Realized P&L
+$174
Unrealized P&L
+$118
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
5,025
lifetime
Volume
$534.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$2.96K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 05:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
69% 60% +$101
Other
31% 60% +$73
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +1,576 $1,040 76¢ $1.2K +$166 07-13 04:59
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -342 $-303 93¢ $-318 $-15 06-23 00:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -746 $-278 34¢ $-254 +$24 06-03 05:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -169 $-158 94¢ $-159 $-1 07-21 01:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -170 $-143 86¢ $-145 $-3 06-06 00:29
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -145 $-136 94¢ $-136 $-0 07-11 05:13
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +169 $100 63¢ $107 +$7 07-17 20:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +105 $100 94¢ $99 $-1 07-17 20:02
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-94 90¢ $-90 +$3 07-01 07:50
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -95 $-87 90¢ $-86 +$0 07-21 01:47
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-63 72¢ $-72 $-9 06-06 00:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -72 $24 73¢ $-53 $-77 06-08 04:37
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -41 $-36 88¢ $-37 $-0 07-21 01:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -98 $-41 36¢ $-35 +$6 06-30 08:31
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -110 $-41 30¢ $-33 +$7 06-11 19:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +361 $35 $31 $-4 07-20 10:26
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -94 $-34 31¢ $-29 +$5 07-05 00:18
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +51 $31 56¢ $28 $-3 07-21 05:12
Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31? Yes +30 $25 60¢ $18 $-7 07-13 19:37
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +16 $15 86¢ $14 $-1 07-05 00:18
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? Yes -79 $-9 11¢ $-8 +$1 07-05 00:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -0 $-19 66¢ $-0 +$19 07-21 05:12