Realized P&L (30d)
+$27
Unrealized P&L
+$3.33K
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved (30d)
33
Trades (30d)
477
8,333 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$84.1K
$929.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$23.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 02:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Politics
73% 68% +$7,948
Other
27% 66% +$4,409
Crypto
0% 61% -$154
Sports
0% 25% -$21
Tech
0% 78% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,951 $5,467 94¢ $5.6K +$98 10-29 06:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,637 $2,039 70¢ $3.3K +$1,230 10-13 00:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,212 $1,395 82¢ $1.8K +$419 10-21 23:28
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,246 -$534 97¢ $-1213 -$679 10-01 11:10
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -1,276 -$1,135 92¢ $-1174 -$39 10-26 05:40
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,421 $975 82¢ $1.2K +$183 10-21 23:29
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,393 $787 76¢ $1.1K +$279 10-09 04:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,210 $449 72¢ $865 +$416 10-22 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,079 $484 72¢ $772 +$287 10-21 17:42
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,080 $475 70¢ $761 +$286 10-21 17:42
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +23,500 $288 2¢ $588 +$299 10-18 01:58
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -449 -$412 96¢ $-431 -$19 05-20 11:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +600 $396 68¢ $411 +$15 10-28 17:14
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +439 $360 87¢ $382 +$22 10-16 09:13
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -358 -$332 97¢ $-348 -$16 10-11 08:45
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -342 -$303 96¢ $-330 -$27 06-23 00:38
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +492 $266 66¢ $327 +$61 10-27 05:09
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +695 $220 46¢ $320 +$100 10-23 16:58
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -322 -$311 97¢ $-312 -$1 10-11 08:44
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -297 -$422 90¢ $-267 +$155 10-25 20:39
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -267 -$255 97¢ $-258 -$4 10-11 08:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +592 -$44 41¢ $243 +$287 10-29 16:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -312 -$293 70¢ $-217 +$76 10-28 13:13
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +312 $200 68¢ $214 +$14 10-16 21:13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $204 91¢ $202 -$2 10-28 11:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +224 $180 80¢ $181 +$1 10-28 13:33
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +221 $144 80¢ $175 +$31 10-23 18:08
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -174 -$171 98¢ $-171 +$0 10-11 08:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -541 $21 22¢ $-122 -$142 08-17 22:02
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -120 -$116 97¢ $-117 -$1 10-11 08:43