Fumbling-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-11 21:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 25% $-6

Other

41% 100% +$39

Politics

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$130	341	0	+341	open	—	03-09 22:20
efa new mnc 2026 03 07 total 3pt5	2	$118	90	90	+0	open	—	03-07 15:44
btc updown 5m 1774818600	5	$107	135	134	+1	open	—	03-29 21:14
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	3	$59	53	53	+0	open	—	03-30 20:29
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$50	89	0	+89	Yes	+$39	05-11 18:55
btc updown 5m 1775161500	3	$50	146	0	+146	open	—	04-02 20:28
btc updown 5m 1775162100	2	$40	94	0	+94	open	—	04-02 20:35
btc updown 5m 1774992900	4	$40	96	0	+96	open	—	03-31 21:38
btc updown 5m 1774993800	5	$40	120	0	+120	open	—	03-31 21:52
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	3	$35	29	29	+0	open	—	03-17 21:56
btc updown 5m 1774904100	4	$30	74	0	+74	open	—	03-30 20:58
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	1	$26	46	0	+46	open	—	03-26 18:06
btc updown 5m 1774994400	3	$25	67	0	+67	open	—	03-31 22:01
btc updown 5m 1774902900	3	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	03-30 20:38
btc updown 5m 1774818900	7	$25	63	0	+63	open	—	03-29 21:19
btc updown 5m 1774902600	3	$21	88	0	+88	open	—	03-30 20:34
btc updown 5m 1774903800	3	$21	49	0	+49	open	—	03-30 20:53
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	2	$20	25	18	+6	open	—	03-08 16:17
btc updown 5m 1774903200	2	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	03-30 20:41
btc updown 5m 1774903500	2	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	03-30 20:47
btc updown 5m 1774993500	2	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	03-31 21:47
lal gir vil 2026 04 06 vil	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-06 18:51
btc updown 5m 1775069400	2	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	04-01 18:50
btc updown 5m 1775162700	2	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	04-02 20:46
btc updown 5m 1774994700	2	$20	47	0	+47	open	—	03-31 22:07
btc updown 5m 1775069100	2	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	04-01 18:45
btc updown 5m 1775502000	3	$16	103	0	+103	open	—	04-06 19:02
btc updown 5m 1774994100	2	$15	46	0	+46	open	—	03-31 21:56
btc updown 5m 1775069700	2	$15	62	0	+62	open	—	04-01 18:55
btc updown 5m 1774819800	4	$13	34	0	+34	open	—	03-29 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 21:15:36	Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd1174d…
05-11 21:15:01	Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4f1884…
05-11 21:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb8b5f3…
05-11 21:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaed3df…
05-11 18:55:15	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x4b4e60…
05-09 15:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7d0b4a…
05-09 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb10629…
05-09 15:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0xd76a23…
05-09 15:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd3a54c…
04-15 21:48:50	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Up	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xbeb1e7…
04-15 21:46:40	btc updown 5m 1776289500	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7cf4c1…
04-15 21:44:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x37c539…
04-15 21:44:48	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 320 339	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x385f41…
04-15 21:36:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x992d6b…
04-15 21:36:10	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7fd528…
04-15 21:36:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x690ce5…
04-15 21:31:50	will mrbeast say sponsor or sponsored during his next video 776	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf2843a…
04-15 17:41:06	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags vinicius junior	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x7b2912…
04-15 17:39:30	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8832c8…
04-15 17:39:22	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x258b8d…
04-06 19:06:53	btc updown 5m 1775502300	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb635ad…
04-06 19:02:41	btc updown 5m 1775502000	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbcabec…
04-06 19:02:27	btc updown 5m 1775502000	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x52b0c3…
04-06 19:00:19	btc updown 5m 1775502000	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x618744…
04-06 18:55:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x5cdf66…
04-06 18:51:03	lal gir vil 2026 04 06 vil	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x2b2ae3…
04-02 20:46:01	btc updown 5m 1775162700	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x905ab3…
04-02 20:45:45	btc updown 5m 1775162700	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x85fdc0…
04-02 20:44:11	btc updown 5m 1775162400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1a4c7…
04-02 20:40:25	btc updown 5m 1775162400	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xbd2838…
04-02 20:35:57	btc updown 5m 1775162100	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x07d90d…
04-02 20:35:25	btc updown 5m 1775162100	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6bf9a3…
04-02 20:28:11	btc updown 5m 1775161500	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0af31d…
04-02 20:27:45	btc updown 5m 1775161500	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xacd259…
04-02 20:25:33	btc updown 5m 1775161500	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x595f5c…
04-02 20:20:19	btc updown 5m 1775161200	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x09f42e…
04-01 18:55:57	btc updown 5m 1775069700	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x919b1b…
04-01 18:55:25	btc updown 5m 1775069700	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0cea9a…
04-01 18:50:39	btc updown 5m 1775069400	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x711aa2…
04-01 18:50:27	btc updown 5m 1775069400	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe01a4f…
04-01 18:45:59	btc updown 5m 1775069100	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb00f28…
04-01 18:45:23	btc updown 5m 1775069100	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1c50ca…
04-01 18:40:43	btc updown 5m 1775068800	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xd4c6dc…
04-01 18:39:27	btc updown 5m 1775068500	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4c9944…
04-01 18:35:39	btc updown 5m 1775068500	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x183a89…
04-01 18:33:55	btc updown 5m 1775068200	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2d3d29…
03-31 22:07:13	btc updown 5m 1774994700	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xdb4899…
03-31 22:05:21	btc updown 5m 1774994700	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x36d06f…
03-31 22:01:05	btc updown 5m 1774994400	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2e1c66…
03-31 22:00:53	btc updown 5m 1774994400	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5f0b68…
03-31 22:00:29	btc updown 5m 1774994400	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xabcc81…
03-31 21:56:31	btc updown 5m 1774994100	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4e7d98…
03-31 21:56:05	btc updown 5m 1774994100	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x63c1b8…
03-31 21:52:13	btc updown 5m 1774993800	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xf15832…
03-31 21:52:01	btc updown 5m 1774993800	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe8b112…
03-31 21:51:11	btc updown 5m 1774993800	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xf74f0a…
03-31 21:50:47	btc updown 5m 1774993800	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6ed6e6…
03-31 21:50:25	btc updown 5m 1774993800	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa8f3dd…
03-31 21:47:17	btc updown 5m 1774993500	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x80631c…
03-31 21:47:07	btc updown 5m 1774993500	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4dcaab…
03-31 21:41:33	btc updown 5m 1774993200	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x81949e…
03-31 21:38:39	btc updown 5m 1774992900	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb4c71e…
03-31 21:38:07	btc updown 5m 1774992900	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0bc131…
03-31 21:35:59	btc updown 5m 1774992900	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x182343…
03-31 21:35:21	btc updown 5m 1774992900	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc88ed6…
03-31 21:32:59	btc updown 5m 1774992600	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb4db04…
03-30 21:20:23	btc updown 5m 1774905600	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x780e0f…
03-30 21:17:55	btc updown 5m 1774905300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x130dab…
03-30 21:16:47	btc updown 5m 1774905300	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x65cce9…
03-30 21:09:27	btc updown 5m 1774904700	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd70c83…
03-30 21:07:05	btc updown 5m 1774904700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x930def…
03-30 21:05:25	btc updown 5m 1774904700	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1767e6…
03-30 21:03:59	btc updown 5m 1774904400	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x161255…
03-30 21:03:13	btc updown 5m 1774904400	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf11ee…
03-30 20:58:25	btc updown 5m 1774904100	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc863b6…
03-30 20:57:47	btc updown 5m 1774904100	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x68784c…
03-30 20:55:33	btc updown 5m 1774904100	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x12473a…
03-30 20:55:23	btc updown 5m 1774904100	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x081d51…
03-30 20:53:49	btc updown 5m 1774903800	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0abe13…
03-30 20:52:11	btc updown 5m 1774903800	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2ebd44…
03-30 20:52:01	btc updown 5m 1774903800	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf61062…
03-30 20:47:03	btc updown 5m 1774903500	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0d3553…
03-30 20:45:53	btc updown 5m 1774903500	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x7715ce…
03-30 20:41:53	btc updown 5m 1774903200	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xebcb4e…
03-30 20:41:03	btc updown 5m 1774903200	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x68c35c…
03-30 20:38:07	btc updown 5m 1774902900	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0f1a10…
03-30 20:37:19	btc updown 5m 1774902900	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9f1fe6…
03-30 20:35:47	btc updown 5m 1774902900	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2cad69…
03-30 20:34:07	btc updown 5m 1774902600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7d015c…
03-30 20:32:19	btc updown 5m 1774902600	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf00cea…
03-30 20:31:51	btc updown 5m 1774902600	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6fc6a8…
03-30 20:29:43	will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$49	0xa1a3e5…
03-29 21:38:08	btc updown 5m 1774820100	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x87e600…
03-29 21:35:56	btc updown 5m 1774820100	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3eb3ab…
03-29 21:31:26	btc updown 5m 1774819800	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe4f036…
03-29 21:31:08	btc updown 5m 1774819800	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdda965…
03-29 21:30:50	btc updown 5m 1774819800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x74a723…
03-29 21:30:32	btc updown 5m 1774819800	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xda5dea…
03-29 21:25:38	btc updown 5m 1774819500	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2b746d…
03-29 21:23:00	btc updown 5m 1774819200	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x198b5b…