Flippant-Darkness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

354

Trades

738

lifetime

Volume

$8.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-15 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

63% 52% -$72

Politics

28% 56% +$9

Crypto

6% 61% -$31

Sports

4% 65% -$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	29	$2.1K	1,536	1,536	+0	Yes	+$28	01-26 11:35
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	18	$862	649	649	+0	No	+$8	01-26 18:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	13	$733	476	476	+0	Yes	+$2	03-22 17:34
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	23	$683	703	803	-100	No	+$19	01-25 13:08
spx up or down on february 9 2026	9	$262	270	270	+0	Up	-$48	02-09 15:38
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	2	$156	100	100	+0	No	+$0	01-25 01:39
will trumps remarks not air 194 699 396 332	3	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	03-25 23:41
will trump say ufc during the white house easter egg roll	7	$128	135	0	+135	No	+$7	04-06 15:13
spx up or down on january 27 2026	8	$124	410	410	+0	Up	-$58	01-27 17:48
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	6	$116	94	94	+0	Yes	-$5	01-27 17:56
footballfun fdv above 200m one day after launch xh08	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	01-16 18:16
will the us strike somalia next 656	11	$75	65	65	+0	Yes	+$1	01-18 18:17
will melania say future during fostering the future together event on march 24	5	$70	75	25	+50	Yes	+$23	03-24 10:25
wta kartal bejlek 2026 02 05	1	$67	69	0	+69	Bejlek	+$2	02-05 11:48
will trump say epic fury this week april 19	5	$67	65	26	+39	No	-$25	04-15 11:35
will trump say barack hussein obama this week april 19	2	$62	40	45	-5	Yes	-$1	04-16 18:06
will trump say iran 4 times during executive order signing today	2	$62	72	72	+0	Yes	-$58	03-31 22:01
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$60	60	0	+60	Yes	+$0	03-06 23:46
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?	4	$59	40	40	+0	Yes	+$14	04-07 13:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 15:45 UTC	3	$54	58	57	+1	Up	+$5	02-09 15:59
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1	5	$52	70	70	+0	No	-$21	02-09 16:16
will trump say kristi or noem during womens history month event	1	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	03-12 20:54
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	2	$48	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 03:23
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	5	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$0	01-23 23:34
will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$47	60	40	+20	No	-$7	01-18 15:19
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$46	30	30	+0	No	+$4	02-07 16:43
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	1	$45	49	0	+49	No	+$4	01-07 14:11
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for finland by feburary 1	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	+$0	01-18 18:39
will trump say messi or ronaldo during trophy presentation	4	$33	46	0	+46	No	+$13	03-20 13:15
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for the netherlands by feburary 1	7	$31	50	70	-20	No	+$5	01-18 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 15:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9f9ad4…
09-15 15:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbf0c22…
08-30 11:13:04	will dell say tailwind during earnings call 20260901	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1a7175…
05-26 22:01:19	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	No	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x75aae3…
05-26 22:00:47	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xf34c7d…
05-23 11:45:22	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xfc99ac…
05-22 06:51:49	Will Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x275dd9…
05-21 14:29:02	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xca792c…
05-21 09:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde8fbb…
05-21 09:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa4d9…
05-21 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x13ca76…
05-21 08:57:58	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x299ef8…
05-21 07:53:55	Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x884e82…
05-21 02:35:30	Will Trump say "Job" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe24e9d…
05-20 22:35:40	Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xb9c9a6…
05-20 22:30:18	Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc776de…
05-20 22:30:18	Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x92cfc1…
05-20 21:42:00	Will Trump say "Unemployment" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x356b34…
05-20 17:35:40	Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2d8a93…
05-20 16:50:24	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6c2fd1…
05-20 10:32:06	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe187c6…
05-20 10:31:08	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0e206c…
05-20 10:30:21	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x5f2fa4…
05-20 10:29:02	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc79c81…
05-20 10:11:59	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x36707d…
05-20 10:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc5c8dd…
05-20 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3f5c9d…
05-20 09:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc265b4…
05-20 08:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x97dc2c…
05-20 08:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x849e3e…
05-20 08:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa7efc8…
05-20 08:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x696638…
05-20 08:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xc18923…
05-20 06:13:53	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x179502…
05-20 04:46:29	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0xbb605c…
05-20 04:36:13	Will Trump say "Texas" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9b64f0…
05-20 03:17:05	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x395013…
05-19 22:37:08	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbc9e8c…
05-19 22:36:33	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf07ac4…
05-19 21:04:04	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x12e51f…
05-19 17:45:56	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x9115ef…
05-19 16:27:22	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcce95a…
05-19 15:54:05	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x15703c…
05-19 15:33:26	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xd9f355…
05-19 14:41:05	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5c3987…
05-19 14:40:04	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd97f14…
05-19 14:36:46	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf7eeb4…
05-19 12:01:53	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xad8e3a…
05-19 08:00:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xef88b3…
05-19 07:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x942e7e…
05-19 07:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd5d46a…
05-18 12:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xb0c176…
05-15 14:15:44	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x22c31f…
05-15 14:11:21	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa21a69…
05-15 14:03:51	will trump say child during bret baier interview	No	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x3d3b39…
05-15 13:28:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf0be3c…
05-15 13:28:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x8e0c30…
05-15 12:46:57	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x930006…
05-15 11:26:58	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd108b5…
05-15 11:10:10	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcbd168…
05-13 16:18:59	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xae6cf6…
05-13 01:48:21	Will King Charles say "Economy" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x900144…
05-11 14:43:13	Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaa9cfa…
05-11 14:43:06	Will Trump post "Court" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd84d07…
05-11 14:01:48	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4e5125…
05-11 13:34:55	Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x732b7c…
05-11 07:40:43	Will Trump post "Court" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x29914d…
05-10 23:52:32	Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x374ee4…
05-10 18:42:54	Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x211c82…
05-10 17:43:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3751ab…
05-10 10:21:21	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xabb62f…
05-10 10:17:37	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc3ad9b…
05-10 10:16:51	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb6cf0f…
05-10 08:53:40	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdaaa6c…
05-10 03:20:21	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6b5e21…
05-10 00:43:05	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x4561d1…
05-09 22:35:08	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4843f3…
05-09 21:22:20	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1dd8c8…
05-09 20:40:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x55c177…
05-09 19:11:21	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4f17a9…
05-09 19:10:58	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x426098…
05-09 18:13:15	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xed7e21…
05-09 13:32:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe951f6…
05-09 13:14:56	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa55381…
05-09 12:37:17	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x57dd48…
05-09 12:09:20	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x286a7e…
05-09 12:08:14	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x094487…
05-09 11:57:58	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x217097…
05-09 11:57:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x878206…
05-09 11:57:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x84c636…
05-09 11:57:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x76b3ce…
05-09 11:57:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x65e42f…
05-09 11:57:56	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x49b554…
05-09 11:57:54	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1543b6…
05-09 10:00:01	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x31096d…
05-09 09:57:55	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6fe8b7…
05-09 09:57:55	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x4b79fe…
05-09 09:57:53	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x516d36…
05-09 09:40:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x275f16…
05-09 04:07:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x12f7ef…