Candid-Maniac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,186

lifetime

Volume

$74.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-12 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

100% 56% $-1,501

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on May 7?	4	$859	971	+971	Yes	$-143	05-07 20:00
aapl up or down on april 16 2026	2	$799	800	+800	open	—	04-16 20:00
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 6?	2	$649	1,100	+1,100	Yes	$-49	05-06 20:00
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 6?	3	$642	656	+656	Up	$-642	05-06 20:00
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 4?	5	$638	853	+853	Down	$-38	05-04 20:00
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$632	666	+666	Up	+$34	05-06 20:00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 11?	7	$629	764	+764	Yes	$-29	05-11 20:00
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$602	650	+650	Up	$-2	05-07 20:00
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 28?	1	$599	600	+600	open	—	05-28 20:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 6?	1	$599	600	+600	No	+$1	05-06 20:00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $300 end of April?	1	$599	600	+600	open	—	04-30 20:00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $285 end of April?	1	$599	600	+600	open	—	04-30 20:00
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 30?	1	$599	600	+600	open	—	04-30 20:00
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 7?	1	$599	600	+600	No	+$1	05-07 20:00
amzn close above 250 on june 5 2026	1	$599	600	+600	open	—	06-05 20:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on May 21?	1	$599	600	+600	open	—	05-21 20:00
nvda above 200 on june 5 2026	1	$594	600	+600	open	—	06-05 20:00
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 30?	1	$534	535	+535	open	—	04-30 20:00
abnb up or down on april 23 2026	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-23 20:00
nvda up or down on april 20 2026	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-20 20:00
tsla up or down on april 20 2026	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-20 20:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 24?	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-24 20:00
meta up or down on april 20 2026	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-20 20:00
hood up or down on april 20 2026	1	$500	500	+500	open	—	04-20 20:00
will nvda close between 205 and 210 week april 24 2026	2	$499	500	+500	open	—	04-24 20:00
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on April 27?	1	$498	500	+500	open	—	04-27 20:00
abnb up or down on april 21 2026	1	$497	500	+500	open	—	04-21 20:00
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$496	500	+500	open	—	04-27 20:00
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 27?	1	$495	500	+500	open	—	04-27 20:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 27 above $200?	1	$486	600	+600	open	—	05-01 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:55:04	msft up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xee8570…
06-12 19:55:04	nvda above 205 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x69919d…
06-12 19:55:04	nvda above 205 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x2e469d…
06-12 19:55:01	msft above 390 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0xd0aae4…
06-12 19:55:00	msft close above 390 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	14	67¢	$9	0x125e8d…
06-12 19:54:52	nvda close above 205 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xaeb78a…
06-12 19:54:12	coin up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x4228f8…
06-12 19:53:51	msft up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xb133d9…
06-12 19:53:04	googl up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x0adc45…
06-12 19:46:42	googl above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	68	14¢	$10	0x6e6e96…
06-12 19:46:40	googl close above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x7ed510…
06-12 19:44:48	googl above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x709213…
06-12 19:44:48	googl above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x648695…
06-12 19:42:28	googl close above 360 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xecc24d…
06-12 19:36:54	googl close above 360 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9ec998…
06-12 19:36:52	googl above 360 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xc871c4…
06-12 19:35:31	nvda up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xa20252…
06-12 19:24:54	aapl above 290 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6e67a0…
06-12 19:21:40	aapl close above 290 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x2bbfff…
06-12 19:00:09	coin up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xe3bed8…
06-12 19:00:09	tsla up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x1bc41a…
06-11 20:00:03	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x5ff04d…
06-11 20:00:03	meta close above 570 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x0e3546…
06-11 19:55:45	msft close above 390 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4fd593…
06-11 19:55:34	googl up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xa1a811…
06-11 19:55:10	aapl close above 295 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x42ce4d…
06-11 19:54:24	meta close above 570 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf7c904…
06-11 19:53:03	nvda close above 205 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x837a0d…
06-11 19:51:04	msft close above 390 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x94f9ee…
06-11 19:50:04	msft close above 390 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xfc6e32…
06-11 19:47:07	googl up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x437226…
06-11 19:46:43	nvda close above 205 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x41e4b6…
06-11 19:46:25	aapl close above 295 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	90	10¢	$9	0xb2212b…
06-11 19:45:03	tsla close above 400 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xead20f…
06-11 19:44:12	googl up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xed25cc…
06-11 19:43:54	googl up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xab694e…
06-10 20:00:03	aapl up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xa47b53…
06-10 20:00:03	meta up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xa29a01…
06-10 20:00:03	aapl close above 290 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9efce2…
06-10 20:00:03	meta close above 570 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9b3c6d…
06-10 20:00:03	nflx up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x8451e5…
06-10 20:00:03	pltr up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x313cc7…
06-10 19:50:21	googl close above 355 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x72dc1c…
06-10 19:12:57	coin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x017a1a…
06-09 20:00:06	aapl close above 305 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xdd37e5…
06-09 20:00:06	meta close above 590 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x107a72…
06-09 20:00:04	tsla close above 400 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0x3b1d34…
06-09 19:55:12	googl close above 365 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x7a21aa…
06-09 19:55:12	meta up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5273e3…
06-09 19:55:09	meta up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x3ed0c1…
06-09 19:50:18	meta up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xaa9a5e…
06-09 19:37:51	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x6da009…
06-09 19:28:42	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x62aadb…
06-09 19:22:40	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf6c3c6…
06-09 19:16:51	googl up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x48cdbe…
06-09 19:15:48	nvda close above 205 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x43b56d…
06-09 19:04:15	amzn up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcf8d17…
06-08 20:00:03	tsla close above 410 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x51211d…
06-08 19:55:07	amzn close above 245 on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xf9b3ff…
06-08 19:47:48	amzn close above 245 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x1af389…
06-08 19:11:21	tsla close above 410 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x435ce3…
06-08 19:10:15	nflx up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xebe6bb…
06-08 19:03:13	aapl close above 305 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb56a25…
06-05 20:00:21	nvda above 200 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$594	0x38bdd0…
06-05 20:00:04	msft above 420 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0xef906a…
06-05 20:00:04	meta above 590 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa4679e…
06-05 20:00:04	nvda above 205 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x9f0d70…
06-05 20:00:04	nvda close above 205 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x4225c5…
06-05 20:00:04	meta above 600 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x1a5596…
06-05 20:00:03	nflx above 80 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd728f9…
06-05 20:00:03	googl close above 370 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xc5d348…
06-05 20:00:03	aapl close above 305 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb4d655…
06-05 20:00:03	amzn close above 245 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x732c37…
06-05 20:00:03	amzn close above 250 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x69540e…
06-05 20:00:03	amzn above 245 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x1d6385…
06-05 19:55:09	abnb up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x059090…
06-05 19:50:06	abnb up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x9bc80a…
06-05 19:24:34	nvda above 205 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x07c060…
06-05 19:22:52	googl close above 365 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xeeb3e7…
06-05 19:22:49	googl close above 365 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xce4bb5…
06-05 19:18:16	nvda close above 205 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe853f4…
06-05 19:18:15	nvda close above 205 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf92d05…
06-05 19:01:25	googl close above 365 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8d26ad…
06-05 19:00:42	googl above 365 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x04f97c…
06-05 19:00:31	nvda above 205 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd09068…
06-05 19:00:28	nvda close above 205 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x334604…
06-05 19:00:18	meta close above 600 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xf00765…
06-05 19:00:18	meta above 600 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x49ea40…
06-05 19:00:12	meta above 590 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x074fd1…
06-04 19:56:31	nflx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc360f4…
06-04 19:50:09	tsla close above 420 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x534a64…
06-04 19:50:09	nvda close above 220 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x312a30…
06-04 19:48:13	msft up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xcffb8f…
06-04 19:44:33	nflx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x8d1a2f…
06-04 19:37:30	aapl up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	76	9¢	$7	0xfd6e6f…
06-04 19:36:09	nflx up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe395e2…
06-04 19:29:06	googl close above 370 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xbb5361…
06-04 19:17:01	nvda close above 220 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xa4903e…
06-04 19:16:55	abnb up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x2726f7…
06-04 19:15:28	pltr up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x6f6a96…