Circular-Wifi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.76K

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

2,404

Trades

9,166

lifetime

Volume

$821.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$1.16K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-03 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 72% -$6,383

Politics

20% 76% -$9,426

Other

18% 65% -$598

Sports

5% 60% +$2,173

Tech

3% 81% +$946

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 735 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	Yes	+12,720	$3,700	8¢	$954	-$2,746	07-25 13:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-111	-$91	97¢	$-108	-$16	05-04 05:15
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-694	-$104	15¢	$-101	+$3	08-24 10:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$25.5K	18,298	18,298	+0	Yes	+$11,013	07-19 23:13
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$23.1K	11,669	11,669	+0	No	+$39	04-19 23:39
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$9.4K	4,735	4,735	+0	No	+$18	03-28 06:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$8.6K	4,609	4,609	+0	No	+$435	04-25 15:02
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	9	$7.9K	5,353	5,261	+91	Yes	+$1,000	04-30 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$7.4K	3,854	3,848	+6	No	+$33	04-14 07:23
US military draft authorized in 2026?	5	$7.2K	3,929	3,929	+0	open	—	06-03 00:43
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	3	$7.0K	3,639	3,639	+0	No	+$269	01-17 05:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$6.9K	3,654	3,654	+0	No	+$73	03-16 23:52
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$6.3K	3,187	3,187	+0	No	+$48	01-18 06:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$5.8K	3,239	3,239	+0	open	—	08-22 16:04
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	3	$5.8K	3,093	3,093	+0	Yes	+$391	01-23 17:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$5.5K	6,024	0	+6,024	Yes	+$524	02-03 16:00
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	2	$4.9K	2,447	2,447	+0	No	+$7	01-16 12:41
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$4.7K	4,738	0	+4,738	No	+$68	02-06 15:51
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	4	$4.6K	2,437	2,437	+0	No	+$274	01-16 05:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$4.4K	2,561	2,561	+0	open	—	08-22 16:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$4.1K	19,137	0	+19,137	No	-$4,100	06-29 02:04
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 20 million 836	2	$4.0K	4,253	0	+4,253	No	+$253	02-01 03:18
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$4.0K	4,352	0	+4,352	Yes	+$352	01-22 13:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$3.8K	204,487	0	+204,487	Yes	-$3,837	03-03 00:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	1	$3.8K	4,087	0	+4,087	No	+$285	01-18 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 01:00 UTC	16	$3.8K	3,951	0	+3,951	Up	+$161	08-01 01:04
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$3.7K	3,742	0	+3,742	No	+$19	02-10 16:36
andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	5	$3.7K	12,720	0	+12,720	open	—	07-25 13:19
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	3	$3.6K	3,723	0	+3,723	No	+$74	02-09 13:24
will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	4	$3.6K	3,626	0	+3,626	Yes	+$36	03-20 00:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$3.6K	4,210	0	+4,210	Yes	+$622	03-10 15:14
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	5	$3.6K	2,287	1,731	+556	Yes	-$442	08-19 12:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.4K	1,822	1,822	+0	No	+$182	04-27 10:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 00:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xab3866…
10-03 00:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7a9105…
10-03 00:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbb5c75…
10-03 00:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x651016…
10-03 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xf38095…
10-03 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x191141…
10-03 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xab4832…
10-03 00:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	78	84¢	$66	0x981374…
10-03 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x37f282…
10-03 00:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xc4f7f3…
10-03 00:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	69	91¢	$63	0x2ccbb4…
10-03 00:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3c3731…
10-03 00:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xccad5e…
10-03 00:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xe40aed…
10-03 00:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x84957a…
10-03 00:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xacfec4…
10-03 00:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfc0e52…
10-03 00:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5b9d1d…
10-01 18:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xc3288a…
10-01 18:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x44e843…
10-01 17:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	238	64¢	$153	0xe753a0…
10-01 17:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x73aa1b…
10-01 17:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1b166f…
10-01 16:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x728a38…
10-01 16:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x218651…
10-01 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xa355cb…
10-01 16:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x9d42f0…
10-01 16:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x39320a…
10-01 16:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	313	64¢	$200	0xabc050…
10-01 16:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	175	62¢	$109	0xaea7a1…
10-01 16:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xf22a2b…
10-01 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x48dcf8…
10-01 16:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	144	97¢	$140	0x9529ef…
10-01 16:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x747e2b…
10-01 16:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xd50064…
10-01 16:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x791c6d…
10-01 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1f59ce…
10-01 16:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3ca741…
10-01 16:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	280	59¢	$166	0x120132…
10-01 16:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x4c8e39…
10-01 16:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x60cf4d…
10-01 16:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xb85da1…
10-01 16:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	129	41¢	$53	0x8e8433…
10-01 16:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x66cec0…
10-01 16:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x542701…
10-01 16:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	132	54¢	$71	0x74c23f…
10-01 16:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x823358…
10-01 16:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x17b806…
10-01 16:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x162c5b…
10-01 16:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	109	97¢	$106	0xfe9966…
10-01 16:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x840db0…
10-01 16:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xd8bc8a…
10-01 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	293	13¢	$38	0xe90d95…
10-01 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc0c1d5…
10-01 16:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x5bac5c…
10-01 16:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xde97e9…
10-01 16:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x4e5702…
10-01 16:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	234	26¢	$61	0x6eeafc…
10-01 16:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6b5d09…
10-01 16:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5dce51…
10-01 16:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xea0e7c…
10-01 16:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x35be0c…
10-01 16:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	136	76¢	$103	0x43d9ff…
10-01 16:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x005872…
10-01 16:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xcdd692…
10-01 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	42	20¢	$8	0xda3a75…
10-01 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe0ad3f…
10-01 16:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	88	71¢	$62	0x9da02b…
10-01 16:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xf3550c…
10-01 16:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x078c89…
10-01 16:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x5fcf20…
10-01 16:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	110	81¢	$89	0xa36c9b…
10-01 16:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xa43081…
10-01 16:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xf8969e…
10-01 16:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x9c8233…
10-01 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf58023…
09-29 15:47:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe66f91…
09-29 15:47:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xd8527d…
09-29 15:47:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1ad85d…
09-29 15:47:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	155	60¢	$93	0x89341e…
09-29 15:46:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6b0df3…
09-29 15:46:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbe4316…
09-29 15:46:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf5fd45…
09-29 15:46:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8cb041…
09-29 15:46:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	169	28¢	$47	0xa7179f…
09-29 15:46:12	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0xf67c3e…
09-29 15:46:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	92	26¢	$23	0x68b30d…
09-29 15:45:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xd0fbf0…
09-29 15:45:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x57e85a…
09-29 15:44:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	152	91¢	$139	0x487478…
09-29 15:43:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x48ae89…
09-29 15:43:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x101b4c…
09-29 15:43:26	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x196597…
09-29 15:43:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	61	81¢	$50	0xb60605…
09-29 15:43:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	126	70¢	$88	0xd89155…
09-29 15:41:02	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x8cc445…
09-29 15:40:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x18a98a…
09-29 15:40:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd8f5d0…
09-29 15:40:29	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x712828…
09-29 15:40:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe639e1…