Untidy-Sheep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.98K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

23,835

Trades

84,840

lifetime

Volume

$882.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 10-28 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 258 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 91% -$7,371

Other

21% 93% -$616

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 913 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	—	+8	$8	98¢	$8	+$0	10-28 22:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:40 UTC	3	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	Down	+$0	07-23 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:10 UTC	2	$1.9K	970	970	+0	Up	+$0	07-29 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$1.7K	1,041	1,041	+0	Down	-$360	07-30 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:05 UTC	9	$1.6K	890	890	+0	Down	-$175	07-28 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:35 UTC	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	Down	+$14	08-04 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 18:20 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$13	08-03 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 22:10 UTC	2	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$13	08-02 22:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 23:55 UTC	12	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$13	08-04 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$13	08-03 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 00:25 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$13	08-04 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:35 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$13	08-03 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 20:15 UTC	22	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	+$13	08-02 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 21:55 UTC	1	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	Down	+$13	08-02 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:15 UTC	11	$1.2K	1,190	0	+1,190	Down	+$12	07-23 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	9	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	Up	+$12	07-23 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:10 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	Up	+$12	07-23 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:55 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	Down	-$1,138	07-23 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:50 UTC	5	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	-$859	07-23 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:25 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	Up	+$11	07-23 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:10 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	Up	+$11	07-23 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 19:35 UTC	9	$1.1K	760	348	+412	Down	+$3	07-27 19:39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?	29	$1.1K	546	546	+0	No	+$7	06-30 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:05 UTC	6	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Up	+$11	07-23 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	11	$1.0K	616	558	+58	Down	+$56	05-14 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 02:35 UTC	11	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$10	07-30 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on September 30?	25	$1000	503	503	+0	No	+$3	09-30 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:10 UTC	13	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$10	07-23 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 21:20 UTC	1	$986	996	0	+996	Up	+$10	07-29 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 18:15 UTC	1	$980	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	+$20	07-23 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:50 UTC	1	$975	985	0	+985	Up	+$10	07-29 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 22:24:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf480f8…
10-28 22:18:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x415521…
10-28 22:18:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x272f52…
10-28 22:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbd8282…
10-28 22:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x42fbaf…
10-28 22:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x75bb91…
10-28 22:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1ae693…
10-28 22:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x0a796c…
10-28 22:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x444ee7…
10-28 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x10f820…
10-28 22:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x4ea598…
10-28 22:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbd07fb…
10-28 21:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6bc537…
10-28 21:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x79031b…
10-28 21:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2c3555…
10-28 21:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x705e6a…
10-28 21:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xe57694…
10-28 21:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xd54510…
10-28 21:53:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x00d505…
10-28 21:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xbc3648…
10-28 21:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x11d79a…
10-28 21:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x69c93d…
10-28 21:43:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a0dc3…
10-28 21:43:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7cf078…
10-28 21:43:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xb38590…
10-28 21:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xfd29e7…
10-28 21:43:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7730a3…
10-28 21:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x105810…
10-28 21:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x01fa24…
10-28 21:42:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x00e09c…
10-28 21:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7b5c93…
10-28 21:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfb9e9c…
10-28 21:23:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x336cc0…
10-28 21:23:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2bc6e6…
10-28 21:23:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x0b1a92…
10-28 21:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x51f2f4…
10-28 21:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xc1ea53…
10-28 21:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc9eac8…
10-28 21:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xe0f43e…
10-28 21:18:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa8edfd…
10-28 21:17:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x9f33f6…
10-28 21:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5bbc27…
10-28 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xb754d1…
10-28 21:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x188fcc…
10-28 21:09:23	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa937dc…
10-28 21:09:17	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x4ab834…
10-28 21:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xcb20e2…
10-28 21:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x5d03d5…
10-28 21:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x232319…
10-28 21:08:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x033417…
10-28 21:08:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x1aa5cb…
10-28 21:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x56164b…
10-28 21:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4c7e2e…
10-28 21:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x927aff…
10-28 20:58:26	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xce9c16…
10-28 20:58:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x650993…
10-28 20:58:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x32c0f2…
10-28 20:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xd13588…
10-28 20:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x38dfe1…
10-28 20:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x856237…
10-28 20:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x45153a…
10-28 20:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x9aee24…
10-28 20:28:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3d848e…
10-28 20:28:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2c7218…
10-28 20:27:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x2d3cbd…
10-28 20:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x1cc181…
10-28 20:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x0f6c9b…
10-28 20:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x57f5d8…
10-28 20:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xac5a24…
10-28 20:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xc619b0…
10-28 20:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x589fac…
10-28 20:13:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x580d47…
10-28 20:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x4099b3…
10-28 20:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xe8e411…
10-28 20:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xbcee78…
10-28 20:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xab518b…
10-28 19:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa65839…
10-28 19:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6ad055…
10-28 19:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xaf0766…
10-28 19:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x50ce6c…
10-28 19:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x484644…
10-28 19:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xbb2d81…
10-28 19:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x098e44…
10-28 19:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x92ffbf…
10-28 19:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xc0d575…
10-28 19:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x026dcd…
10-28 19:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x38d24d…
10-28 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xcaf066…
10-28 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x60ffc7…
10-28 19:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x426103…
10-28 19:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x596674…
10-28 19:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf49cea…
10-28 19:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xce260d…
10-28 19:24:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x7784b2…
10-28 19:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6ec02c…
10-28 19:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x688506…
10-28 19:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2d6d2c…
10-28 19:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3e6585…
10-28 19:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xebc129…
10-28 19:12:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x6a882f…