Raw-Contributor 0xc624cc…d2ee24 Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$17
Unrealized P&L
+$5.31K
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
26
8,403 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.61K
$940.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$26.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 06:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 244 days
Categories
Politics
73% 68% +$7,975
Other
27% 66% +$4,408
Crypto
0% 61% -$154
Sports
0% 25% -$21
Tech
0% 78% +$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,265 $5,764 94¢ $5.9K +$156 11-02 21:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,637 $2,039 74¢ $3.5K +$1,416 10-13 00:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,212 $1,395 82¢ $1.8K +$430 10-21 23:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +1,829 $1,024 72¢ $1.3K +$284 11-02 22:33
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,776 $975 72¢ $1.3K +$295 11-02 22:32
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -1,246 -$534 98¢ $-1224 -$690 10-01 11:10
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -1,276 -$1,135 94¢ $-1193 -$58 10-26 05:40
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,421 $975 84¢ $1.2K +$211 10-21 23:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,210 $449 74¢ $902 +$453 10-22 17:19
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,040 $484 80¢ $837 +$353 11-02 17:20
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +23,500 $288 3¢ $599 +$311 10-18 01:58
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +815 $555 74¢ $599 +$44 11-02 17:40
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? Yes +669 $398 89¢ $595 +$197 10-15 19:00
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? No +666 $531 88¢ $589 +$58 10-26 23:09
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +941 -$114 62¢ $588 +$702 10-30 18:56
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +745 -$78 64¢ $473 +$551 10-30 17:11
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -449 -$412 97¢ $-436 -$24 05-20 11:51
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +542 $310 74¢ $398 +$88 11-02 18:06
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +439 $360 88¢ $386 +$26 10-16 09:13
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -358 -$332 97¢ $-348 -$17 10-11 08:45
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No -342 -$303 96¢ $-329 -$26 06-23 00:38
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -322 -$311 97¢ $-312 -$1 10-11 08:44
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -297 -$422 92¢ $-273 +$149 10-25 20:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +351 $230 76¢ $269 +$39 11-02 18:27
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -267 -$255 97¢ $-258 -$3 10-11 08:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +592 -$44 40¢ $238 +$282 10-29 16:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -312 -$293 72¢ $-223 +$69 10-28 13:13
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +222 $204 92¢ $203 -$1 10-28 11:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +224 $180 84¢ $188 +$8 10-28 13:33
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -174 -$171 96¢ $-168 +$3 10-11 08:48