Constant-Volcano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,202

lifetime

Volume

$1.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 07-24 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

82% 79% +$0

Crypto

18% 82% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	8	$27	16	16	+0	open	—	04-27 13:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	11	$27	24	29	-6	Down	+$0	05-12 13:31
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	11	$24	29	25	+4	open	—	05-18 19:37
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	9	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 14:45
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 5?	10	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 20:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 15:51
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$19	21	8	+13	Up	$-0	05-04 20:01
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19?	12	$19	22	22	+0	open	—	05-19 19:15
spx opens up or down on april 17 2026	4	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 13:21
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	6	$17	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 14:23
will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	12	$16	34	34	+0	open	—	07-03 21:01
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 30?	3	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 21:18
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	6	$15	12	12	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 20:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	3	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 13:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	5	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 13:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	8	$13	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 20:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	5	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 13:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	4	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 13:44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 13?	4	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-13 20:52
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?	3	$12	12	2	+10	open	—	05-01 20:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 13:43
spx opens up or down on april 15 2026	8	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 13:50
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	10	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 16:01
zelenskyy of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 40 59	4	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-13 19:31
will bitcoin reach 64k on july 6	10	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	07-06 20:30
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 20:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?	3	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 09:02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 20:07
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	4	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-20 13:30
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	5	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 16:04:43	will spy dip to 715 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x551c41…
07-24 15:09:03	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x2a26a4…
07-24 14:49:54	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xf3a76b…
07-24 14:19:00	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 24	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x462d40…
07-24 14:16:06	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x956761…
07-24 13:59:36	aapl up or down on july 24 2026	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x084034…
07-24 13:09:19	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 24	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xf57600…
07-24 13:07:25	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 24	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xba1d37…
07-24 13:06:27	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 24	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x9bd125…
07-24 13:01:51	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 24	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x38af62…
07-24 09:39:52	aapl up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9b8464…
07-24 09:29:10	spy up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x693e4c…
07-24 09:28:57	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2afd84…
07-23 16:33:48	will spy dip to 735 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0xb523c0…
07-23 15:31:15	will spy dip to 735 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3300a0…
07-23 15:28:28	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0a4a0a…
07-23 15:28:04	will spy dip to 735 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x699b18…
07-23 14:01:21	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x54b6cf…
07-23 13:43:57	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6a74f7…
07-23 13:39:45	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x1db191…
07-23 13:37:58	wti up or down on july 23 2026	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x591e4e…
07-23 13:36:25	will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 23	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5678ee…
07-23 09:05:30	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 23	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x90e2b4…
07-23 07:12:36	will bitcoin dip to 65k on july 23	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x00ce2c…
07-22 20:59:00	will spy dip to 715 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b0e9a…
07-22 20:58:45	will spy dip to 735 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3ff8d9…
07-22 20:55:51	will spy dip to 730 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0d46b6…
07-22 20:06:15	usdnok up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff0125…
07-22 20:00:52	aapl close above 320 on july 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb3613…
07-22 20:00:33	googl up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6182d…
07-22 19:50:27	aapl close above 320 on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x064c5a…
07-22 19:45:54	googl up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe23369…
07-22 19:41:15	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd5683d…
07-22 13:47:40	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e8c73…
07-22 11:21:01	aapl up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd6f0ef…
07-22 07:55:34	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8db3e5…
07-22 07:52:40	wti up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x899c15…
07-21 20:05:36	nvda close above 210 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xee9605…
07-21 20:00:46	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8eaf7d…
07-21 20:00:37	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa75660…
07-21 19:19:31	nvda close above 210 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a728e…
07-21 19:05:31	nvda close above 210 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfa5547…
07-21 19:03:39	nvda close above 210 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x44576c…
07-21 18:56:15	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5a4028…
07-21 18:54:51	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f6cbd…
07-21 15:32:46	aapl up or down on july 21 2026	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xa4d0ee…
07-21 14:33:40	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xff7428…
07-21 14:28:43	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfead99…
07-21 07:48:22	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xd877b7…
07-21 07:29:46	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 21	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x22596a…
07-20 21:04:31	xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33a630…
07-20 21:04:24	xagusd up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2acf0…
07-20 20:54:54	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 20	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb040b7…
07-20 20:51:34	xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76c5e0…
07-20 20:11:25	xagusd up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeedd41…
07-20 20:05:01	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x170185…
07-20 19:57:21	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x778813…
07-20 19:52:58	spy up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x90a183…
07-20 19:43:19	spy closes above 740 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3f91d4…
07-20 08:38:31	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 20	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xab0510…
07-20 08:36:58	aapl up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x380aaa…
07-17 20:46:40	will aapl reach 336 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2170b3…
07-17 13:44:03	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7dded3…
07-16 15:27:11	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 16	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x4f4d43…
07-16 15:26:02	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 16	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x536e95…
07-16 14:36:20	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 16	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x04ef37…
07-16 14:18:49	aapl up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x532aa3…
07-16 12:46:10	will bitcoin dip to 63k on july 16	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcb3e63…
07-16 09:23:35	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf47e7e…
07-16 08:27:20	spy up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd699d5…
07-16 08:26:05	nvda up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xefbd3a…
07-16 08:25:23	aapl up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x78ed0d…
07-15 21:14:28	rut up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd60dd2…
07-15 21:01:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8e1878…
07-15 21:00:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9015b8…
07-15 20:18:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7f70b1…
07-15 19:03:01	rut up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd5d5b7…
07-15 18:04:44	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa4a8e9…
07-15 12:53:08	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7139fb…
07-15 09:04:22	aapl up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x4af448…
07-15 08:08:11	aapl up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x399785…
07-15 07:16:25	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x16e0dc…
07-15 07:08:02	spy up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbeb2ce…
07-14 21:45:41	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x18d474…
07-14 21:14:01	wti closes above 74 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c21db…
07-14 20:03:46	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x59003a…
07-14 18:00:29	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0b4328…
07-14 17:55:25	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x73890d…
07-14 17:11:52	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x224aaf…
07-14 15:37:56	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x47f5fa…
07-14 15:32:04	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf728d7…
07-14 15:02:26	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x0abb24…
07-14 14:40:43	aapl up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x0f920f…
07-14 13:02:13	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x336212…
07-14 12:52:23	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 14	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x8ca644…
07-14 12:46:07	spy up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x948fa1…
07-14 12:33:19	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 14	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x05915a…
07-14 12:27:50	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb1a871…
07-14 12:26:32	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 14	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x241288…
07-14 11:01:40	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 14	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0fc1d3…