Bad-Orientation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

39,343

lifetime

Volume

$402.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 60% $-4

Other

16% 69% $-19

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	26	$2.7K	1,619	1,619	+0	open	—	05-20 13:27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	22	$2.5K	2,179	2,179	+0	Up	$-267	05-07 20:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	41	$1.7K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	05-21 18:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	13	$1.5K	780	780	+0	open	—	05-19 19:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	32	$1.4K	928	928	+0	open	—	05-21 13:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	11	$1.3K	731	731	+0	Up	+$84	05-05 16:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	4	$1.3K	687	687	+0	Up	+$99	05-06 09:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	18	$1.1K	665	665	+0	open	—	05-15 14:50
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?	19	$997	540	540	+0	Up	+$54	05-06 17:23
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?	14	$947	523	523	+0	Up	+$76	05-06 15:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	12	$940	1,121	1,121	+0	Down	$-270	05-07 18:19
btc updown 15m 1767624300	20	$921	477	477	+0	open	—	01-05 14:59
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	13	$918	580	580	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59
btc updown 15m 1767725100	26	$871	451	451	+0	open	—	01-06 18:59
btc updown 15m 1768317300	35	$840	451	450	+1	open	—	01-13 15:27
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	3	$836	442	442	+0	open	—	05-20 18:09
bitcoin up or down on january 16	5	$806	476	476	+0	open	—	01-16 09:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	8	$801	713	129	+584	Up	+$36	05-04 20:49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	7	$786	428	428	+0	open	—	05-22 19:30
spx up or down on january 30 2026	22	$768	535	476	+59	open	—	01-30 20:50
spy up or down on june 24 2026	4	$759	418	418	+0	open	—	06-24 19:57
bitcoin up or down on january 1	14	$735	425	425	+0	open	—	01-01 15:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	13	$636	388	388	+0	Up	+$39	05-13 12:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	12	$632	381	381	+0	open	—	05-14 12:27
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 14?	6	$616	342	342	+0	open	—	05-14 14:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	18	$611	387	367	+20	open	—	05-18 11:53
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 6?	18	$610	372	372	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 19:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	9	$607	395	395	+0	open	—	05-21 15:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$603	330	330	+0	Down	+$29	05-04 19:20
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 14?	4	$603	304	304	+0	open	—	05-14 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:15:22	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0xe14916…
06-30 18:58:14	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xbb549d…
06-30 18:57:43	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	59	96¢	$56	0x818194…
06-30 18:48:28	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x83df5f…
06-30 18:46:14	aapl up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x5092f5…
06-30 18:25:29	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x3ccfe5…
06-30 18:20:41	aapl up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xafcc7e…
06-30 14:00:28	aapl up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	120	92¢	$111	0xfffb56…
06-30 13:24:38	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x050b19…
06-30 13:24:31	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x04eec8…
06-30 13:24:13	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	SELL	70	80¢	$56	0x45f476…
06-30 12:32:31	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x7a3e97…
06-30 12:24:11	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	56	54¢	$30	0x9f99ad…
06-30 11:01:46	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0xc9332a…
06-30 07:50:55	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	77	64¢	$50	0x4e2650…
06-30 07:07:49	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	77	74¢	$57	0xe722c9…
06-29 23:58:49	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x8a5a6e…
06-29 22:42:08	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xba8d10…
06-29 21:06:05	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xe2489f…
06-29 21:05:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x79c4a1…
06-29 20:50:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xa8b4f5…
06-29 19:58:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x0a6834…
06-29 19:55:23	aapl up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x71b5a2…
06-29 19:18:41	xagusd up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xb939ea…
06-29 18:52:28	aapl up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x9d25ed…
06-29 18:39:47	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xb43ab7…
06-29 18:27:10	xagusd up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x6f2a6d…
06-29 17:33:23	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0xfa3386…
06-29 17:09:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x9f9e1e…
06-29 11:00:31	spy up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	58	84¢	$49	0x39c150…
06-29 10:10:08	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x09882d…
06-29 05:16:44	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0xb557e6…
06-28 20:33:16	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0x7ed532…
06-26 20:01:32	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0xbf43e3…
06-26 19:43:20	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xa1691f…
06-26 15:41:13	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	97	17¢	$17	0xc6bf27…
06-26 13:06:55	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdba381…
06-26 12:56:19	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb8be8f…
06-26 12:50:23	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x89c5b2…
06-26 12:18:49	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc53027…
06-26 11:59:44	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xac5dbc…
06-26 11:55:22	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9e6635…
06-26 11:53:47	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xa5575e…
06-26 11:50:13	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x13f682…
06-26 11:45:52	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdf64fb…
06-26 11:18:22	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbc67e5…
06-26 10:59:55	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb31dff…
06-26 10:52:19	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x3f9241…
06-26 10:52:01	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd30923…
06-26 10:33:43	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x919ee8…
06-26 10:31:13	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6c48bc…
06-26 10:27:46	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x5afe43…
06-26 10:25:22	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x56ac8c…
06-26 10:15:32	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe27461…
06-26 09:08:04	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x452363…
06-26 08:56:10	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	66	95¢	$62	0x88b5ef…
06-26 07:56:26	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xca9338…
06-26 07:45:49	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x12bcb2…
06-26 07:45:35	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x126260…
06-26 07:26:58	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x1e7657…
06-26 07:13:20	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe43783…
06-26 07:07:59	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xbe328f…
06-26 04:57:53	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xd6ad76…
06-26 04:57:49	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x8effc2…
06-26 00:16:05	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Japan	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0x513f68…
06-25 22:36:47	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Japan	BUY	107	97¢	$103	0x8a6445…
06-25 22:10:05	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x15e330…
06-25 21:50:16	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x6e6065…
06-25 21:29:13	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xb53045…
06-25 21:29:10	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xc35660…
06-25 21:29:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 corners total 11pt5	Under	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xbb6872…
06-25 21:28:02	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x02f3b5…
06-25 21:27:01	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x837b0d…
06-25 21:25:13	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xf28c5a…
06-25 21:21:04	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x5efbe8…
06-25 20:22:01	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xdd210e…
06-25 20:09:50	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x0b0474…
06-25 20:04:37	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x45a21e…
06-25 19:36:26	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x086e56…
06-25 19:32:37	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x41cc9c…
06-25 19:32:28	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6d55f7…
06-25 16:50:04	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x63d022…
06-25 13:12:56	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x299588…
06-25 11:42:53	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x87facc…
06-25 11:05:37	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc5261d…
06-25 10:49:04	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x4e2599…
06-25 10:48:34	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x1c09c3…
06-25 09:20:05	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x1fb41d…
06-25 09:08:34	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc959c9…
06-25 07:06:37	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x4f7812…
06-24 23:31:16	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	61	80¢	$49	0x1b7dd5…
06-24 23:12:47	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	39	80¢	$31	0xb519a5…
06-24 20:04:31	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x4b6c20…
06-24 19:57:43	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	187	99¢	$185	0xc45ad3…
06-24 19:38:58	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	187	94¢	$176	0xa6138f…
06-24 16:46:01	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	231	77¢	$178	0x1631c3…
06-24 15:07:46	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	231	95¢	$220	0x380e3d…
06-24 11:16:44	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	76	74¢	$56	0x897340…
06-24 10:45:08	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xc55fb7…
06-24 10:44:28	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x523a71…