Distorted-Subject — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

15,348

Trades

61,738

lifetime

Volume

$2.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-15 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% +$12,046

Other

0% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 1314 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	63	$3.1K	3,150	+3,150	Up	+$32	05-07 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	42	$2.1K	2,102	+2,102	Up	+$25	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	63	$1.9K	1,890	+1,890	Up	+$34	04-28 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	35	$1.7K	1,750	+1,750	Up	+$18	05-07 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	32	$1.6K	1,600	+1,600	Down	+$24	05-09 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	15	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	Up	+$20	05-14 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	15	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	Down	+$24	04-26 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	30	$1.5K	1,499	+1,499	Up	+$31	05-01 04:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 03:40 UTC	28	$1.4K	1,400	+1,400	Up	+$14	04-22 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	47	$1.4K	1,408	+1,408	Up	+$23	04-30 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 04:20 UTC	14	$1.4K	1,405	+1,405	Up	+$22	04-24 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 22:10 UTC	27	$1.3K	1,353	+1,353	Up	+$25	04-21 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:10 UTC	13	$1.3K	1,303	+1,303	Up	+$22	04-22 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	24	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	Down	+$5	05-06 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 23:10 UTC	12	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	Down	+$13	04-23 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:25 UTC	12	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	Up	+$13	04-23 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:40 UTC	12	$1.2K	1,201	+1,201	Up	+$25	04-23 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:35 UTC	12	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	Up	+$37	04-22 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:25 UTC	12	$1.1K	1,205	+1,205	Down	+$60	04-23 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	23	$1.1K	1,150	+1,150	Up	+$13	05-07 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	11	$1.1K	1,101	+1,101	Down	+$17	04-27 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:05 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,100	+1,100	Up	+$17	04-22 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 06:40 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,103	+1,103	Up	+$25	04-22 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:25 UTC	11	$1.1K	1,100	+1,100	Up	+$49	04-23 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 18:50 UTC	10	$990	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$10	07-26 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 02:05 UTC	10	$990	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$10	07-09 02:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 09:15 UTC	10	$990	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$10	07-17 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:20 UTC	10	$990	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$10	07-16 22:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 03:10 UTC	10	$990	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$10	07-26 03:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 02:55 UTC	10	$990	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$10	07-24 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 07:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc745a6…
10-15 04:07:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xf260d4…
10-15 03:57:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb99776…
10-15 03:56:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x996e92…
10-15 03:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xcdd8a6…
10-14 23:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x120766…
10-14 23:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x443a60…
10-14 23:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x85e862…
10-14 23:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x068d74…
10-14 22:58:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9bfdad…
10-14 22:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2a3976…
10-14 22:45:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x4732e6…
10-14 14:03:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xf3e6b0…
10-14 14:02:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x97e64f…
10-14 14:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0xb029e0…
10-14 14:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd0e096…
10-14 14:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xc9583f…
10-14 14:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xdde525…
10-14 14:00:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x416451…
10-14 13:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0b17b7…
10-14 13:55:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb9957f…
10-14 13:55:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x4f73f2…
10-14 13:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff75b9…
10-14 13:50:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x77c92f…
10-14 13:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x666830…
10-14 13:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0xe54991…
10-14 13:37:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x16f57a…
10-14 13:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x0ad00a…
10-14 13:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5aee06…
10-14 13:36:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x909dc7…
10-14 13:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xd2b1a4…
10-14 13:36:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xdaf046…
10-14 13:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xcf98ca…
10-14 13:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x15ce02…
10-14 13:19:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x2fe8d1…
10-14 13:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x6020da…
10-14 13:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x306e3e…
10-14 13:18:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xe7c896…
10-14 13:17:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x6c4160…
10-14 13:17:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x91a563…
10-14 13:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xd88403…
10-14 13:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x5b947d…
10-14 13:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x2f021c…
10-14 13:16:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xec6af5…
10-14 13:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x19b602…
10-14 13:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x9dd2cf…
10-14 13:15:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xd1f4f3…
10-14 13:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x9a1f3a…
10-13 05:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x540f16…
10-13 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa68e57…
10-13 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x451c65…
10-13 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x286098…
10-13 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x285de8…
10-13 04:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06b9fa…
10-13 04:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x8654be…
10-13 04:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf56c2a…
10-13 03:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f413d…
10-13 03:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a3197…
10-13 03:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe87189…
10-13 03:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x24b065…
10-13 02:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfa488e…
10-13 01:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x284125…
10-13 01:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ab20a…
10-13 00:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c1e61…
10-13 00:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d813b…
10-13 00:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8af56…
10-13 00:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56fe61…
10-13 00:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x517f1e…
10-12 23:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x898153…
10-12 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb77f16…
10-12 23:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf20cc8…
10-12 22:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a6005…
10-12 21:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e8833…
10-12 20:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e7fb5…
10-12 19:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9b03ec…
10-12 18:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b56e1…
10-12 18:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe04299…
10-12 17:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ae687…
10-12 17:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62ceca…
10-12 16:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x810ebe…
10-12 16:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9729fb…
10-12 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x67a1d3…
10-12 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x659ac0…
10-12 15:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x6eec28…
10-12 14:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd6f9e…
10-12 14:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b0f48…
10-12 14:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe2702f…
10-12 14:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8206aa…
10-12 14:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6bb855…
10-12 14:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60d676…
10-12 13:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x687854…
10-12 13:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6521e5…
10-12 13:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x24d5a0…
10-12 13:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x717fbe…
10-12 12:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e1324…
10-12 12:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x18351a…
10-12 11:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa8826a…
10-12 11:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x42d68d…
10-12 11:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdcdff8…
10-12 11:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x1a63c5…