Realized P&L
+$174
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
4,874
lifetime
Volume
$514.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$4.02K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 08:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$101
Other
29% 60% +$73
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2,980 $1,491 56¢ $1.7K +$193 06-26 04:26
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +1,269 $810 68¢ $869 +$59 06-25 03:05
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -342 $-303 92¢ $-316 $-13 06-23 00:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -746 $-278 34¢ $-258 +$20 06-03 05:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +162 $149 100¢ $162 +$13 06-05 23:04
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -170 $-143 86¢ $-147 $-4 06-06 00:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -139 $-87 99¢ $-138 $-51 06-25 01:40
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -80 $-75 92¢ $-73 +$1 06-08 21:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +120 $60 59¢ $71 +$11 06-19 03:04
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-63 64¢ $-64 $-2 06-06 00:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -72 $24 84¢ $-61 $-84 06-08 04:37
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -110 $-41 42¢ $-46 $-5 06-11 19:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -98 $-41 44¢ $-43 $-2 06-30 08:31
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -44 $-39 68¢ $-30 +$9 06-09 00:10
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +198 $35 14¢ $27 $-8 06-22 04:04
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 92¢ $-13 +$0 05-28 04:06
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-22 02:58
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +8 $7 85¢ $7 +$0 06-27 02:05
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes -61 $-10 $-0 +$10 05-28 20:26