Raw-Contributor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

Trades

5,139

lifetime

Volume

$547.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

69% 60% +$101

Other

31% 60% +$73

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	51	$14.4K	10,865	10,865	+0	open	—	02-01 00:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	90	$11.4K	11,845	7,117	+4,729	open	—	05-30 18:54
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	31	$11.4K	7,224	5,301	+1,923	open	—	01-24 04:22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	55	$11.0K	10,827	10,955	-128	open	—	02-13 04:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	32	$10.0K	6,905	6,905	+0	open	—	02-27 12:18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	27	$9.5K	9,652	9,652	+0	open	—	02-16 03:31
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	18	$9.3K	4,952	4,952	+0	open	—	02-28 06:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	36	$9.2K	6,494	6,592	-97	open	—	05-24 22:48
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	51	$8.8K	9,948	10,595	-647	open	—	02-27 11:51
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	68	$8.7K	12,792	12,792	+0	open	—	01-30 16:33
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	29	$8.0K	5,722	5,283	+439	open	—	05-21 21:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	15	$7.7K	4,353	4,843	-490	open	—	01-19 04:51
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	32	$7.0K	4,928	5,191	-263	open	—	06-07 02:59
will yoweri kaguta museveni win the 2026 ugandan presidential election	8	$6.9K	6,319	625	+5,694	open	—	01-17 08:01
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	19	$6.6K	8,193	3,801	+4,392	open	—	01-17 01:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	32	$6.6K	5,902	5,902	+0	open	—	08-10 00:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	35	$6.5K	5,975	5,799	+176	No	+$179	05-07 21:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	34	$6.4K	5,666	8,166	-2,500	open	—	02-21 22:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	31	$6.1K	5,297	5,245	+51	open	—	05-30 20:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	14	$6.1K	3,590	3,590	-0	open	—	04-12 20:35
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	31	$6.0K	3,096	3,196	-100	open	—	01-24 17:12
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	21	$5.8K	4,259	4,259	+0	open	—	01-18 10:03
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	14	$5.6K	5,496	1,140	+4,356	open	—	01-03 08:00
will ilhan omar be charged with fraud	5	$5.4K	5,253	250	+5,003	open	—	01-31 18:17
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	62	$5.1K	3,283	3,773	-490	open	—	01-23 10:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$5.1K	8,348	7,088	+1,260	open	—	08-02 13:45
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$5.1K	2,627	2,627	+0	open	—	01-30 16:35
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	20	$4.9K	3,905	3,905	+0	open	—	05-06 15:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	26	$4.9K	6,431	6,531	-100	open	—	02-28 07:09
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	11	$4.9K	2,532	2,532	+0	open	—	01-22 18:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 21:44:48	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3b51b0…
08-11 03:01:57	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xfbfd0f…
08-10 19:46:27	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xb28fcd…
08-10 18:27:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x09e97a…
08-10 01:19:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	223	56¢	$125	0x98e5ea…
08-10 00:22:18	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	625	21¢	$131	0x154b4a…
08-09 15:46:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	270	34¢	$92	0xe695d5…
08-09 04:43:34	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xddf5e0…
08-09 04:43:27	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa4ee21…
08-09 04:41:49	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd3084d…
08-09 04:34:12	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x4cda78…
08-09 04:33:57	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xc13c26…
08-09 04:26:22	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0cec64…
08-09 04:24:15	will gustavo petro be charged in the us by december 31	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfc3f31…
08-08 23:41:19	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x035b09…
08-08 22:00:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0x28df2b…
08-08 20:54:28	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x90f234…
08-08 19:29:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0xb7ecd3…
08-08 14:03:55	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x759dfe…
08-08 12:48:52	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xf114c4…
08-08 04:09:13	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x6848e4…
08-08 04:08:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xc046fd…
08-08 01:23:01	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xde93c9…
08-08 00:48:36	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x760b2a…
08-08 00:48:28	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xe1f16f…
08-07 23:35:10	will trump say epic fury this week 20260731171342115	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x38f7c0…
08-07 18:51:45	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	73	40¢	$29	0x3ff304…
08-07 18:00:01	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	99	54¢	$53	0x771012…
08-07 15:52:13	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	99	53¢	$52	0x921aab…
08-07 15:52:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	73	40¢	$29	0x78d762…
08-07 15:50:58	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x5b06e8…
08-07 15:21:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x554223…
08-07 06:35:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xcb4cb6…
08-07 03:52:37	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x023b3f…
08-07 03:45:57	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	290	32¢	$93	0x2ada12…
08-07 03:44:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	SELL	144	70¢	$101	0x85494f…
08-07 01:20:55	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x5edd23…
08-07 01:19:27	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	290	32¢	$93	0x61a13d…
08-06 23:49:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0xd383be…
08-06 19:57:09	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x5fb010…
08-06 19:55:51	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	97	20¢	$20	0xf78332…
08-06 19:28:38	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	662	77¢	$510	0x09c2c9…
08-06 07:16:14	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x9e0d0a…
08-06 07:08:45	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	97	20¢	$19	0xd96923…
08-05 16:56:26	will john fetterman vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821982	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x58cf51…
08-04 03:23:53	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xfcd4df…
08-03 07:26:02	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	625	24¢	$150	0x9863ae…
08-03 04:01:08	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x0632a4…
08-02 13:45:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x66c5bd…
08-02 06:05:53	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	53	22¢	$12	0xaf95be…
08-02 02:28:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x24cd42…
08-01 15:03:59	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	74	24¢	$18	0x06bc2c…
08-01 14:49:47	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x7a4940…
07-31 07:02:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	472	8¢	$38	0x74121d…
07-31 05:08:02	will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xf00922…
07-31 01:07:38	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0xc6217f…
07-30 19:33:14	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x62c1e0…
07-30 19:31:15	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7208ca…
07-30 06:51:59	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	93¢	$140	0xe75d1b…
07-30 02:26:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	74¢	$75	0xd3ce4c…
07-30 01:56:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	680	73¢	$499	0x302265…
07-30 01:50:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0xae0ca0…
07-30 00:22:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0x4f04ac…
07-29 19:17:03	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xf6ca4c…
07-29 12:49:53	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xf100ac…
07-28 22:27:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	134	81¢	$108	0xadbb4e…
07-28 22:15:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x65cdc3…
07-28 22:14:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x245b53…
07-28 22:12:29	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xc87514…
07-28 20:16:43	will a new country join the abraham accords by july 31 20260626214759163	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x10ff30…
07-28 20:16:14	will netanyahu publicly insult trump by july 31 20260724180328774	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x164b66…
07-28 20:12:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xde7197…
07-28 20:12:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x672727…
07-28 20:00:55	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x9d3cdc…
07-28 19:46:07	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xcc24ad…
07-28 14:43:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x0ed69a…
07-28 14:33:13	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,561	81¢	$1,265	0x7d1729…
07-28 12:53:35	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0x022c78…
07-27 19:10:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	149	64¢	$96	0xeac9aa…
07-27 19:10:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	279	55¢	$153	0x1d8e33…
07-27 19:10:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	169	51¢	$87	0x93c94f…
07-27 17:24:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xbaf23a…
07-27 17:01:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x3126ad…
07-27 16:53:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xfe7100…
07-27 06:47:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xbf8d86…
07-27 05:17:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xc583fd…
07-26 20:16:42	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0x8c7171…
07-26 18:27:57	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	342	73¢	$250	0x2e6635…
07-26 17:13:16	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1900ca…
07-25 20:26:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x3a24bf…
07-25 18:43:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	333	25¢	$83	0x6294dc…
07-24 21:02:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x85c4e9…
07-24 19:52:12	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9b5290…
07-24 12:30:18	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xb1d3e7…
07-24 09:56:24	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xba6ee9…
07-24 09:56:01	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x5825a6…
07-24 04:44:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x6625a4…
07-24 04:43:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x31100d…
07-23 02:16:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x2d8781…
07-22 19:09:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x64d333…