Tan-Vitro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

830

lifetime

Volume

$3.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-09 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 57% +$12

Politics

36% 67% +$3

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	No		+6	$5	87¢	$5	+$1	05-29 13:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	3	$7	8	+8	open	—	02-08 14:23
will green left win 25 29 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-20 22:59
highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 6c	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-05 22:38
will tsla close between 395 and 400 week march 13 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-12 22:22
highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 15c	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-11 20:38
will amzn close between 205 and 210 week february 27 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	02-24 10:59
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 17c	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-25 20:55
will aapl close between 265 and 270 week march 6 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-04 10:54
will meta close between 670 and 680 week march 6 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-04 20:03
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-21 01:15
highest temperature in dallas on march 9 2026 82 83f	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-08 21:53
highest temperature in miami on march 15 2026 82 83f	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-13 21:52
will nflx close between 80 and 90 week march 27 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-24 20:48
will jeanne barseghian be the next mayor of strasbourg	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-20 22:06
will tsla close between 405 and 410 week february 27 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	02-26 19:02
will trump say clinton during the state of the union address 138	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	02-21 18:36
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 0pt05	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	02-22 21:08
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win the bangladesh parliamentary election by between 6 and 9 466	2	$5	6	+6	open	—	02-08 22:16
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 140 159	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	02-28 19:58
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 13c	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-05 22:14
will pltr close between 150 and 152 week march 27 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-26 21:22
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 10c	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-12 00:44
highest temperature in miami on march 17 2026 76 77f	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-16 01:37
will nvda close between 175 and 180 week march 13 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-13 09:34
will the social democrats win 35 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-23 22:19
will googl close between 300 and 305 week march 27 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-23 22:04
will trump post netflix or paramount warner on truth social this week march 8	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-04 13:56
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-27 21:33
will msft close between 400 and 410 week march 13 2026	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-10 14:42
kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 10 2026 0pt72	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-06 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:20:31	will spacexs high share price on its first day of trading hit 200 high 20260608191407796	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3dd3f2…
06-09 19:14:40	will zohran mamdani stream on twitch again by june 12 20260608204542084	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x05dce2…
06-09 19:04:42	will steve jurvetson be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212490	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbca7b2…
06-09 18:59:16	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 700b	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x4b4e10…
06-09 18:54:09	will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x29cf88…
06-09 17:22:09	will jonathan hofeller be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212486	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x435351…
06-09 16:59:42	will luke nosek be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212488	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x8ae7de…
06-09 16:47:42	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x573596…
06-09 16:35:51	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5f9ec3…
06-09 16:23:55	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9c3c9a…
06-08 14:12:25	will adobe q2 total arr be above 27pt0b	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xee8d59…
06-07 15:38:36	will oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above 50b	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xd53b8e…
06-06 20:29:12	will trump say jerome or powell this week	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xd1b050…
06-06 19:54:58	will oracle q4 remaining performance obligations be above 600b	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xac15f2…
06-06 19:45:19	will oracle q4 cloud revenue be above 10pt25b	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x76d6e2…
06-05 14:44:39	will trump say egg during wisconsin events 20260602174202014	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x599e3d…
06-05 14:27:46	will trump say lion this week	No	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xfc57a7…
06-05 14:12:27	will trump say kuwait this week	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x428bbb…
06-05 13:59:49	will trump say hottest nation this week	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4f258d…
06-04 16:02:31	will trump say iran during coal announcement 20260604130800079 615	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd45c1f…
06-04 15:56:58	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xc51447…
06-04 15:51:51	will trump say beautiful 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800071 286	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x085c77…
06-04 15:38:36	will trump say oil or gas during coal announcement 20260604130800084	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x94b405…
06-04 15:16:15	will trump say tariff 5 times during wisconsin events 20260602174201996	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x725a34…
06-03 16:11:16	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology during wisconsin events 20260602174202006	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5478c3…
06-03 16:02:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xcb41b6…
06-03 15:53:27	Will Trump say "Landslide" during Wisconsin events?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf3c791…
06-03 15:48:42	will trump say iowa during wisconsin events 20260602174202013	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x51f65f…
06-03 15:07:55	Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?	No	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xa7a899…
06-03 14:44:49	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during wisconsin events 20260602174202018	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x997f97…
06-03 14:17:41	Will Trump say "Beef" during Wisconsin events?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xc74e23…
06-03 13:58:00	Will Trump say "Percent" 13+ times during Wisconsin events?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcaefda…
06-03 13:48:42	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x740f57…
06-03 13:39:08	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa80a06…
06-03 13:25:01	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 3?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xcba98e…
06-01 14:04:41	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $12.0B?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8e62b4…
05-31 13:23:39	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd9b89d…
05-31 13:02:22	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7d869e…
05-31 12:32:05	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $7.0B?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe5f94b…
05-31 12:26:03	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x18d773…
05-31 12:19:27	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $8.0B?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x204187…
05-31 12:09:18	Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x63ae52…
05-31 12:04:37	Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $300M?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x667aa6…
05-29 14:03:26	Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $6.5B?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1b41d8…
05-29 13:57:29	Will Trump say "UFC" this week?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa29bd0…
05-29 13:51:34	Will Trump say "Kangaroo" in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x214845…
05-29 13:31:35	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x912db3…
05-28 14:04:30	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb769ee…
05-28 13:58:34	Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x38e12c…
05-28 13:52:50	Will Trump say "Chicken" in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4f039a…
05-28 13:41:48	Will Trump say "Rabbit" or "Bunny" in May?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x320cb8…
05-28 13:36:28	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x246046…
05-28 13:26:14	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x372461…
05-28 13:20:53	Will Trump say "Turtle" in May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5cf08b…
05-28 13:14:20	Will Trump praise Jesus by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x051943…
05-28 13:09:15	Will Trump say "Mouse" in May?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x00544c…
05-28 13:03:57	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xed9cbe…
05-28 12:54:19	Will Trump say "Hawk" in May?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x976c11…
05-28 12:49:09	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 29?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab0151…
05-28 12:42:09	Will Trump say "Coward" this week?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfeaa29…
05-28 04:08:28	Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0xcba886…
05-28 03:55:00	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.5% by the end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x373680…
05-28 03:48:24	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% by the end of May?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x067451…
05-27 13:33:28	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2b36be…
05-27 13:26:28	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x3b6eeb…
05-27 13:13:17	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x81611f…
05-27 13:06:02	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x99cd1b…
05-27 12:57:50	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x4de873…
05-27 12:51:13	Trump re-sues WSJ by May 31?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x9c00c0…
05-27 12:44:25	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xf8b2f0…
05-27 12:30:28	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3c2c17…
05-25 11:02:08	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xfb8d54…
05-25 10:49:01	Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd21843…
05-25 10:44:21	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.3B?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x4cc3df…
05-25 10:39:23	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x831272…
05-25 10:30:10	Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x35bb78…
05-20 11:02:40	Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4ef8eb…
05-20 10:58:16	Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb2ca9d…
05-20 10:46:15	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7f49de…
05-20 10:41:52	Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x0ab2b8…
05-20 10:33:09	Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x153ff1…
05-20 10:28:36	Will Trump say "Jesus" or "Christ" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbffb82…
05-20 10:10:26	Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xc5b4c3…
05-20 10:05:04	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3a004b…
05-19 09:17:20	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa4e1c1…
05-19 09:13:10	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa9c447…
05-19 08:58:43	Will Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x935564…
05-19 08:46:42	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x526ed0…
05-19 08:42:44	Will Trump say "Afghanistan" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeace2d…
05-19 08:38:18	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x14e768…
05-19 08:34:19	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x390e83…
05-19 08:21:39	Will Trump say "ISIS" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x522ca6…
05-16 13:27:28	Will Trump post "Coal" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb78454…
05-15 03:01:10	Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa640de…
05-15 02:30:16	Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x76f895…
05-14 08:45:08	Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x25c832…
05-14 08:35:22	Will Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8e652d…
05-14 08:14:20	Will Trump say "Blackwell" this week?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x95562e…
05-13 08:43:24	Will Trump post "Virus" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2ce14d…
05-13 08:02:53	Will Trump post "Baby" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x9b33d4…