Daring-Connotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

26,853

Trades

50,963

lifetime

Volume

$5.78M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-28 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 97% +$598

Other

2% 94% -$3,285

Sports

0% 33% -$475

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 1223 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$25.5K	25,483	+25,483	Down	+$30	10-19 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	7	$25.2K	25,243	+25,243	Up	+$27	10-09 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$25.2K	25,243	+25,243	Down	+$27	09-23 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	7	$25.2K	25,243	+25,243	Up	+$27	10-16 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	10	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-11 10:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 11:30 UTC	2	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	09-30 11:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	11	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Up	+$25	10-26 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:25 UTC	2	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-13 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-26 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Up	+$25	10-27 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	9	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Up	+$25	10-03 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-18 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-22 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$25.0K	25,003	+25,003	Down	+$25	10-23 14:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:20 UTC	5	$25.0K	25,000	+25,000	Up	+$25	09-30 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 20:50 UTC	22	$20.0K	20,003	+20,003	Up	+$20	08-29 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 15:05 UTC	4	$20.0K	20,003	+20,003	Up	+$20	08-30 15:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 13:50 UTC	1	$20.0K	20,003	+20,003	Down	+$20	08-30 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$20.0K	20,000	+20,000	Up	+$20	09-05 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$18.6K	18,640	+18,640	Up	+$19	10-08 20:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 21:40 UTC	4	$16.7K	16,824	+16,824	Up	+$168	08-09 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$15.2K	15,243	+15,243	Down	+$17	09-22 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$15.0K	15,003	+15,003	Down	+$15	09-13 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$15.0K	15,003	+15,003	Down	+$15	09-22 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$15.0K	15,003	+15,003	Down	+$15	09-15 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC	3	$14.7K	14,818	+14,818	Down	+$148	08-08 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 07:35 UTC	24	$12.5K	12,718	+12,718	Up	+$247	08-07 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$12.3K	12,327	+12,327	Down	+$12	09-23 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$11.8K	11,884	+11,884	Up	+$119	05-10 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 22:40 UTC	44	$11.7K	11,818	+11,818	Down	+$118	08-07 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x50f749…
10-28 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0x64f2e2…
10-28 19:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4b8141…
10-28 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	84	99¢	$84	0xffdd5b…
10-28 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	180	99¢	$179	0xe0020c…
10-28 18:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3aa980…
10-28 18:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf21670…
10-28 18:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfa9944…
10-28 18:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	306	99¢	$303	0x06a8b1…
10-28 18:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x470dc8…
10-28 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45ad8f…
10-28 18:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea55d5…
10-28 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x855982…
10-28 18:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7039bd…
10-28 18:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x337ece…
10-28 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb12f2e…
10-28 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8ff0c6…
10-28 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x28199d…
10-28 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x81f180…
10-28 18:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0x508da6…
10-28 18:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbfc5ed…
10-28 18:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x8e0b39…
10-28 18:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8d73ed…
10-28 18:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0x6ebaf9…
10-28 18:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x706e34…
10-28 18:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	346	99¢	$343	0xe6f937…
10-28 18:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfc3546…
10-28 18:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7a1ed6…
10-28 18:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xbf8788…
10-28 18:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x40fe5e…
10-28 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3e7469…
10-28 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x3b8671…
10-28 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x09f9ff…
10-28 16:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x6c5c13…
10-28 15:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xe94380…
10-28 15:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	214	99¢	$211	0xb3accf…
10-28 15:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3f1f64…
10-28 15:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x2ae81a…
10-28 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x06be18…
10-28 13:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0x4e57e6…
10-28 13:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x64fdb6…
10-28 13:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x0202bd…
10-28 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xfa4388…
10-28 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc2410b…
10-28 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x5f7bc1…
10-28 13:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x3e66ec…
10-28 13:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7fce3…
10-28 13:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x37e4cc…
10-28 13:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3611e0…
10-28 13:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x46324c…
10-28 13:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x70f63d…
10-28 13:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x998c66…
10-28 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x88fa95…
10-28 13:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x903b01…
10-28 13:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc30410…
10-28 13:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0d7777…
10-28 13:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xaa4bb5…
10-28 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbc64b5…
10-28 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x77d7e3…
10-28 13:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x472820…
10-28 12:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x5561b8…
10-28 12:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x7fac9b…
10-28 10:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x627a06…
10-28 10:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x494289…
10-28 10:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	338	99¢	$335	0xc82b2e…
10-28 08:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb69550…
10-28 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdb057c…
10-28 08:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x6e94b2…
10-28 07:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x02c5f4…
10-28 07:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	322	99¢	$318	0xc9cf65…
10-28 07:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb2aeea…
10-28 07:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1958c3…
10-28 07:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x4a68c8…
10-28 07:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xa9078f…
10-28 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7fabbf…
10-28 07:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x01a1a2…
10-28 07:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xdcd8f1…
10-28 06:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9a2184…
10-28 06:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9df08a…
10-28 06:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x1b2037…
10-28 06:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x44b5dc…
10-28 06:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa0868e…
10-28 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xea056e…
10-28 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	329	99¢	$326	0x87486f…
10-28 03:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x634c10…
10-28 00:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x9b99cb…
10-27 23:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	367	99¢	$363	0xec4e6f…
10-27 23:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdd8e99…
10-27 23:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x31cf9f…
10-27 20:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xee681a…
10-27 20:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	118	99¢	$116	0x9e91c6…
10-27 20:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x5aa4d6…
10-27 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x2cac67…
10-27 17:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0xda123d…
10-27 17:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd1ee6a…
10-27 17:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2d6c54…
10-27 17:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02a809…
10-27 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	181	99¢	$179	0xb7cdb5…
10-27 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x115889…
10-27 16:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8db2b3…