Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$71,176
Trades
7,833
Unique wallets
1,145
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-10-14
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-14 14:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.9¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $33.8K
vs crowd: 30% YES on $62.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 204 | $12.0K | $34.2K | $22.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 300 | $3.4K | $6.1K | $2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 380 | $2.5K | $3.4K | $908 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 261 | $740 | $700 | +$40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 218 | $10.3K | $23.5K | $13.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 146 | $722 | $1.9K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 89 | $375 | $1.3K | $941 |
| Median | 87 | $179 | $239 | $60 |
| Below median | 225 | $744 | $1.5K | $789 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 139 | $1.4K | $2.2K | $703 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 159 | $1.8K | $4.4K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 82 | $3.0K | $9.2K | $6.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +2,350 | $1,521 | $1,521 | 155 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | +2,252 | $2,249 | $2,249 | 3 | 10-14 14:06 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +2,126 | $628 | $628 | 97 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +2,016 | $841 | $841 | 99 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | Down | +1,925 | $1,923 | $1,923 | 2 | 10-14 14:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,724 | $1,008 | $1,008 | 88 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +1,496 | $471 | $471 | 49 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +1,475 | $682 | $682 | 71 | 10-14 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +1,417 | $942 | $942 | 81 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +1,394 | $830 | $830 | 56 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +1,301 | $819 | $819 | 39 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Agile-Valuable 0xd406…e83a | Up | +1,267 | $700 | $700 | 7 | 10-14 13:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +1,229 | $285 | $285 | 17 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 6 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +1,128 | $406 | $406 | 58 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x55f2…cfb6 | Up | +1,110 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-14 14:04 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | +1,081 | $1,070 | $1,070 | 20 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | +1,072 | $1,059 | $1,059 | 11 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5594…b390 | Down | +1,020 | $1,010 | $1,010 | 2 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xed4f…5bdb | Up | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-14 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +998 | $574 | $574 | 38 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +985 | $321 | $321 | 30 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +970 | $425 | $425 | 49 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Up | +908 | $269 | $269 | 171 | 10-14 14:04 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Down | +890 | $597 | $597 | 169 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +846 | $558 | $558 | 62 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f16…0246 | Up | +843 | $400 | $400 | 4 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +823 | $292 | $292 | 57 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +819 | $530 | $530 | 24 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +786 | $260 | $260 | 20 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +745 | $434 | $434 | 37 | 10-14 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +741 | $475 | $475 | 73 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +724 | $458 | $458 | 45 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +717 | $274 | $274 | 56 | 10-14 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d45…b661 | Up | +696 | $38 | $270 | 28 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +689 | $425 | $425 | 22 | 10-14 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +683 | $208 | $208 | 54 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +663 | $433 | $433 | 28 | 10-14 14:03 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +654 | $463 | $490 | 6 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +640 | $176 | $176 | 43 | 10-14 14:04 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +640 | $272 | $272 | 46 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Useless-Sister 0x0ec8…1d07 | Up | +633 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +612 | $395 | $395 | 28 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa4f…665b | Up | +600 | $240 | $240 | 6 | 10-14 14:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa4f…665b | Down | +600 | $323 | $323 | 6 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | +598 | $329 | $329 | 42 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +588 | $218 | $218 | 39 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +587 | $277 | $277 | 25 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +579 | $427 | $427 | 15 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +568 | $364 | $364 | 19 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +563 | $288 | $466 | 39 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +533 | $192 | $192 | 34 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +526 | $37 | $37 | 15 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +509 | $297 | $297 | 25 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6feb…c082 | Down | +500 | $495 | $495 | 1 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Up | +498 | $138 | $138 | 16 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +490 | $450 | $450 | 26 | 10-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +476 | $173 | $173 | 20 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271 | Up | +445 | $152 | $152 | 42 | 10-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | +430 | $156 | $156 | 43 | 10-14 14:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:06:50 | (anonymous) 0xa75e…9ae4 | Down | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd61d3e… |
| 10-14 14:06:50 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xd61d3e… |
| 10-14 14:06:27 | Hefty-Seeker 0x3b6f…0e1d | Down | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x1b8685… |
| 10-14 14:06:27 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x1b8685… |
| 10-14 14:06:17 | Agile-Valuable 0xd406…e83a | Down | SELL | 3,158 | 100¢ | $3,155 | 0x04e01b… |
| 10-14 14:06:17 | Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | Down | BUY | 925 | 100¢ | $924 | 0x04e01b… |
| 10-14 14:06:17 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Down | BUY | 2,233 | 100¢ | $2,230 | 0x04e01b… |
| 10-14 14:05:42 | Insecure-Catalyst 0x33ab…9523 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0x1353b0… |
| 10-14 14:05:42 | (anonymous) 0xed4f…5bdb | Up | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x1353b0… |
| 10-14 14:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x7e709c… |
| 10-14 14:05:02 | (anonymous) 0xbba5…12f0 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x7e709c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Down | SELL | 793 | 99¢ | $785 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Down | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x5b6c…b0a3 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:59 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 553 | 99¢ | $548 | 0xb9a97c… |
| 10-14 14:04:54 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7fd3fe… |
| 10-14 14:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7fd3fe… |
| 10-14 14:04:48 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe56062… |
| 10-14 14:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x5964…0031 | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe56062… |
| 10-14 14:04:47 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd574af… |
| 10-14 14:04:47 | Simple-Director 0x17aa…ba4f | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd574af… |
| 10-14 14:04:41 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9772eb… |
| 10-14 14:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x94f4…1f12 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9772eb… |
| 10-14 14:04:38 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0dc1d8… |
| 10-14 14:04:38 | (anonymous) 0xdd93…9276 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0dc1d8… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x50afaa… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 224 | 99¢ | $221 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | Buttery-Back 0x5b32…3ca5 | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | (anonymous) 0x42e7…6f22 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | Made-Up-Condor 0x43b1…a277 | Down | SELL | 556 | 99¢ | $551 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | Ignorant-Banker 0xee8f…819d | Down | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x50afaa… |
| 10-14 14:04:35 | Winding-Pipe 0x2ea7…1be7 | Down | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xd6b740… |
| 10-14 14:04:33 | (anonymous) 0xb690…bbc7 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6a32d2… |
| 10-14 14:04:33 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6a32d2… |
| 10-14 14:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x4176…dc60 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xb1677f… |
| 10-14 14:04:30 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb1677f… |
| 10-14 14:04:30 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb1677f… |
| 10-14 14:04:30 | Buttery-Back 0x5b32…3ca5 | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb1677f… |
| 10-14 14:04:24 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x863642… |
| 10-14 14:04:24 | (anonymous) 0xda39…25d1 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x863642… |
| 10-14 14:04:23 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d87cc… |
| 10-14 14:04:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xb19ee1… |
| 10-14 14:04:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 95 | 99¢ | $94 | 0x4d87cc… |
| 10-14 14:04:23 | (anonymous) 0xd220…fc0b | Down | SELL | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xb19ee1… |
| 10-14 14:04:23 | (anonymous) 0xa3ab…8e54 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4d87cc… |
| 10-14 14:04:21 | (anonymous) 0xf980…5c2c | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x99cbd5… |
| 10-14 14:04:21 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x99cbd5… |
| 10-14 14:04:17 | Crazy-Fencing 0x20cc…7a03 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x024512… |
| 10-14 14:04:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x024512… |
| 10-14 14:04:14 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 703 | 99¢ | $696 | 0x752872… |
| 10-14 14:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x55f2…cfb6 | Up | BUY | 1,110 | 1¢ | $11 | 0x752872… |
| 10-14 14:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 400 | 99¢ | $396 | 0x752872… |
| 10-14 14:04:14 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x677c8e… |
| 10-14 14:04:14 | (anonymous) 0xcd25…8f87 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x677c8e… |
| 10-14 14:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x752872… |
| 10-14 14:04:12 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x6f3e20… |
| 10-14 14:04:12 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Down | BUY | 93 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x6f3e20… |
| 10-14 14:04:12 | Creamy-Brace 0xe0e1…4995 | Up | BUY | 120 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6f3e20… |
| 10-14 14:04:11 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8ad8ec… |
| 10-14 14:04:11 | Scary-Pea 0x27d0…45f4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ad8ec… |
| 10-14 14:04:09 | (anonymous) 0x370e…6096 | Down | SELL | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x921ce6… |
| 10-14 14:04:09 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x921ce6… |
| 10-14 14:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x0a73…8dfb | Up | BUY | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe397e7… |
| 10-14 14:04:08 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0xe397e7… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x2c8543… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x275d…cef2 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe808f1… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x1fec28… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | (anonymous) 0xcba4…107f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1fec28… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe808f1… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | (anonymous) 0x2a81…a8fc | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x418788… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x418788… |
| 10-14 14:04:06 | (anonymous) 0xec2c…643e | Down | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x2c8543… |
| 10-14 14:04:05 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd12e75… |
| 10-14 14:04:05 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x4e663f… |
| 10-14 14:04:05 | (anonymous) 0xfa54…ba39 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd12e75… |
| 10-14 14:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x4e663f… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x54b1…3e83 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b80f4… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x566b0f… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b80f4… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Gleeful-Dumbwaiter 0x8a01…01ce | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x49c0ea… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd4d2ab… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6dc584… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x2eac…1b5d | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x6dc584… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe29d29… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b80f4… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x6b460a… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0xa7dc…250f | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6dc584… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0x3bf6…87f6 | Up | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x42f3b8… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | First-Stonework 0x4cfa…de43 | Up | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6dc584… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b80f4… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe29d29… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x6b460a… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | (anonymous) 0xe114…c208 | Up | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbd8ecc… |
| 10-14 14:04:03 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x937e48… |