Raw-Contributor 0xc624cc…d2ee24
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$12.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.92K
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
1,314
Trades
8,280
lifetime
Volume
$925.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$25.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 240 days
Categories
Politics
73% 68% +$7,948
Other
27% 66% +$4,384
Crypto
0% 61% -$154
Sports
0% 25% -$21
Tech
0% 78% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,844 $5,367 92¢ $5.3K -$20 10-26 20:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,637 $2,039 68¢ $3.1K +$1,091 10-13 00:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,212 $1,395 79¢ $1.7K +$353 10-21 23:28
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,141 $933 38¢ $1.2K +$276 10-24 00:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,246 -$534 96¢ $-1202 -$668 10-01 11:10
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -1,276 -$1,135 92¢ $-1180 -$45 10-26 05:40
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,421 $975 78¢ $1.1K +$140 10-21 23:29
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +2,520 $766 40¢ $995 +$230 10-24 00:34
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,393 $787 70¢ $968 +$181 10-09 04:54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,255 $975 42¢ $947 -$28 10-26 06:13
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,210 $449 68¢ $817 +$368 10-22 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,079 $484 70¢ $755 +$271 10-21 17:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,080 $475 70¢ $750 +$275 10-21 17:42
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +23,500 $288 2¢ $588 +$299 10-18 01:58
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -449 -$412 95¢ $-428 -$15 05-20 11:51
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +439 $360 85¢ $373 +$13 10-16 09:13
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +643 -$218 55¢ $356 +$574 10-27 18:19
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -358 -$332 97¢ $-348 -$16 10-11 08:45
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -342 -$303 96¢ $-330 -$27 06-23 00:38
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +566 $246 56¢ $314 +$68 10-27 18:19
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -322 -$311 97¢ $-311 -$1 10-11 08:44
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +492 $266 62¢ $307 +$42 10-27 05:09
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +695 $220 40¢ $282 +$62 10-23 16:58
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -297 -$422 88¢ $-259 +$163 10-25 20:39
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -267 -$255 96¢ $-255 $0 10-11 08:48
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +312 $200 66¢ $208 +$8 10-16 21:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +472 -$96 43¢ $203 +$299 10-17 22:00
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +221 $144 78¢ $173 +$29 10-23 18:08
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -174 -$171 98¢ $-171 $0 10-11 08:48
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -120 -$116 97¢ $-117 -$1 10-11 08:43