Nervous-Compensation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.4%

Resolved

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-30 01:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

62% 35% $-39

Sports

23% 29% $-31

Crypto

13% 50% +$18

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$27	28	28	+0	Up	+$17	05-11 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	2	$24	22	22	+0	Down	+$14	05-11 14:27
Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$23	30	17	+13	open	—	05-15 16:55
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	05-20 02:17
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-17 02:32
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$16	12	12	+0	Cavaliers	+$6	05-14 03:02
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Elizara Yaneva	2	$16	14	14	+0	Alice Tubello	$-2	05-06 08:22
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 14?	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 19:58
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 15:59
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$15	36	0	+36	open	—	05-29 03:59
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	3	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	05-14 16:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	3	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	$-6	05-07 18:56
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$14	9	9	+0	Canadiens	+$4	05-11 00:49
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$13	9	9	+0	FUT Esports	+$3	05-11 20:08
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$10	20	0	+20	Golden Knights	+$0	05-09 00:46
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Score	2	$10	18	0	+18	No	$-10	05-11 17:16
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$10	77	0	+77	Thunder	$-10	05-08 00:35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 19:13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 9?	2	$10	18	0	+18	Yes	$-2	05-08 23:44
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-23 06:18
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-27 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	2	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	$-1	05-07 20:39
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-17 17:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frech	2	$9	6	6	+0	Alexandra Eala	+$3	05-06 12:36
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 02:01
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 06:23
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-22 15:10
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-11 16:22
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-08 00:33
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 19?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-19 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 01:27:22	Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x188043…
05-29 15:00:50	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x509c6d…
05-29 03:59:01	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x107a65…
05-29 03:56:23	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa98902…
05-29 03:19:38	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x313992…
05-28 17:13:44	UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Loma Lookboonmee	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x78fe4c…
05-28 15:01:05	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x78ceb5…
05-28 08:00:05	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x51bd76…
05-28 03:24:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x74abf5…
05-28 03:21:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8640a2…
05-27 19:47:06	Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe4fa43…
05-27 13:55:02	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x2efe5f…
05-27 13:05:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x14390a…
05-26 19:48:23	Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x195d1c…
05-26 12:59:37	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3af3a2…
05-26 00:05:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x200370…
05-25 12:38:43	Will Dplus qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x48bb3f…
05-25 11:53:09	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xedc97d…
05-25 06:50:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa7cee5…
05-25 02:05:18	World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark	Denmark	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd60f49…
05-25 00:33:13	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6877a0…
05-24 20:41:01	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Freestyle World Record Broken?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x555205…
05-24 15:59:50	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x702ec6…
05-24 11:19:01	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x07fd96…
05-24 07:02:42	US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfd5483…
05-24 06:58:05	Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x15dbad…
05-24 04:13:25	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Hurricanes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x923a4d…
05-23 22:30:39	Charlotte FC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x5ccb00…
05-23 16:56:01	Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe1e817…
05-23 16:53:20	CD Mirandés vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x51872f…
05-23 16:16:14	Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5f57a2…
05-23 06:18:31	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf2a2d4…
05-23 00:23:48	Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc8b71f…
05-23 00:10:23	Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x47fa23…
05-23 00:04:48	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x23f735…
05-22 23:22:05	World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechia	Slovakia	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8efdd8…
05-22 20:53:13	FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x71351c…
05-22 19:00:13	Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm	Seattle Storm	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5e3066…
05-22 17:59:44	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5ff4d0…
05-22 17:05:29	Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd8644b…
05-22 15:10:55	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd0d455…
05-22 14:20:18	NK Osijek vs. NK Slaven Belupo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x02b9a2…
05-22 13:59:50	Valencia vs. Real Madrid	Real Madrid	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x39447a…
05-22 09:46:33	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x63db16…
05-22 09:32:05	FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8c7932…
05-22 08:21:07	RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x957a52…
05-22 07:25:40	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4e0228…
05-22 06:23:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xba9f41…
05-22 03:18:08	Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x75371d…
05-22 00:40:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc72d1e…
05-21 23:36:00	Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1abe47…
05-21 14:47:23	CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xca2dfb…
05-21 14:33:46	Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa2c478…
05-21 09:27:57	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xdefa1a…
05-21 06:44:14	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf1d09f…
05-21 06:10:49	Racing Club de Lens vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb18686…
05-21 05:00:59	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x9afa0c…
05-21 00:40:30	World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia	Denmark	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x461aeb…
05-20 22:33:36	Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc96b8e…
05-20 21:58:32	Portland Thorns FC vs. Bay FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xeadb37…
05-20 20:33:47	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc3f340…
05-20 19:09:33	Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc848ca…
05-20 19:06:43	Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcb0730…
05-20 18:29:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 20?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8500d8…
05-20 13:58:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9f45e9…
05-20 07:03:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x5d0391…
05-20 06:45:43	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x25faaf…
05-20 02:17:38	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xafbfca…
05-19 20:16:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfbe284…
05-19 15:20:12	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc6ce8c…
05-19 14:48:07	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x959bcc…
05-19 13:40:32	Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa2c196…
05-19 10:28:02	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x97a134…
05-19 09:42:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf14ece…
05-19 08:49:27	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc92c51…
05-19 06:33:11	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x38dc87…
05-19 05:28:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x43d9ab…
05-18 23:41:09	Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x40a858…
05-18 19:13:17	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x804f2c…
05-18 19:08:52	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0ea71b…
05-18 15:11:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb53a96…
05-18 06:40:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc45615…
05-18 06:30:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa04be0…
05-18 06:25:58	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x03173d…
05-18 05:58:08	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x08ddb3…
05-18 03:04:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x20e881…
05-18 02:01:29	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfb7dd4…
05-18 00:56:07	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfdd3e3…
05-17 22:31:29	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcbe7ba…
05-17 21:14:02	Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x22b7be…
05-17 21:00:09	CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc7f929…
05-17 17:32:17	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6c457a…
05-17 17:16:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x29f426…
05-17 16:42:16	Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7b8e03…
05-17 15:36:05	Antalyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xceddd7…
05-17 14:12:31	FK Karpaty Lviv vs. RNK Veres Rivne: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb83751…
05-17 12:13:02	Heracles Almelo vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x408b1f…
05-17 10:49:23	AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2b9111…
05-17 09:46:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x75d719…
05-17 09:30:01	Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeeb8cd…