Candid-Maniac 0x1f66f2…581536
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$634
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
754
Trades
3,047
lifetime
Volume
$527.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$173
Open exposure
$201.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 11-01 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
52% 60% +$313
Other
48% 78% -$1,535
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +31,562 $23,321 80¢ $25.4K +$2,086 11-01 14:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +24,916 $16,544 70¢ $17.3K +$772 10-31 10:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $15,329 100¢ $15.3K -$16 10-30 19:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $15,298 99¢ $15.3K -$31 10-30 19:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $15,016 98¢ $15.1K +$113 10-30 19:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +15,187 $12,205 80¢ $12.2K +$20 11-01 12:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $12,358 72¢ $11.1K -$1,217 10-30 19:12
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +11,389 $8,423 74¢ $8.4K -$51 10-31 21:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +24,916 $8,171 30¢ $7.4K -$821 10-31 10:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +10,069 $6,521 68¢ $6.8K +$275 10-31 19:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,199 $6,021 72¢ $6.6K +$556 10-28 12:15
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +31,562 $8,042 18¢ $5.8K -$2,203 11-01 14:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +4,939 $4,906 99¢ $4.9K +$4 10-30 05:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,939 $4,593 96¢ $4.7K +$124 10-28 16:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +13,367 $3,100 30¢ $3.9K +$843 10-30 19:12
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5,764 $3,513 68¢ $3.9K +$378 10-31 12:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4,939 $3,674 78¢ $3.8K +$154 10-28 16:03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +4,852 $3,446 74¢ $3.6K +$120 10-31 06:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +10,069 $3,570 32¢ $3.2K -$383 10-31 19:35
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +4,012 $3,082 74¢ $3.0K -$93 10-30 04:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +15,187 $2,890 20¢ $3.0K +$71 11-01 12:09
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +11,389 $3,111 26¢ $2.9K -$207 10-31 21:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,199 $3,181 28¢ $2.5K -$652 10-30 18:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,291 $2,281 72¢ $2.4K +$104 10-31 01:51
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,979 $2,073 78¢ $2.3K +$251 10-30 19:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,459 $2,412 94¢ $2.3K -$95 10-27 10:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,459 $2,192 94¢ $2.3K +$119 10-27 10:36
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +4,060 $1,684 52¢ $2.1K +$407 10-31 12:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,988 $1,978 99¢ $2.0K $0 10-31 01:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,988 $1,967 99¢ $2.0K +$6 10-31 01:26