Plush-Sword — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$877

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-24 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

73% 31% -$174

Politics

15% 41% +$58

Sports

10% 27% -$24

Tech

2% 100% +$19

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-6	-$5	94¢	$-5	$0	07-24 19:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-91	-$7	2¢	$-2	+$6	07-24 19:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-12	-$3	14¢	$-2	+$1	07-24 19:11
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-23	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$0	07-24 19:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	2	$150	176	176	+0	Yes	+$30	06-15 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?	1	$100	244	0	+244	No	-$100	06-26 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	1	$50	116	0	+116	Yes	+$66	06-16 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	1	$50	141	0	+141	No	-$50	07-24 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 6?	1	$29	61	0	+61	No	-$29	05-05 07:32
russia coup attempt in 2026	2	$17	100	100	+0	open	—	07-24 19:10
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	2	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	07-24 19:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	+$18	04-25 15:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	05-03 17:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	05-13 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?	1	$12	21	0	+21	Yes	-$12	06-26 11:59
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$11	115	0	+115	No	-$11	05-14 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	1	$11	16	0	+16	Yes	+$5	06-02 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 7?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	06-07 13:11
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	1	$10	28	0	+28	No	-$10	06-15 14:38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	111	0	+111	No	-$10	06-01 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 18?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	05-17 20:17
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	-$10	06-15 14:37
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	1	$10	34	0	+34	No	-$10	03-22 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?	1	$10	23	0	+23	No	-$10	07-21 07:48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	58	0	+58	No	-$10	06-01 06:42
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	270	0	+270	No	-$10	06-01 06:42
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$10	28	0	+28	No	-$10	03-22 20:53
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	04-26 15:37
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	+$24	05-17 20:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	04-26 07:43
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	03-22 20:52
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	05-17 20:32
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	+$6	05-17 20:41
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	07-24 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 19:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	141	35¢	$50	0x41ab0c…
07-24 19:12:00	Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x4b3b3f…
07-24 19:11:57	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xa5adcf…
07-24 19:11:51	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x94c575…
07-24 19:11:48	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	23	3¢	$1	0x331d6d…
07-24 19:11:42	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x3a1133…
07-24 19:11:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x065a7b…
07-24 19:11:30	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xfd9d53…
07-24 19:11:25	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x21b978…
07-24 19:11:18	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x0fc5e5…
07-24 19:11:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	8¢	$7	0x6e30fc…
07-24 19:11:10	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xe9415b…
07-24 19:11:07	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xb0aff7…
07-24 19:11:00	Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xfbc543…
07-24 19:10:57	trump meets with putin by december 31	Yes	SELL	23	28¢	$7	0xac1137…
07-24 19:10:52	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2b8108…
07-24 19:10:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$9	0x7187f4…
07-21 07:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xa468aa…
07-20 06:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x839190…
07-06 14:32:11	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x807e21…
07-04 20:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9ca36f…
06-26 11:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xcbf1a4…
06-26 07:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x07ec19…
06-16 07:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4a9829…
06-16 07:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd4a83d…
06-16 07:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x611698…
06-15 14:38:00	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x346b7f…
06-15 14:37:43	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd7c09c…
06-15 14:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa4e5fb…
06-15 14:17:15	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xdaece9…
06-15 14:16:58	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4ec124…
06-15 14:16:51	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0268da…
06-15 14:16:28	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x71228d…
06-15 14:16:21	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xaca162…
06-15 14:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc2b0e1…
06-15 14:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	228	0¢	$1	0x0c2798…
06-15 14:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x58a1d6…
06-15 14:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	176	51¢	$90	0x928db6…
06-15 11:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	176	34¢	$60	0x812af0…
06-09 13:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1439ea…
06-08 11:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x17062a…
06-08 11:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x9fe155…
06-07 13:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xbf30a7…
06-07 13:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x994646…
06-07 13:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb44c86…
06-07 13:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x24ec1f…
06-06 06:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x67f20d…
06-06 06:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x9d205f…
06-06 06:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x69f662…
06-06 06:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xdd9cfa…
06-05 08:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xad93ef…
06-05 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4f6101…
06-05 08:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4a084a…
06-02 09:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x0405a6…
06-01 20:55:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xcbc6cb…
06-01 06:42:43	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xf9fd6d…
06-01 06:42:32	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x1ee81c…
06-01 06:42:27	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xc022c1…
06-01 06:33:25	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9c681d…
06-01 06:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x1a7d5a…
06-01 06:28:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5ee3e5…
05-25 11:29:42	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x8e0bb6…
05-21 18:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdb00ac…
05-21 08:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf581f1…
05-21 08:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x45dc54…
05-17 20:41:45	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd82a83…
05-17 20:36:00	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0dfc3d…
05-17 20:32:30	Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa4fc92…
05-17 20:22:58	Russia coup attempt in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5817cc…
05-17 20:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc9a6eb…
05-14 21:44:09	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xe4743a…
05-14 15:15:23	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x499182…
05-13 07:45:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x7509ab…
05-05 07:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0x3cddf8…
05-05 07:30:06	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xc61dfd…
05-03 18:03:56	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x27b12d…
05-03 18:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x6127ed…
05-03 17:58:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x0508a5…
05-01 19:15:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x686a4a…
05-01 19:12:30	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1ce3bc…
05-01 19:11:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x076f24…
05-01 16:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x2110b0…
05-01 16:54:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x87b52d…
05-01 14:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 2?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf5519f…
04-30 19:53:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x616bd7…
04-30 19:51:16	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x100013…
04-30 19:50:30	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd72636…
04-30 19:46:04	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8beedb…
04-30 19:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x099afa…
04-29 08:10:10	Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x24ffc7…
04-29 08:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9a3d7c…
04-29 08:07:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x88b6a4…
04-29 08:06:12	Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa793cd…
04-29 08:03:40	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf18899…
04-29 08:01:32	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaf04b5…
04-29 08:00:52	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x82c91a…
04-29 07:56:44	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c64bf…
04-29 07:56:02	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdfe909…
04-29 07:50:54	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7efbdd…
04-29 07:43:08	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4566d0…