Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
open
Total volume
$1,184
$32 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$37
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-18 15:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 6% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $13 | $1.0K | $991 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $21 | $30 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $24 | $52 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $15 | $25 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $26 | $27 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $4 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| Median | 5 | $11 | $16 | $4 |
| Below median | 7 | $3 | $15 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +988 | $987 | $987 | 1 | 05-18 15:42 |
| Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | +377 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 15:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x624d…4322 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 15:42 |
| Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | No | +80 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 05-13 09:32 |
| Zigzag-Beverage 0x1b01…e682 | Yes | +67 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 18:42 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +40 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-18 14:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +31 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 05-18 14:45 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 05-15 14:37 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 05-13 04:54 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-15 07:18 |
| Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 13:34 |
| Impractical-Nylon 0x5309…4c9c | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 07:18 |
| Candid-Petal 0x8a4e…b38c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 07:54 |
| Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-11 13:34 |
| Fumbling-Thinking 0xa549…d839 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 21:15 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 13:38 |
| Austere-Thanks 0x5fc5…f452 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc9df…e583 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:19 |
| White-Hazel 0x2e76…527e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-17 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x29c7…d261 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 13:57 |
| Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 08:45 |
| Academic-Nurture 0xe5c2…94e1 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 17:11 |
| Grown-Lyre 0x48de…0c51 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x93b8…a68a | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:54 |
| Rectangular-Chip 0x9b11…6f51 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 14:36 |
| Thin-Workout 0xe293…d3ed | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:18 |
| Feisty-Carnival 0x4ac0…6d49 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 09:02 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf8f…33db | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 15:42:03 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | BUY | 377 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69073d… |
| 05-18 15:42:03 | (anonymous) 0x624d…4322 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69073d… |
| 05-18 15:42:03 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 988 | 100¢ | $987 | 0x69073d… |
| 05-18 14:46:08 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fd518… |
| 05-18 14:46:08 | White-Hazel 0x2e76…527e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fd518… |
| 05-18 14:45:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x8deafe… |
| 05-18 14:45:42 | White-Hazel 0x2e76…527e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x8deafe… |
| 05-18 09:02:28 | Feisty-Carnival 0x4ac0…6d49 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xff7427… |
| 05-18 09:02:28 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xff7427… |
| 05-17 13:38:19 | White-Hazel 0x2e76…527e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x978bce… |
| 05-17 13:38:19 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x978bce… |
| 05-15 14:37:38 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xbd8585… |
| 05-15 14:37:38 | Grown-Lyre 0x48de…0c51 | No | BUY | 3 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xbd8585… |
| 05-15 14:36:26 | Rectangular-Chip 0x9b11…6f51 | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x33330d… |
| 05-15 14:36:26 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x33330d… |
| 05-15 13:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x29c7…d261 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa44d8d… |
| 05-15 13:57:39 | Austere-Thanks 0x5fc5…f452 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa44d8d… |
| 05-15 07:18:16 | Thin-Workout 0xe293…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xc7e4ce… |
| 05-15 07:18:16 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xc7e4ce… |
| 05-15 07:18:14 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xba3bf0… |
| 05-15 07:18:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xba3bf0… |
| 05-15 07:18:14 | Impractical-Nylon 0x5309…4c9c | No | BUY | 15 | 72¢ | $11 | 0xba3bf0… |
| 05-14 20:14:59 | (anonymous) 0xcf8f…33db | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x424d26… |
| 05-14 20:14:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x424d26… |
| 05-14 08:45:08 | Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x25c832… |
| 05-14 08:45:08 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x25c832… |
| 05-13 09:32:59 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x4dc1f7… |
| 05-13 09:32:59 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | No | BUY | 32 | 54¢ | $17 | 0x4dc1f7… |
| 05-13 09:32:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 46¢ | $11 | 0x4dc1f7… |
| 05-13 04:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x93b8…a68a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xd69550… |
| 05-13 04:54:42 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xd69550… |
| 05-13 03:19:56 | (anonymous) 0xc9df…e583 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xc7dfa2… |
| 05-13 03:19:56 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xc7dfa2… |
| 05-12 16:50:07 | Winged-Hippodrome 0xddd1…e06c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x44e303… |
| 05-12 16:50:07 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x44e303… |
| 05-11 21:15:01 | Fumbling-Thinking 0xa549…d839 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x4f1884… |
| 05-11 21:15:01 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x4f1884… |
| 05-11 13:34:55 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x732b7c… |
| 05-11 13:34:55 | Fearless-Aggression 0x66c1…fa3f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0x732b7c… |
| 05-11 13:34:55 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x732b7c… |
| 05-10 18:42:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x211c82… |
| 05-10 18:42:54 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x211c82… |
| 05-10 18:42:54 | Metallic-Advocacy 0xb37f…fdcf | No | BUY | 49 | 69¢ | $34 | 0x211c82… |
| 05-10 18:42:54 | Zigzag-Beverage 0x1b01…e682 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 30¢ | $20 | 0x211c82… |
| 05-10 17:11:26 | Academic-Nurture 0xe5c2…94e1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xb5aeb6… |
| 05-10 17:11:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xb5aeb6… |
| 05-10 07:54:16 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x061ccd… |
| 05-10 07:54:16 | Candid-Petal 0x8a4e…b38c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x061ccd… |
| 05-10 06:23:30 | Winged-Hippodrome 0xddd1…e06c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x971f63… |
| 05-10 06:23:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0x971f63… |