Daring-Connotation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

43 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.70K

$4.70K lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% +$130

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (6)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$636	660	+660	Up	+$24	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$556	566	+566	Down	+$10	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Down	+$5	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$495	500	+500	Up	+$5	05-04 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$323	326	+326	open	—	05-05 13:02
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	3	$315	349	+349	Down	+$34	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$303	349	+349	Down	+$46	05-04 22:29
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$248	250	+250	Up	+$2	05-05 04:39
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$248	250	+250	open	—	05-05 20:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$154	156	+156	open	—	05-05 13:02
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$78	99	+99	open	—	05-05 20:50
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$74	76	+76	open	—	05-05 19:43
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$65	66	+66	Down	+$1	05-05 04:34
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$63	66	+66	open	—	05-05 13:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$57	57	+57	open	—	05-05 21:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$55	56	+56	Up	+$1	05-05 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$55	56	+56	open	—	05-05 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$55	56	+56	open	—	05-05 17:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$55	56	+56	open	—	05-05 20:29
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-05 01:04
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$50	50	+50	Up	+$1	05-04 22:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-05 05:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-04 20:02
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-05 04:09
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-04 20:39
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-05 01:29
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$33	33	+33	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	Down	+$1	05-05 04:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$32	33	+33	Up	+$1	05-05 01:49
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-05 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:00:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x6ac84a…
05-05 20:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x367754…
05-05 20:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xfb5701…
05-05 20:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x54f597…
05-05 20:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xcb827c…
05-05 20:13:38	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5283be…
05-05 20:07:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x6335fa…
05-05 19:43:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2656be…
05-05 19:42:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x6eeb81…
05-05 17:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x1a471e…
05-05 13:07:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x34d877…
05-05 13:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x1fab13…
05-05 13:02:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78da17…
05-05 13:02:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xf2e338…
05-05 13:02:06	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xb103c2…
05-05 13:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd7a7f3…
05-05 05:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xcbee05…
05-05 04:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x72f7c4…
05-05 04:39:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0xb91b76…
05-05 04:34:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xe7f5a8…
05-05 04:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x88b3da…
05-05 01:49:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x2e7cd6…
05-05 01:45:08	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x877da1…
05-05 01:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0x647e68…
05-05 01:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	500	95¢	$477	0x2fa4ee…
05-05 01:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xb07eb1…
05-05 01:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xf81775…
05-05 01:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x5bd056…
05-05 01:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x6d669c…
05-05 01:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xab5ceb…
05-05 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xdee61f…
05-04 23:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xfff228…
05-04 22:34:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x556751…
05-04 22:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x73b219…
05-04 22:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	66	84¢	$55	0x54bd84…
05-04 22:29:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	250	89¢	$223	0xac0062…
05-04 22:29:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0xda1d79…
05-04 22:29:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	66	80¢	$53	0x2837dd…
05-04 22:04:30	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5de88e…
05-04 22:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xd4b42c…
05-04 21:59:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4cc501…
05-04 20:39:48	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x26c496…
05-04 20:02:46	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4c30a1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	8	$3.26K	8	05-05 20:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$521	37	05-05 20:25
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	3	$1.63K	3	05-05 01:34
United-Designer 0xa2a0…15a1	3	$1.06K	3	05-05 20:25
Elated-Lentil 0x0997…c9f6	3	$871	3	05-05 20:29
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	3	$751	9	05-05 01:35