	22	$2.5K	2,179	2,179	+0	Up	-$267	05-07 20:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	41	$1.7K	1,241	1,241	+0	Up	-$200	05-21 18:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	13	$1.5K	780	780	+0	Down	+$35	05-19 19:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	32	$1.4K	928	928	+0	Down	+$60	05-21 13:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	11	$1.3K	731	731	+0	Up	+$84	05-05 16:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	4	$1.3K	687	687	+0	Up	+$99	05-06 09:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	18	$1.1K	665	665	+0	Down	+$26	05-15 14:50
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	19	$997	540	540	+0	Up	+$54	05-06 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 23?	19	$974	496	496	+0	No	+$16	05-23 11:53
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	14	$947	523	523	+0	Up	+$76	05-06 15:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	12	$940	1,121	1,121	+0	Down	-$270	05-07 18:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 14:45 UTC	20	$921	477	477	+0	Up	+$18	01-05 14:59
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	13	$918	580	580	+0	Down	-$80	05-14 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:45 UTC	26	$871	451	451	+0	Up	+$18	01-06 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:15 UTC	35	$840	451	450	+1	Down	+$28	01-13 15:27
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	3	$836	442	442	+0	Up	+$36	05-20 18:09
bitcoin up or down on january 16	5	$806	476	476	+0	Down	+$6	01-16 09:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	8	$801	713	129	+584	Up	+$36	05-04 20:49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	7	$786	428	428	+0	Up	+$47	05-22 19:30
spx up or down on january 30 2026	22	$768	535	476	+59	Down	+$34	01-30 20:50
spy up or down on june 24 2026	4	$759	418	418	+0	Down	-$33	06-24 19:57
bitcoin up or down on january 1	14	$735	425	425	+0	Up	+$21	01-01 15:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	13	$636	388	388	+0	Up	+$39	05-13 12:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	12	$632	381	381	+0	Up	+$96	05-14 12:27
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 14?	6	$616	342	342	+0	Up	+$41	05-14 14:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	18	$611	387	367	+20	Up	+$39	05-18 11:53
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 6?	18	$610	372	372	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 19:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	9	$607	395	395	+0	Down	+$19	05-21 15:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$603	330	330	+0	Down	+$29	05-04 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 06:58:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x2b06b4…
10-01 06:50:09	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0xfc3bd2…
10-01 06:14:41	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	71	69¢	$49	0x7dba3a…
09-30 15:31:35	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x0a87da…
09-30 15:17:29	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x142c06…
09-30 15:09:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x8d9dfc…
09-30 15:09:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x839fd7…
09-30 15:06:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xa742e9…
09-30 14:55:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x6c6531…
09-30 14:54:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xbd44cc…
09-30 14:54:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x306de7…
09-30 14:52:56	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd7b55e…
09-30 14:52:08	bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x23d561…
09-30 14:51:23	bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x316b8a…
09-30 14:45:02	bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x4caf1c…
09-30 14:43:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x50a515…
09-30 14:41:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x19a604…
09-30 14:22:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xfed89f…
09-30 14:10:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8d8170…
09-30 14:10:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd6bcd5…
09-30 14:10:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x025538…
09-30 14:09:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x9204a7…
09-30 13:53:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xeb94c4…
09-30 13:53:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x7109f1…
09-30 13:53:15	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x9fcdec…
09-30 13:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x52eba4…
09-30 13:52:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x533a17…
09-30 13:52:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x5e45a9…
09-30 13:51:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x594d37…
09-30 13:38:30	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xef5c49…
09-30 13:38:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x050dd2…
09-30 13:27:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x2ed8aa…
09-30 13:24:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x056e6e…
09-30 13:11:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	107	95¢	$102	0x317fb2…
09-30 13:10:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x4b8d70…
09-30 13:10:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x076481…
09-30 12:53:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x496b21…
09-30 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xc0cd7d…
09-30 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x9ed7aa…
09-30 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x81d132…
09-30 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3bba98…
09-30 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x34e39c…
09-30 12:45:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x3088fa…
09-30 12:43:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x423596…
09-30 12:40:26	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x77129a…
09-30 12:37:00	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x4f25c5…
09-30 12:23:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x4cea18…
09-30 12:20:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xc655db…
09-30 12:13:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x840457…
09-30 12:13:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1443e3…
09-30 12:13:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xb5c0ff…
09-30 12:10:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xee562c…
09-30 11:54:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x72f9d5…
09-30 11:53:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x838769…
09-30 11:42:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x6af783…
09-30 11:42:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xc34d22…
09-30 11:41:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xca6802…
09-30 11:41:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xd7fa59…
09-30 11:41:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xba5866…
09-30 11:40:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xf859f8…
09-30 11:25:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x33ecea…
09-30 11:21:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xe6cb77…
09-30 11:12:06	spx opens up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb794d7…
09-30 11:07:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x12d636…
09-30 11:06:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x8e4b53…
09-30 10:49:12	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x0a2402…
09-30 10:38:00	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x354cb6…
09-30 09:50:03	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$49	0xde37ed…
09-30 09:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xb83051…
09-30 09:42:32	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xa86ed1…
09-30 09:12:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb42eb7…
09-30 09:10:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x93b451…
09-30 09:08:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe3c0f8…
09-30 09:08:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8f49bd…
09-30 09:07:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x8457c7…
09-30 08:51:14	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x99ce41…
09-30 08:51:14	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x266214…
09-30 08:32:54	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xf9ced0…
09-30 08:30:53	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x78c9c8…
09-30 08:23:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x2c0c05…
09-30 08:21:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x048d32…
09-30 08:14:09	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x3f0803…
09-30 07:58:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xe83f6b…
09-30 06:25:06	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$14	0x0ffede…
09-30 06:25:03	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x91c975…
09-30 06:21:54	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa71968…
09-30 06:21:26	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x08f46d…
09-29 18:54:42	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8854b2…
09-29 18:15:12	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x6a4d80…
09-29 18:08:29	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x72ff0a…
09-29 17:56:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x4fe3fe…
09-29 17:55:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xdf39c3…
09-29 17:42:30	Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x2e2a1c…
09-29 17:39:15	Finland vs. Belarus: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9c4d62…
09-29 17:28:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xbdc6c9…
09-29 17:28:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xad374b…
09-29 17:22:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x25c8d8…
09-29 15:44:00	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xcffbb5…
09-29 15:28:23	bitcoin up or down on september 29 2026	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x96410a…
09-29 15:25:41	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x724ca6…