Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?
open
Total volume
$634
$40 in 24h
Trades
69
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$67
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-15 12:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $37 | $41 | $5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $32 | $30 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $325 | $6 | +$319 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $96 | $46 | +$51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $54 | $78 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $313 | $5 | +$309 |
| Median | 4 | $89 | $25 | +$64 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $16 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | +180 | $3 | $3 | 10 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Fast-Mint 0x4f9d…9854 | Yes | +168 | $124 | $124 | 2 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Focused-Monger 0x5fe7…1ea9 | Yes | +167 | $164 | $164 | 4 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +107 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +63 | $14 | $14 | 5 | 05-15 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8947…4635 | Yes | +61 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | +31 | $0 | $2 | 6 | 05-15 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x570c…a489 | No | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:09 |
| Fresh-Mole 0x9a81…e332 | Yes | +30 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +25 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Impractical-Nylon 0x5309…4c9c | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 05-15 07:18 |
| Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | Yes | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-15 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Candid-Petal 0x8a4e…b38c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:28 |
| Fumbling-Thinking 0xa549…d839 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 21:15 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 09:32 |
| Grumpy-Pagoda 0xe810…4eb4 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 15:17 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 02:29 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Overcooked-Function 0xfb5c…cda7 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 10:31 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +1 | $0 | $9 | 2 | 05-11 06:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b8…a68a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:09:49 | Abandoned-Counsel 0x01ed…ca5f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x06c4c6… |
| 05-15 12:09:49 | (anonymous) 0x570c…a489 | No | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x06c4c6… |
| 05-15 12:09:49 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x06c4c6… |
| 05-15 10:31:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc02eac… |
| 05-15 10:31:51 | Focused-Monger 0x5fe7…1ea9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0xc02eac… |
| 05-15 10:31:45 | Focused-Monger 0x5fe7…1ea9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xc1e38d… |
| 05-15 10:31:45 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1e38d… |
| 05-15 10:31:45 | (anonymous) 0x8947…4635 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb2ab3e… |
| 05-15 10:31:45 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb2ab3e… |
| 05-15 10:31:45 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1e38d… |
| 05-15 10:31:44 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c249c… |
| 05-15 10:31:44 | Overcooked-Function 0xfb5c…cda7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdc0425… |
| 05-15 10:31:44 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c249c… |
| 05-15 10:31:44 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdc0425… |
| 05-15 10:31:44 | Focused-Monger 0x5fe7…1ea9 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x4c249c… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | (anonymous) 0x8947…4635 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x274b6f… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x274b6f… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6dbdc2… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Overcooked-Function 0xfb5c…cda7 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6dbdc2… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c554d… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 47 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4c554d… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x274b6f… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Focused-Monger 0x5fe7…1ea9 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x4c554d… |
| 05-15 10:31:38 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x274b6f… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x72f708… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 27 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xd2e2a7… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Fresh-Mole 0x9a81…e332 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x68f087… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Fresh-Mole 0x9a81…e332 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x04dca2… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x04dca2… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd2e2a7… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0xd2e2a7… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x68f087… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0xd2e2a7… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x72f708… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Fast-Mint 0x4f9d…9854 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x72f708… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Itchy-Litmus 0x1769…9412 | No | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x72f708… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | Fast-Mint 0x4f9d…9854 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 44¢ | $30 | 0xd2e2a7… |
| 05-15 10:31:35 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xd2e2a7… |
| 05-15 07:18:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x960c28… |
| 05-15 07:18:35 | Impractical-Nylon 0x5309…4c9c | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x960c28… |
| 05-15 07:16:47 | Impractical-Nylon 0x5309…4c9c | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x2dce50… |
| 05-15 07:16:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2dce50… |
| 05-13 09:32:19 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | Yes | SELL | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0xe28a95… |
| 05-13 09:32:19 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xe28a95… |
| 05-13 09:32:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 28¢ | $9 | 0xe28a95… |
| 05-13 03:59:49 | (anonymous) 0x93b8…a68a | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xd36d60… |
| 05-13 03:59:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xd36d60… |
| 05-13 02:29:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x40fb8a… |
| 05-13 02:29:39 | Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x40fb8a… |
| 05-11 21:15:36 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0xd1174d… |
| 05-11 21:15:36 | Fumbling-Thinking 0xa549…d839 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xd1174d… |
| 05-11 14:42:03 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x49ea3e… |
| 05-11 14:42:03 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x49ea3e… |
| 05-11 06:37:57 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x06a2b7… |
| 05-11 06:37:57 | Ill-Fated-Mattock-Opening 0x6f41…2c81 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x06a2b7… |
| 05-11 06:33:13 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x9dc180… |
| 05-11 06:33:13 | Ill-Fated-Mattock-Opening 0x6f41…2c81 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x9dc180… |
| 05-10 15:17:37 | Grumpy-Pagoda 0xe810…4eb4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x8b7fe7… |
| 05-10 15:17:37 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x8b7fe7… |
| 05-10 14:28:29 | Candid-Petal 0x8a4e…b38c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xa8aa91… |
| 05-10 14:28:29 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xa8aa91… |
| 05-10 00:51:03 | (anonymous) 0x998b…db96 | No | SELL | 24 | 44¢ | $11 | 0xa7d7a7… |
| 05-10 00:51:03 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | Yes | SELL | 24 | 56¢ | $13 | 0xa7d7a7… |
| 05-10 00:10:06 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 67¢ | $16 | 0xe89bf8… |
| 05-10 00:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x998b…db96 | No | BUY | 24 | 33¢ | $8 | 0xe89bf8… |
| 05-10 00:09:19 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xd34c8f… |
| 05-10 00:09:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xd34c8f… |
| 05-10 00:09:17 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x14cf49… |
| 05-10 00:09:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x14cf49… |