Candid-Petal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.98K

Unrealized P&L

-$32

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

2,085

Trades

5,105

lifetime

Volume

$66.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$44

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 260 days

Categories

Politics

59% 59% +$3,892

Other

34% 53% -$224

Sports

5% 62% +$238

Crypto

1% 69% -$29

Tech

1% 76% +$35

Pop-Culture

0% 83% +$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+200	$28	6¢	$13	-$15	10-24 03:50
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+100	$10	12¢	$12	+$2	10-24 23:26
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	-10	-$2	96¢	$-10	-$8	06-17 06:19
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+109	$21	8¢	$9	-$11	10-17 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ryanair say elon or musk during earnings call	2	$979	999	0	+999	Yes	+$20	01-26 12:31
will leavitt say peace through strength during the next white house press briefing	3	$600	627	0	+627	No	+$27	01-26 19:08
will trump say hundred or thousand 10 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620557	10	$584	612	388	+224	Yes	+$53	07-04 05:55
will eli lilly say impact during earnings call	5	$486	492	10	+482	Yes	-$4	02-04 16:21
will leavitt say go ahead 6 times during the next white house press briefing	5	$445	569	49	+519	Yes	-$95	01-26 19:53
will trump say hell 2 times during newsnation interview	6	$420	332	332	+0	Yes	-$22	01-22 05:31
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	3	$406	207	207	+0	No	+$6	01-31 06:14
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	3	$403	203	203	+0	No	+$3	01-31 06:14
spx hit 6700 low jan 2026 212	3	$402	202	202	+0	No	+$2	01-31 06:14
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 player engagement 1 times	3	$394	405	0	+405	No	+$11	02-01 09:40
will hillary say bill clinton during her epstein testimony	6	$337	220	220	+0	No	+$94	02-27 01:16
will trump say n word in january	3	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	01-31 09:58
will leavitt say national guard during the next press briefing	2	$300	312	0	+312	No	+$12	02-05 19:58
will trump say central casting this week february 1	2	$300	304	0	+304	Yes	+$4	01-29 09:54
will chimp or ape be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week february 1	2	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	01-28 23:55
will ipad be said during the nyc apple event on march 4	2	$298	320	320	+0	No	+$278	03-04 23:18
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?	16	$252	657	241	+416	No	-$59	06-01 04:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$252	200	200	+0	No	+$12	04-06 15:55
will trump say eisenhower this week february 1	4	$250	257	0	+257	No	+$7	02-02 01:59
will trump say big or biggest or bigly 10 times during the announcement on thursday	2	$241	243	0	+243	No	+$2	02-06 00:35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?	5	$220	396	91	+306	No	+$182	04-25 07:59
will trump say tax or tariff 7 times during the announcement on thursday	2	$204	212	0	+212	Yes	+$8	02-06 00:32
will ai or artificial intelligence be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week february 1	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	01-28 23:43
will alpha or beta be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week february 1	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	01-28 23:49
will eli lilly say parkinsons during earnings call	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	02-04 16:04
will eli lilly say regulation or regulator or regulatory during earnings call	1	$200	202	0	+202	Yes	+$2	02-04 15:19
will trump say greenland during remarks on january 28	2	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	01-28 17:00
will trump say world peace this week february 1	1	$200	202	0	+202	Yes	+$2	01-29 04:41
will crypto or bitcoin be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience this week february 1	1	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	01-28 23:43
earnings mentions ge vernova 2026 01 28 tariff 1 times	2	$200	207	0	+207	Yes	+$7	01-28 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:18:13	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa398a3…
10-30 08:52:49	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x866afb…
10-30 06:33:24	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f7fd9…
10-30 00:02:55	Will Trump say "Beautiful" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x3de839…
10-29 23:30:43	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7569aa…
10-29 19:54:19	Will Trump say "Obama" or "Kamala" or "Biden" 12+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6957ec…
10-29 16:28:14	Will Trump say "Beautiful" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x7f7354…
10-29 14:08:46	Will Trump say "Beautiful" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x709c03…
10-29 01:43:47	Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xac80e9…
10-28 12:25:41	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x796409…
10-28 12:10:02	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	48	60¢	$28	0xfb2bd9…
10-28 09:41:44	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xe02f29…
10-28 07:34:11	Will Trump say "Liar" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xfaefc2…
10-27 14:39:48	Will Gumayusi have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0xb0831a…
10-27 14:30:56	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xf8b746…
10-27 13:59:11	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x822f92…
10-27 06:24:17	Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.5 million?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x6cd425…
10-27 04:54:14	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 5 million	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa1fd25…
10-27 04:53:05	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 5 million	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa88efc…
10-27 04:53:05	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 5 million	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x47337f…
10-27 04:52:39	will the 2026 league of legends world championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 5 million	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x0a38f2…
10-26 21:30:41	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x726128…
10-26 18:45:06	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x693c94…
10-26 16:46:42	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd96b49…
10-26 16:30:56	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xfd9efc…
10-26 13:39:00	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x68aaf8…
10-26 12:36:26	Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd59fcb…
10-26 12:32:12	Will Chovy have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0x029978…
10-26 07:22:45	Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	87	40¢	$35	0xbd31b5…
10-26 06:52:50	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x309c0c…
10-25 19:51:15	Will there be 2+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xb76944…
10-25 19:24:27	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x48f332…
10-25 16:50:14	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x95e527…
10-25 16:21:51	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xbbff33…
10-25 14:55:59	Will Gumayusi have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa2ab6d…
10-25 14:51:17	Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4ee5d1…
10-25 14:44:21	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc5ad7f…
10-25 14:43:53	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xab7694…
10-25 14:43:32	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	59	42¢	$25	0xfb34c3…
10-25 13:12:56	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x488f04…
10-25 13:10:48	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xec0d11…
10-25 10:35:06	Will Chovy have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x0235ba…
10-25 10:32:27	Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner?	No	BUY	83	40¢	$33	0x185cd2…
10-25 09:39:39	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	223	40¢	$89	0xab83b3…
10-25 05:33:17	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	11¢	$2	0xf2340c…
10-25 03:35:30	Will Ruler have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x9e0fab…
10-25 03:34:02	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x3bac70…
10-25 02:46:33	Will Smash have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xcda638…
10-25 02:07:11	Will the Worlds 2026 champion be a first-time Worlds winner?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xe3287a…
10-24 23:26:09	Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x49a08a…
10-24 07:24:38	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xf5e514…
10-24 05:09:02	Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	No	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0xf8c0be…
10-24 04:10:45	will trump say china during his midterm rally in michigan october 26	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x778345…
10-24 03:50:20	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	12¢	$11	0xbe3db9…
10-24 03:50:20	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x63ddb1…
10-24 03:34:02	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe8fad2…
10-24 03:34:02	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x3e7b5d…
10-24 03:15:57	Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x009910…
10-24 00:02:14	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xcd037f…
10-24 00:02:14	Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x6d856f…
10-24 00:02:14	Will Gumayusi have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x02303c…
10-24 00:02:12	Will Smash have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xbec755…
10-24 00:02:12	Will Smash have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xb95e67…
10-24 00:02:12	Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x827fdd…
10-24 00:02:12	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x5496a1…
10-23 17:56:35	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xc6421c…
10-23 17:56:17	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	16¢	$14	0x739c74…
10-23 17:56:15	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x500f90…
10-23 16:59:45	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xab80a9…
10-23 16:59:45	Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x9b832a…
10-23 15:12:05	Will Smash have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc5c5a6…
10-23 15:12:05	Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xa06b12…
10-23 15:12:05	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x8a9bbc…
10-23 15:12:05	Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x7fc1cf…
10-23 15:12:05	Will Ruler have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0x15b624…
10-23 14:59:36	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	35	32¢	$11	0x97c2ae…
10-23 14:57:36	Will Smash have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x0a27c8…
10-23 14:51:05	Will there be 1+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x2bf111…
10-23 13:23:24	Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xa46cca…
10-23 13:23:24	Will Ruler have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8244c1…
10-23 13:23:24	Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x08271b…
10-23 13:23:21	Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xb5e620…
10-23 13:23:21	Will Ruler have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x6bb12a…
10-23 13:23:21	Will Viper have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x1a8e62…
10-23 12:47:32	Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x7ba582…
10-23 11:47:51	Will Zeka have the most kills at Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xd63ae8…
10-23 11:47:29	Will any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb12a9a…
10-22 02:24:48	Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3c45d4…
10-20 17:58:42	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc72383…
10-20 17:37:11	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0x6430fb…
10-20 17:12:18	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x829e62…
10-20 14:08:06	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x3baf1d…
10-20 07:42:35	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x552e2d…
10-20 07:12:13	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x18be6d…
10-20 06:39:31	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdee58d…
10-20 06:36:35	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x576226…
10-20 02:29:41	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x97941c…
10-20 02:29:39	Will Trump say "Island" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xddb14e…
10-19 08:39:51	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x570dca…
10-19 03:32:35	Will there be 3+ Pentakills at Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xa921c6…