Candid-Maniac 0x1f66f2…581536
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.51K
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
754
Trades
3,022
lifetime
Volume
$520.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$172
Open exposure
$194.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 10-31 19:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
51% 60% +$313
Other
49% 78% -$1,535
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +28,133 $20,530 80¢ $22.6K +$2,118 10-31 14:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +24,916 $16,544 70¢ $17.6K +$1,021 10-31 10:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $15,329 100¢ $15.3K -$16 10-30 19:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $15,298 99¢ $15.3K -$31 10-30 19:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $15,016 98¢ $15.1K +$113 10-30 19:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +14,431 $11,593 82¢ $11.9K +$313 10-31 10:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +15,367 $12,358 72¢ $11.1K -$1,217 10-30 19:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +24,916 $8,171 29¢ $7.1K -$1,070 10-31 10:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +10,069 $6,521 68¢ $6.9K +$376 10-31 19:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,199 $6,021 72¢ $6.6K +$556 10-28 12:15
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +8,090 $6,020 74¢ $6.0K +$7 10-31 13:11
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +28,133 $7,439 20¢ $5.5K -$1,953 10-31 14:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +4,939 $4,906 99¢ $4.9K +$6 10-30 05:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,939 $4,593 96¢ $4.7K +$124 10-28 16:03
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +5,764 $3,513 69¢ $4.0K +$464 10-31 12:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +13,367 $3,100 30¢ $3.9K +$843 10-30 19:12
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +4,939 $3,674 76¢ $3.8K +$105 10-28 16:03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +4,852 $3,446 74¢ $3.6K +$120 10-31 06:04
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +10,069 $3,570 32¢ $3.2K -$328 10-31 19:35
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +4,012 $3,082 74¢ $2.9K -$133 10-30 04:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +14,431 $2,747 18¢ $2.7K -$77 10-31 10:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +9,199 $3,181 29¢ $2.6K -$560 10-30 18:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,291 $2,281 72¢ $2.4K +$88 10-31 01:51
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,459 $2,412 96¢ $2.4K -$60 10-27 10:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,459 $2,192 96¢ $2.3K +$156 10-27 10:36
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,979 $2,073 78¢ $2.3K +$251 10-30 19:55
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +4,060 $1,684 52¢ $2.1K +$407 10-31 12:52
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +8,090 $2,177 26¢ $2.1K -$114 10-31 13:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,988 $1,978 99¢ $2.0K $0 10-31 01:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,988 $1,967 99¢ $2.0K +$4 10-31 01:26