Daring-Connotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

26,818

Trades

50,836

lifetime

Volume

$5.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-27 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 97% +$853

Other

2% 94% -$3,285

Sports

0% 33% -$475

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 1223 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$25.5K	25,483	+25,483	Down	+$30	10-19 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	7	$25.2K	25,243	+25,243	Up	+$27	10-09 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$25.2K	25,243	+25,243	Down	+$27	09-23 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	7	$25.2K	25,243	+25,243	Up	+$27	10-16 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	10	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-11 10:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	2	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	09-30 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	11	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Up	+$25	10-26 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:25 UTC	2	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-13 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-26 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Up	+$25	10-03 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-18 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-22 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-23 14:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:20 UTC	5	$25.0K	25,000	+25,000	Up	+$25	09-30 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 20:50 UTC	22	$20.0K	20,003	+20,003	Up	+$20	08-29 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:05 UTC	4	$20.0K	20,003	+20,003	Up	+$20	08-30 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	1	$20.0K	20,003	+20,003	Down	+$20	08-30 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$20.0K	20,000	+20,000	Up	+$20	09-05 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$18.6K	18,640	+18,640	Up	+$19	10-08 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:40 UTC	4	$16.7K	16,824	+16,824	Up	+$168	08-09 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$15.2K	15,243	+15,243	Down	+$17	09-22 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$15.0K	15,003	+15,003	Down	+$15	09-13 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$15.0K	15,003	+15,003	Down	+$15	09-22 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$15.0K	15,003	+15,003	Down	+$15	09-15 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC	3	$14.7K	14,818	+14,818	Down	+$148	08-08 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 07:35 UTC	24	$12.5K	12,718	+12,718	Up	+$247	08-07 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$12.3K	12,327	+12,327	Down	+$12	09-23 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$11.8K	11,884	+11,884	Up	+$119	05-10 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:40 UTC	44	$11.7K	11,818	+11,818	Down	+$118	08-07 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 03:45 UTC	53	$11.7K	11,772	+11,772	Down	+$120	08-07 03:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xdbd8ec…
10-27 09:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	711	100¢	$710	0x16dfa5…
10-27 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	321	99¢	$318	0xfda675…
10-27 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x82ee7c…
10-27 07:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3b8208…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe8cd88…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xd0cceb…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xce458c…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	293	99¢	$290	0xacf5a6…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5f2921…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x3c76ee…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x20a001…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0786c2…
10-27 02:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0x8c0963…
10-27 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xed809d…
10-27 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xe4d374…
10-27 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xd10530…
10-27 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x2b57ff…
10-27 02:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x18bd8c…
10-26 22:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x95e328…
10-26 22:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x8fe34f…
10-26 22:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	411	99¢	$407	0x2495d0…
10-26 18:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x520c50…
10-26 18:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x806d32…
10-26 18:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x7b5d9d…
10-26 18:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf043be…
10-26 18:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x868c57…
10-26 18:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1ce285…
10-26 18:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0x6a4fd8…
10-26 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xbbebb4…
10-26 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x82c0d7…
10-26 18:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x36262b…
10-26 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x8dadb7…
10-26 16:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x251517…
10-26 16:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdcf634…
10-26 16:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x647011…
10-26 16:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x03a782…
10-26 16:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x8a34a4…
10-26 15:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5e64d3…
10-26 13:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0xbe4799…
10-26 13:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	243	99¢	$240	0x4d5efb…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	829	100¢	$829	0xa9b0e8…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3,910	100¢	$3,906	0x8d7408…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0x6342c5…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,440	100¢	$2,438	0x441ca3…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,270	100¢	$2,268	0x1f2ec6…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,930	100¢	$2,927	0x1aa828…
10-26 12:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3,494	100¢	$3,490	0x15de8a…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4,100	100¢	$4,096	0xd7ec29…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,049	0xa70fb7…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,900	100¢	$1,898	0x8eb084…
10-26 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0x7b4b27…
10-26 09:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xeaa4ef…
10-26 09:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x4341d5…
10-26 09:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xfc5e9a…
10-26 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25,003	100¢	$24,978	0x07a869…
10-26 08:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x1be1f0…
10-26 07:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8ac9de…
10-26 07:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x2e0c2b…
10-26 07:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xe79ce4…
10-26 07:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xef2a8b…
10-26 07:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcba4c0…
10-26 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xae8318…
10-26 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x9c3e07…
10-26 06:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf4bb61…
10-26 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x42abc3…
10-26 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xea35c9…
10-26 03:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	365	99¢	$362	0xf78354…
10-26 03:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xb2a353…
10-26 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xee2d34…
10-26 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x82d269…
10-26 01:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xb9a371…
10-26 01:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	241	99¢	$238	0xb6fd6d…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xf1be08…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe58b5a…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd759e6…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x53807c…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x3eb19d…
10-25 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x37602c…
10-25 23:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xaf375a…
10-25 20:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x8ae75e…
10-25 20:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xc1767c…
10-25 19:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	374	99¢	$370	0xe1eff2…
10-25 19:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xb38b4a…
10-25 19:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf0c270…
10-25 19:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	293	99¢	$290	0xa77611…
10-25 19:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x35c2f8…
10-25 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x0be133…
10-25 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x491a9b…
10-25 17:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x25a7bd…
10-25 17:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x8206ab…
10-25 17:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xb15694…
10-25 16:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x480ba2…
10-25 13:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x499d82…
10-25 13:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x58c301…
10-25 13:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47715b…
10-25 13:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70880b…
10-25 13:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb89dd5…
10-25 13:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e1cbd…
10-25 13:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9a2acd…