Realized P&L
+$174
Unrealized P&L
-$1.19K
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
4,758
lifetime
Volume
$505.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$2.53K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$101
Other
29% 60% +$73
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -704 $-523 84¢ $-588 $-65 06-07 19:52
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +300 $300 100¢ $300 +$0 06-03 07:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -746 $-278 40¢ $-295 $-17 06-03 05:36
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes -263 $425 100¢ $-263 $-687 06-07 02:59
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +318 $200 63¢ $200 +$0 05-30 04:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +162 $149 98¢ $158 +$9 06-05 23:04
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -152 $-41 100¢ $-151 $-111 06-05 17:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -170 $-143 84¢ $-143 $-1 06-06 00:29
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-175 67¢ $-134 +$42 06-07 21:49
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -80 $-75 92¢ $-74 +$1 06-08 21:20
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-63 62¢ $-62 +$2 06-06 00:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -72 $24 72¢ $-52 $-76 06-08 04:37
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -44 $-39 91¢ $-40 $-1 06-09 00:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -109 $-24 32¢ $-35 $-11 05-29 14:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $20 46¢ $21 +$1 05-29 22:48
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 90¢ $-13 +$1 05-28 04:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes -61 $-10 $-5 +$5 05-28 20:26
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +13 $278 $0 $-278 06-06 06:14