Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$32,808
Trades
2,729
Unique wallets
635
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
86¢
Latest NO mid
14¢
End date
2026-10-03
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-03 00:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.5¢
(top1%: 85% YES on $14.5K
vs crowd: 88% YES on $29.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 142 | $14.0K | $2.1K | +$11.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 206 | $7.7K | $919 | +$6.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 187 | $3.9K | $586 | +$3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 100 | $441 | $137 | +$304 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 168 | $12.4K | $2.2K | +$10.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 91 | $5.7K | $297 | +$5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 28 | $305 | $66 | +$239 |
| Median | 23 | $282 | $24 | +$258 |
| Below median | 122 | $1.1K | $121 | +$989 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 76 | $773 | $194 | +$579 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 87 | $2.8K | $480 | +$2.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 40 | $2.6K | $348 | +$2.3K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Up | +2,000 | $1,980 | $1,980 | 1 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Up | +1,153 | $1,152 | $1,152 | 5 | 10-03 00:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3414…01fc | Up | +1,111 | $981 | $981 | 2 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6 | Up | +1,022 | $800 | $800 | 12 | 10-03 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x941e…694a | Down | +1,010 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-03 00:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3414…01fc | Down | +1,000 | $106 | $106 | 2 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +895 | $129 | $129 | 36 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0fe…610e | Up | +800 | $672 | $672 | 16 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | +800 | $8 | $8 | 23 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +797 | $675 | $675 | 21 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +760 | $752 | $752 | 9 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Up | +750 | $671 | $671 | 6 | 10-03 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +743 | $588 | $588 | 26 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xebe9…c6f8 | Down | +620 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +614 | $142 | $142 | 11 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +609 | $79 | $79 | 28 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +600 | $6 | $6 | 7 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +558 | $68 | $68 | 32 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c1…ad7e | Up | +555 | $444 | $444 | 2 | 10-03 00:17 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +545 | $457 | $457 | 5 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +510 | $62 | $62 | 28 | 10-03 00:17 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +502 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 10-03 00:17 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +501 | $114 | $114 | 15 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c1…ad7e | Down | +501 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +500 | $76 | $76 | 25 | 10-03 00:16 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +496 | $64 | $64 | 18 | 10-03 00:17 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +491 | $429 | $429 | 25 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +487 | $394 | $394 | 16 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x321e…b542 | Up | +458 | $449 | $449 | 1 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | +400 | $4 | $4 | 11 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +388 | $60 | $60 | 12 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Down | +382 | $34 | $34 | 15 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +380 | $43 | $43 | 7 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +375 | $307 | $307 | 10 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +373 | $296 | $296 | 22 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +357 | $270 | $270 | 17 | 10-03 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +352 | $49 | $49 | 10 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x806f…51d5 | Up | +347 | $340 | $340 | 1 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +347 | $40 | $40 | 23 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +345 | $299 | $299 | 6 | 10-03 00:16 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +339 | $38 | $38 | 26 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +331 | $272 | $272 | 19 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +317 | $107 | $122 | 19 | 10-03 00:17 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +306 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | +306 | $298 | $298 | 5 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Distorted-Subject 0xe844…d224 | Up | +300 | $297 | $297 | 5 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +300 | $173 | $173 | 2 | 10-03 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x22a6…b5cc | Down | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Yawning-Diction 0x227d…69fc | Up | +299 | $267 | $267 | 22 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | +299 | $42 | $42 | 23 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xe134…ba10 | Up | +296 | $261 | $261 | 19 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xcb43…98b0 | Up | +292 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 10-03 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +286 | $250 | $250 | 16 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +273 | $219 | $219 | 9 | 10-03 00:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +268 | $41 | $41 | 16 | 10-03 00:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +260 | $225 | $225 | 20 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Utter-Decade 0x1c92…3e42 | Down | +260 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Whole-Transcript 0xc9b8…599b | Down | +260 | $5 | $5 | 15 | 10-03 00:18 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +240 | $208 | $208 | 10 | 10-03 00:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:20:14 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ccd6b… |
| 10-03 00:20:14 | (anonymous) 0x81ef…6536 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8ccd6b… |
| 10-03 00:19:45 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Up | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb45339… |
| 10-03 00:19:45 | (anonymous) 0x1d7b…0d94 | Up | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xb45339… |
| 10-03 00:19:38 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Up | BUY | 1,010 | 100¢ | $1,009 | 0x2c09a1… |
| 10-03 00:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x941e…694a | Down | BUY | 1,010 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2c09a1… |
| 10-03 00:19:29 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x87ee5a… |
| 10-03 00:19:29 | (anonymous) 0xc0b6…9786 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x87ee5a… |
| 10-03 00:19:23 | Zesty-Mosque 0xdf65…c36d | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6befde… |
| 10-03 00:19:23 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x6befde… |
| 10-03 00:19:15 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x4a632b… |
| 10-03 00:19:15 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Up | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x4a632b… |
| 10-03 00:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3c1981… |
| 10-03 00:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xc998…e194 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3c1981… |
| 10-03 00:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xac8e8a… |
| 10-03 00:19:11 | Beautiful-Nationality 0xb6fd…c670 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xac8e8a… |
| 10-03 00:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xb80b…8d43 | Up | SELL | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x0ca6f5… |
| 10-03 00:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x0ca6f5… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xd223…d528 | Up | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x4a5dfb… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $75 | 0xd40d7d… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x4241…cbc5 | Down | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x68a8fd… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x22a6…b5cc | Down | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x150439… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5d2633… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x68a8fd… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x4a5dfb… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x150439… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 298 | 99¢ | $295 | 0x150439… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xa576…ac6b | Down | BUY | 75 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd40d7d… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0xbd4c…50ee | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5d2633… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0xf93b38… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x4a5dfb… |
| 10-03 00:18:59 | Instructive-Heartthrob 0x12c2…1381 | Down | BUY | 36 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf93b38… |
| 10-03 00:18:57 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x777813… |
| 10-03 00:18:57 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $297 | 0xc45990… |
| 10-03 00:18:57 | Strong-Twister 0xf226…9c0f | Up | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x777813… |
| 10-03 00:18:57 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xc45990… |
| 10-03 00:18:56 | (anonymous) 0x06bf…72a8 | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x5b8d39… |
| 10-03 00:18:56 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa7e210… |
| 10-03 00:18:56 | (anonymous) 0x06e5…a0dc | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa7e210… |
| 10-03 00:18:56 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x5b8d39… |
| 10-03 00:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x79cd2e… |
| 10-03 00:18:54 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x79cd2e… |
| 10-03 00:18:54 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x650c14… |
| 10-03 00:18:54 | (anonymous) 0x0c0d…05de | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x650c14… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x0dfa…c39c | Up | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xd4c8a5… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x1687…74b1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcaba0b… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3371c2… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Wary-Confectionery 0x478b…8edb | Down | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdc3cca… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdc3cca… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x118d…fc09 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3371c2… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcaba0b… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $47 | 0x3371c2… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x4142…bc6e | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3371c2… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 69 | 99¢ | $68 | 0x735f4a… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd4c8a5… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdc3cca… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 152 | 99¢ | $151 | 0x735f4a… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc4d437… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Untidy-Sheep 0x99ff…f3e6 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd4c8a5… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Satisfied-Curd 0xf0dd…ba35 | Up | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0xdc3cca… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3371c2… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | Dishonest-Statue 0xb8f8…0f26 | Up | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xc4d437… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0x0912…8ae0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdc3cca… |
| 10-03 00:18:53 | (anonymous) 0xd77d…cfb8 | Up | SELL | 221 | 99¢ | $219 | 0x735f4a… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x637204… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | Watery-Producer 0xef11…26eb | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x39b4c4… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d0050… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Up | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x8f3ce6… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x39b4c4… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0xe1a5…9786 | Down | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8f3ce6… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x8f3ce6… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x637204… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xeef8c6… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x0c96…37d3 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9d0050… |
| 10-03 00:18:51 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xeef8c6… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x86a737… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xfb258b… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x551a…1a3a | Up | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xb8cc2f… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x494e…32b4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8910cb… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8910cb… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb8cc2f… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x11f7…2735 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8bbe19… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xd43e…37fe | Up | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x7dee55… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | Fantastic-Special 0xeb4d…06f5 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4b90c5… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb258b… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x8edb…9bab | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x86a737… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7dee55… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0xa576…ac6b | Down | BUY | 26 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa4b4e0… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $26 | 0xa4b4e0… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bbe19… |
| 10-03 00:18:50 | (anonymous) 0x84ee…183b | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b90c5… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0x0d0c…5183 | Down | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0x8e77…25f8 | Up | BUY | 2,000 | 99¢ | $1,980 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0xd068…eb95 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0x0a1a…db57 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | Jealous-Spill-Terrarium 0xec4c…c9d8 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac7354… |
| 10-03 00:18:48 | (anonymous) 0x857b…83b2 | Down | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xac7354… |