Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?
open
Total volume
$2,366
$5 in 24h
Trades
132
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$182
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-04-29
last 06-01 06:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $26 | $716 | $689 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $15 | $679 | $664 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $35 | $57 | $21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $23 | $84 | $61 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $29 | $105 | $76 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $3 | $107 | $104 |
| Median | 9 | $12 | $86 | $74 |
| Below median | 9 | $18 | $513 | $495 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $2 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $28 | $14 | +$14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 12 | $5 | $697 | $692 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | +698 | $697 | $697 | 9 | 06-01 06:09 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +250 | $9 | $9 | 13 | 05-31 16:27 |
| Mundane-Federation 0xafd2…9693 | Yes | +216 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 05-03 05:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +155 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 05-02 14:05 |
| Stark-Chops 0xdc0a…ccdc | Yes | +85 | $2 | $10 | 2 | 05-04 10:46 |
| Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | +75 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 05-29 07:06 |
| Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | +68 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-31 16:27 |
| Bite-Sized-Spec 0xb9e5…ac77 | No | +66 | $63 | $63 | 4 | 05-29 14:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa846…f0ff | Yes | +41 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-03 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7b8…9ea2 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 7 | 05-18 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-03 05:52 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +23 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-28 13:03 |
| Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | +23 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-20 23:10 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +23 | $18 | $18 | 4 | 05-30 09:25 |
| Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-27 20:41 |
| Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | +17 | $17 | $18 | 7 | 05-30 17:16 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 06:05 |
| Active-Standoff 0xa79e…5e9e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 11:22 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 06:05 |
| Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-31 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2030…a4f9 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-27 20:41 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +8 | $-0 | $1 | 4 | 05-29 03:37 |
| Animated-Guard 0x666f…36fa | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-27 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-31 22:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-28 11:33 |
| Wonderful-Period 0x2815…7f0c | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-18 03:09 |
| Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-30 14:14 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 22:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 17:17 |
| Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f3…897a | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 11:33 |
| Bare-Battalion 0x8386…c2f2 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-03 08:24 |
| Unhealthy-Textbook 0x51a0…95ab | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 16:24 |
| Bare-Battalion 0x8386…c2f2 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 15:03 |
| Plush-Sword 0x3c0e…b14a | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-29 08:10 |
| Scared-Surfboard 0xed7e…80ff | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:17 |
| Scientific-Cocoa 0xb3f7…baae | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 20:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 06:09:45 | Energetic-Prune 0x8657…a0b1 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xf1a02b… |
| 06-01 06:09:45 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x968c1c… |
| 06-01 06:09:45 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xf1a02b… |
| 06-01 06:09:45 | Fatherly-Strobe 0x6d46…ff87 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x968c1c… |
| 06-01 06:09:45 | Hefty-Unblinking 0x7e57…b44f | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x2a272d… |
| 06-01 06:09:45 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x2a272d… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8e58f2… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x8563dd… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x96db72… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Hairy-Limitation 0x07d0…1050 | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x8e58f2… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4aa8c8… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Writhing-Tomtom 0x451a…2dc7 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4aa8c8… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Spry-Regulation 0xc2d9…2511 | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x8563dd… |
| 06-01 06:09:44 | Sad-Pressurization 0xb7f2…90f7 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x96db72… |
| 06-01 06:09:42 | Daring-Candidacy 0xe7b6…4394 | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4356b7… |
| 06-01 06:09:42 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4356b7… |
| 06-01 06:09:40 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 562 | 100¢ | $561 | 0xbd1fd3… |
| 06-01 06:09:40 | Circular-Wifi 0x3314…a8c7 | No | SELL | 562 | 100¢ | $561 | 0xbd1fd3… |
| 06-01 06:05:21 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x95f375… |
| 06-01 06:05:21 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95f375… |
| 05-31 22:22:06 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6730f… |
| 05-31 22:22:06 | Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xc6730f… |
| 05-31 22:22:06 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6730f… |
| 05-31 20:45:44 | Scientific-Cocoa 0xb3f7…baae | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x56489d… |
| 05-31 20:45:44 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56489d… |
| 05-31 17:17:24 | (anonymous) 0xf02d…e07c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac005f… |
| 05-31 17:17:24 | Tremendous-Administration 0x966c…fa4a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac005f… |
| 05-31 17:17:24 | (anonymous) 0x8165…2f9b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac005f… |
| 05-31 16:27:07 | Required-Rocker 0xc468…009d | No | BUY | 68 | 97¢ | $66 | 0xd0c49a… |
| 05-31 16:27:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 68 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xd0c49a… |
| 05-31 11:22:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2e4bb5… |
| 05-31 11:22:51 | Active-Standoff 0xa79e…5e9e | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x2e4bb5… |
| 05-30 17:16:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe621b9… |
| 05-30 17:16:53 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe621b9… |
| 05-30 14:14:53 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3c57b2… |
| 05-30 14:14:53 | Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3c57b2… |
| 05-30 12:17:03 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xf6c461… |
| 05-30 12:17:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf6c461… |
| 05-30 11:10:07 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x0a0fa5… |
| 05-30 11:10:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0a0fa5… |
| 05-30 09:25:54 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x47c7e0… |
| 05-30 09:25:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x47c7e0… |
| 05-29 19:12:15 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0e06e6… |
| 05-29 19:12:15 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0e06e6… |
| 05-29 14:59:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa7acc4… |
| 05-29 14:59:12 | Bite-Sized-Spec 0xb9e5…ac77 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xa7acc4… |
| 05-29 14:53:34 | Bite-Sized-Spec 0xb9e5…ac77 | No | BUY | 34 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x52d356… |
| 05-29 14:53:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x52d356… |
| 05-29 14:47:11 | Bite-Sized-Spec 0xb9e5…ac77 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x13c1ee… |
| 05-29 14:47:11 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x13c1ee… |
| 05-29 14:47:02 | Bite-Sized-Spec 0xb9e5…ac77 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x2c47e3… |
| 05-29 14:47:02 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2c47e3… |
| 05-29 07:06:03 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x302383… |
| 05-29 07:06:03 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x302383… |
| 05-29 07:05:44 | Tight-Nourishment 0x1718…8cee | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xbe06eb… |
| 05-29 07:05:44 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbe06eb… |
| 05-29 06:11:52 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfe9d54… |
| 05-29 06:11:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xfe9d54… |
| 05-29 03:37:34 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x9c7723… |
| 05-29 03:37:34 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0x9c7723… |
| 05-28 16:34:44 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x2646fe… |
| 05-28 16:34:44 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | SELL | 0 | 59¢ | $0 | 0x2646fe… |
| 05-28 16:29:41 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | SELL | 1 | 59¢ | $0 | 0x7d5995… |
| 05-28 16:29:41 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x7d5995… |
| 05-28 15:54:41 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8fc2ed… |
| 05-28 15:54:41 | Breakable-Fallingout 0x51b5…9975 | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x8fc2ed… |
| 05-28 13:03:57 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xed9cbe… |
| 05-28 13:03:57 | Tan-Vitro 0x1c7d…1d42 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xed9cbe… |
| 05-28 11:33:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xec90da… |
| 05-28 11:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x46f3…897a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xec90da… |
| 05-28 10:36:27 | Glossy-Tic 0x8e57…53b3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc32bff… |
| 05-28 10:36:27 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc32bff… |
| 05-27 20:41:54 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | No | BUY | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x3af3b4… |
| 05-27 20:41:54 | (anonymous) 0x2030…a4f9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x3af3b4… |
| 05-27 00:47:23 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xad1845… |
| 05-27 00:47:23 | Animated-Guard 0x666f…36fa | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xad1845… |
| 05-26 22:01:19 | Dear-Gripper 0x41cb…a5df | No | BUY | 12 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x75aae3… |
| 05-26 22:01:19 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | SELL | 12 | 71¢ | $9 | 0x75aae3… |
| 05-26 22:00:47 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xf34c7d… |
| 05-26 22:00:47 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xf34c7d… |
| 05-23 11:45:22 | Tremendous-Administration 0x966c…fa4a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xfc99ac… |
| 05-23 11:45:22 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xfc99ac… |
| 05-20 23:10:02 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xbe9cf0… |
| 05-20 23:10:02 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbe9cf0… |
| 05-19 14:40:04 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xd97f14… |
| 05-19 14:40:04 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xd97f14… |
| 05-18 16:24:59 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0x37488e… |
| 05-18 16:24:59 | Unhealthy-Textbook 0x51a0…95ab | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x37488e… |
| 05-18 03:09:12 | (anonymous) 0xd7b8…9ea2 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3cd5a7… |
| 05-18 03:09:12 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x3cd5a7… |
| 05-18 03:09:12 | Wonderful-Period 0x2815…7f0c | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x3cd5a7… |
| 05-13 19:55:40 | (anonymous) 0xd7b8…9ea2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x014489… |
| 05-13 19:55:40 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x014489… |
| 05-10 03:20:21 | Glossy-Tic 0x8e57…53b3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x6b5e21… |
| 05-10 03:20:21 | Flippant-Darkness 0x39f4…6a91 | No | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x6b5e21… |
| 05-09 22:07:54 | (anonymous) 0xd7b8…9ea2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5b11dc… |
| 05-09 22:07:54 | Avaricious-Realm 0x1236…c968 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x5b11dc… |
| 05-08 16:40:20 | Shameful-Ram 0x726c…6bfd | No | BUY | 3 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x59c405… |
| 05-08 16:40:20 | (anonymous) 0xd7b8…9ea2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x59c405… |
| 05-08 13:17:51 | Scared-Surfboard 0xed7e…80ff | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2ed99c… |