Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$77,934
Trades
4,560
Unique wallets
920
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-10-08
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-08 20:06
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.6¢
(top1%: 83% YES on $31.5K
vs crowd: 85% YES on $71.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 183 | $47.8K | $6.5K | +$41.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 267 | $9.7K | $3.1K | +$6.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 279 | $2.6K | $1.1K | +$1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 191 | $576 | $317 | +$259 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 198 | $26.2K | $5.3K | +$20.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 122 | $4.0K | $936 | +$3.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 55 | $464 | $66 | +$398 |
| Median | 57 | $555 | $22 | +$534 |
| Below median | 182 | $945 | $296 | +$649 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 119 | $1.2K | $309 | +$872 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 129 | $23.3K | $1.8K | +$21.5K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 58 | $4.0K | $2.2K | +$1.8K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | +25,108 | $83 | $83 | 9 | 10-08 20:06 |
| Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Up | +18,640 | $18,621 | $18,621 | 2 | 10-08 20:06 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +3,050 | $498 | $498 | 121 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +2,953 | $2,885 | $2,885 | 38 | 10-08 20:06 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +2,431 | $1,843 | $1,843 | 68 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf363…c197 | Down | +1,921 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 2 | 10-08 19:57 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +1,447 | $1,366 | $1,366 | 8 | 10-08 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +1,324 | $898 | $898 | 41 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Smart-Trainer 0x6bfc…b939 | Up | +1,279 | $1,266 | $1,266 | 2 | 10-08 20:06 |
| Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 8 | 10-08 20:05 |
| Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5 | Up | +1,032 | $494 | $494 | 9 | 10-08 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +1,029 | $253 | $253 | 44 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 3 | 10-08 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x8718…ff8c | Down | +987 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 10-08 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x21fe…c3cc | Up | +919 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +908 | $137 | $137 | 42 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x03f1…e633 | Up | +882 | $300 | $300 | 20 | 10-08 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +877 | $249 | $249 | 24 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xf735…7d90 | Down | +860 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +856 | $847 | $847 | 1 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +851 | $59 | $59 | 35 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +849 | $692 | $692 | 32 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +785 | $526 | $526 | 19 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +761 | $540 | $540 | 50 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | +734 | $727 | $727 | 1 | 10-08 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +728 | $245 | $245 | 14 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Up | +704 | $285 | $285 | 18 | 10-08 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +703 | $125 | $125 | 63 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +636 | $534 | $659 | 48 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +626 | $494 | $494 | 14 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Fumbling-Astrology 0x4209…a8f7 | Up | +626 | $620 | $620 | 8 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +626 | $296 | $296 | 27 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +612 | $115 | $166 | 31 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +601 | $296 | $296 | 16 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | +600 | $594 | $594 | 15 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +600 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +592 | $160 | $160 | 23 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm 0xa62f…9e04 | Down | +576 | $41 | $41 | 12 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8be…ce90 | Up | +557 | $551 | $551 | 1 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +555 | $65 | $65 | 37 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc8f…9722 | Down | +552 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-08 20:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +545 | $107 | $107 | 32 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +524 | $74 | $74 | 15 | 10-08 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | +500 | $495 | $495 | 7 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Up | +500 | $495 | $495 | 2 | 10-08 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2ee…aefe | Down | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +499 | $48 | $48 | 21 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Colorful-Dependency 0x9e9b…9e90 | Down | +495 | $120 | $120 | 6 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +494 | $335 | $335 | 11 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Posh-Sherbet 0x95fa…66b3 | Down | +492 | $36 | $36 | 12 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +491 | $293 | $293 | 13 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Up | +453 | $328 | $328 | 12 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +451 | $138 | $138 | 48 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +448 | $340 | $340 | 27 | 10-08 20:03 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Up | +429 | $345 | $345 | 18 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x3089…35e4 | Down | +418 | $261 | $261 | 12 | 10-08 19:59 |
| Pointed-Shack 0xb676…7fb8 | Down | +412 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 10-08 20:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +406 | $325 | $325 | 22 | 10-08 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 10-08 20:04 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +367 | $36 | $36 | 11 | 10-08 20:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:06:44 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Up | BUY | 9,320 | 100¢ | $9,311 | 0x74d8ce… |
| 10-08 20:06:44 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 9,320 | 0¢ | $9 | 0x74d8ce… |
| 10-08 20:06:35 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 9,320 | 0¢ | $9 | 0xf363e1… |
| 10-08 20:06:35 | Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda | Up | BUY | 9,320 | 100¢ | $9,311 | 0xf363e1… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Up | BUY | 415 | 99¢ | $411 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 87 | 99¢ | $86 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | Meaty-Borrowing 0x7cb2…e655 | Up | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x809946… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Up | BUY | 734 | 99¢ | $727 | 0x809946… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x5b6c…b0a3 | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Up | BUY | 151 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | Coarse-Nonsense 0x8231…c02e | Up | BUY | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x809946… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x809946… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x494e…32b4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x809946… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:26 | (anonymous) 0x329d…b047 | Up | BUY | 220 | 99¢ | $218 | 0x7fcfbc… |
| 10-08 20:06:17 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xd6d9b2… |
| 10-08 20:06:17 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 924 | 99¢ | $915 | 0xd6d9b2… |
| 10-08 20:06:15 | Smart-Trainer 0x6bfc…b939 | Up | BUY | 471 | 99¢ | $467 | 0x1e857a… |
| 10-08 20:06:15 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x1e857a… |
| 10-08 20:06:15 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x1e857a… |
| 10-08 20:06:15 | (anonymous) 0x42e7…6f22 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1e857a… |
| 10-08 20:06:15 | (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | BUY | 248 | 99¢ | $245 | 0x1e857a… |
| 10-08 20:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0x49fbcd… |
| 10-08 20:06:14 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 924 | 99¢ | $915 | 0x10cfb1… |
| 10-08 20:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x49fbcd… |
| 10-08 20:06:14 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x49fbcd… |
| 10-08 20:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0x10cfb1… |
| 10-08 20:06:14 | Smart-Trainer 0x6bfc…b939 | Up | BUY | 808 | 99¢ | $800 | 0x49fbcd… |
| 10-08 20:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x2dad…2efc | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xf99926… |
| 10-08 20:06:12 | (anonymous) 0xd388…62cb | Down | BUY | 924 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xf99926… |
| 10-08 20:06:12 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 706 | 99¢ | $699 | 0xf99926… |
| 10-08 20:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x19b3…0b9b | Up | BUY | 158 | 99¢ | $156 | 0xf99926… |
| 10-08 20:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x5006…58dc | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd32d59… |
| 10-08 20:05:26 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 557 | 99¢ | $551 | 0xd32d59… |
| 10-08 20:05:26 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 760 | 99¢ | $752 | 0xd32d59… |
| 10-08 20:05:26 | (anonymous) 0xf735…7d90 | Up | SELL | 1,421 | 99¢ | $1,407 | 0xd32d59… |
| 10-08 20:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x341c…66c4 | Up | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xd32d59… |
| 10-08 20:05:26 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd32d59… |
| 10-08 20:05:23 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 97 | 99¢ | $96 | 0xa1cf72… |
| 10-08 20:05:23 | (anonymous) 0xd1e1…768c | Up | SELL | 97 | 99¢ | $96 | 0xa1cf72… |
| 10-08 20:05:02 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x5a170b… |
| 10-08 20:05:02 | (anonymous) 0x4aaf…e80c | Up | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $27 | 0x5a170b… |
| 10-08 20:04:54 | (anonymous) 0x91ee…6b7d | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x6bd9e8… |
| 10-08 20:04:54 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x6bd9e8… |
| 10-08 20:04:50 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x40c8f3… |
| 10-08 20:04:50 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x40c8f3… |
| 10-08 20:04:45 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x0a1740… |
| 10-08 20:04:45 | Amused-Robe 0x9dec…d734 | Up | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x0a1740… |
| 10-08 20:04:30 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x586999… |
| 10-08 20:04:30 | Numb-Document 0xc11c…533d | Up | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x586999… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Up | BUY | 271 | 99¢ | $268 | 0x8b9753… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc5f9cc… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xcccb…8590 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xc5f9cc… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x8b9753… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xe2ee…aefe | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x8b9753… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3 | Up | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $102 | 0x8b9753… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8b9753… |
| 10-08 20:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x8b9753… |
| 10-08 20:04:26 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5574a5… |
| 10-08 20:04:26 | (anonymous) 0x1155…baf5 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x5574a5… |
| 10-08 20:04:24 | Dapper-Investigation 0x12a8…7286 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x40716f… |
| 10-08 20:04:24 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x40716f… |
| 10-08 20:04:23 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x49954f… |
| 10-08 20:04:23 | Necessary-Fusarium 0x9f3f…64a2 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x35da48… |
| 10-08 20:04:23 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x35da48… |
| 10-08 20:04:23 | (anonymous) 0xab97…ff0f | Up | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x49954f… |
| 10-08 20:04:21 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 36 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x97e6a0… |
| 10-08 20:04:21 | (anonymous) 0xbd07…4bfa | Up | SELL | 36 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x97e6a0… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x5bbecd… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xe292…2791 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9915eb… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x5cfb…2ac5 | Up | SELL | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x008e1c… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | (anonymous) 0x9328…37d3 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x13040e… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9915eb… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x5c79bc… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | (anonymous) 0xe405…f57e | Up | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x5c79bc… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9a9097… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9a9097… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 72 | 99¢ | $71 | 0x008e1c… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Gleaming-Significance 0x63c4…7dba | Up | SELL | 70 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x5bbecd… |
| 10-08 20:04:20 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x13040e… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 461 | 99¢ | $456 | 0xf254ea… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 253 | 99¢ | $250 | 0xf254ea… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xf254ea… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0xe0cc…27b3 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf254ea… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0xe1ab…c079 | Up | SELL | 934 | 99¢ | $924 | 0xf254ea… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x971314… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4abf58… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0x9eb5…0028 | Up | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x971314… |
| 10-08 20:04:18 | (anonymous) 0xb5ea…6945 | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x4abf58… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x9e1a…993e | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1c31c9… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | BUY | 149 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x1c31c9… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | (anonymous) 0xddf1…5ccb | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4148df… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 550 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x4148df… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x73d4…9006 | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x1c31c9… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1c31c9… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | BUY | 856 | 99¢ | $847 | 0x4148df… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | (anonymous) 0xe99e…30f3 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1c31c9… |
| 10-08 20:04:15 | Fumbling-Astrology 0x4209…a8f7 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcb4f46… |