First-Stonework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$267

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

5,792

Trades

15,258

lifetime

Volume

$161.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 263 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% -$301

Other

0% 100% +$33

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 01:00 UTC	3	$203	202	192	+10	Down	+$3	07-22 01:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 08:00 UTC	1	$150	288	0	+288	Down	-$150	04-18 08:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 23:30 UTC	3	$150	273	0	+273	Down	-$150	04-17 23:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC	2	$150	273	0	+273	Up	-$150	04-17 09:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 05:15 UTC	9	$150	273	0	+273	Up	+$123	04-17 05:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 04:00 UTC	19	$150	273	0	+273	Up	+$123	04-17 04:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 14:45 UTC	14	$150	273	0	+273	Down	+$123	04-17 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 08:45 UTC	14	$150	273	0	+273	Up	-$150	04-17 08:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 04:00 UTC	13	$150	273	0	+273	Up	+$123	04-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 02:30 UTC	12	$150	273	0	+273	Up	+$123	04-17 02:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC	19	$150	273	0	+273	Down	+$123	04-17 16:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 14:00 UTC	19	$150	273	0	+273	Down	+$123	04-17 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 11:15 UTC	2	$143	242	0	+242	Up	+$99	04-18 11:12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$137	1,917	917	+1,000	No	-$63	04-29 16:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC	2	$125	218	0	+218	Up	+$93	04-18 18:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 22:15 UTC	2	$121	218	0	+218	Up	+$97	04-18 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC	2	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-04 11:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 00:00 UTC	2	$120	218	0	+218	Down	+$98	03-28 00:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 20:45 UTC	4	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-05 20:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 22:45 UTC	4	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-05 22:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC	4	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-05 23:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 00:30 UTC	2	$120	218	0	+218	Down	-$120	04-05 00:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 14:45 UTC	9	$120	218	0	+218	Down	+$98	04-05 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 01:45 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Down	-$120	04-05 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 16:30 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Down	+$98	04-03 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 22:15 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-04 22:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 06:15 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Down	+$98	04-04 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 05:45 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-04 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 22:30 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Up	-$120	04-04 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC	1	$120	218	0	+218	Down	-$120	04-05 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xecd8c4…
10-26 14:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xaf80ea…
10-26 09:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7c86d2…
10-26 08:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x8eaea3…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xeedb32…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xd1d26a…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcc12cb…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x8116c0…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4f135e…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4d5b0e…
10-26 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x3ab533…
10-25 23:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xed0da4…
10-25 16:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x069daf…
10-25 09:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x314187…
10-25 05:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x84b4da…
10-24 16:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ff5e9…
10-23 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xba3f10…
10-22 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xcd1d29…
10-22 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x245a16…
10-22 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x25a478…
10-22 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x927ba6…
10-22 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x6cbf51…
10-22 01:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x057793…
10-21 14:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8f0796…
10-21 14:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5af09b…
10-20 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4d4f7c…
10-20 09:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7a1af8…
10-20 09:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6efef3…
10-20 07:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x252ac5…
10-20 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf3d83e…
10-20 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xaa7404…
10-20 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x9669d6…
10-20 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xc75600…
10-20 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbe0e36…
10-20 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x946424…
10-20 07:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x89aa16…
10-20 07:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x32ed1a…
10-20 07:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xda3163…
10-20 07:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xad35c0…
10-20 07:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xd84bfa…
10-20 06:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf810f8…
10-20 06:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xecce05…
10-20 06:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xea08eb…
10-20 06:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3495dd…
10-20 06:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x266d6a…
10-20 06:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c8224…
10-20 05:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x330fdb…
10-20 05:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0f51d0…
10-20 05:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x4f78bc…
10-20 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4a76cb…
10-20 03:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfd9cf6…
10-20 03:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa22cae…
10-20 03:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x422ed0…
10-20 03:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf53d1e…
10-20 03:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xbf581c…
10-20 02:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbaaeed…
10-20 02:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9c7653…
10-20 01:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x525aea…
10-20 01:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc46fef…
10-20 01:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc5f5f6…
10-20 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfea729…
10-20 00:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc1ec0b…
10-20 00:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xf7b0ec…
10-20 00:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x03459f…
10-20 00:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x139475…
10-19 23:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x61fac5…
10-19 23:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc77bf3…
10-19 22:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x506328…
10-19 22:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x258297…
10-19 22:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x0d74f5…
10-19 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xcce3b3…
10-19 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x4300bf…
10-19 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x35d63b…
10-19 19:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xdef147…
10-19 19:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbf4d6f…
10-19 18:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf2c3ed…
10-19 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xe22891…
10-19 18:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x04a0af…
10-19 17:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xafc726…
10-19 16:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6781af…
10-19 16:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x5d8de0…
10-19 16:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9dd6d6…
10-19 15:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x73b896…
10-19 15:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xce17be…
10-19 15:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xc9447f…
10-19 15:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x11b680…
10-19 15:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe2e233…
10-19 15:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x85c126…
10-19 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xda9d31…
10-19 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x489904…
10-19 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7dbe92…
10-19 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6a9b34…
10-19 13:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x30ecfa…
10-19 13:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xaac170…
10-19 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x551bd3…
10-19 12:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5c4756…
10-19 12:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2842a7…
10-19 12:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6ea842…
10-19 10:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc1bbef…
10-19 10:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x33da80…