Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

4,036

Trades

5,884

lifetime

Volume

$126.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-27 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 91% -$245

Other

2% 15% -$95

Tech

0% 0% -$26

Politics

0% 9% -$8

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No		+45	$24	95¢	$43	+$19	08-28 01:33
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes		+45	$25	5¢	$2	-$23	08-28 01:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	27	$415	583	213	+370	No	-$17	09-04 20:37
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	27	$268	280	266	+14	No	+$0	09-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$155	157	0	+157	Up	+$2	10-18 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:40 UTC	68	$155	288	0	+288	Up	+$30	09-24 12:43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	10	$150	135	135	+0	No	-$4	08-28 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$148	150	0	+150	Up	+$2	10-22 18:49
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	8	$145	138	138	+0	open	—	09-01 05:09
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	4	$136	150	150	+0	Yes	-$6	08-27 09:15
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?	9	$117	118	118	-0	No	-$20	08-31 18:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	10	$104	124	124	+0	Yes	-$8	09-04 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-16 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-12 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-18 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-16 18:48
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	4	$91	135	45	+90	open	—	08-28 01:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	4	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	08-29 05:18
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	8	$89	82	82	+0	Yes	-$1	08-25 12:50
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	9	$83	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	08-27 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	10-10 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:55 UTC	3	$79	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	09-29 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:25 UTC	2	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-10 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	10-10 08:34
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	4	$79	129	41	+88	No	-$9	08-21 13:25
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?	9	$77	90	90	+0	Yes	-$7	09-05 01:04
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	4	$77	87	87	+0	open	—	08-24 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	10-24 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfba5fa…
10-27 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x953ad6…
10-27 22:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x4b68bc…
10-27 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xaf209a…
10-27 22:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x5ec3db…
10-27 21:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x75dafd…
10-27 21:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x502028…
10-27 21:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xbd4f44…
10-27 20:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe5195e…
10-27 20:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x944d32…
10-27 20:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x4bce95…
10-27 20:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xe4b0f9…
10-27 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x69794e…
10-27 20:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xbc38eb…
10-27 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x26564f…
10-27 20:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x13f8d2…
10-27 20:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xb00843…
10-27 19:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x664e90…
10-27 19:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf64438…
10-27 19:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x882307…
10-27 19:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x66a12f…
10-27 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xf5f6ad…
10-27 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xbf9f30…
10-27 19:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x510acd…
10-27 19:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x76c2bd…
10-27 19:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x58d56c…
10-27 19:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x374688…
10-27 19:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x09e4b7…
10-27 19:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0xf574c8…
10-27 19:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x90ab22…
10-27 19:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x210d2a…
10-27 19:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xf60cf3…
10-27 18:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xab5ecc…
10-27 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x680a4c…
10-27 17:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xb72abf…
10-27 17:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x46cf0d…
10-27 17:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x382459…
10-27 16:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xf93725…
10-27 16:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xacef1d…
10-27 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xad5d8b…
10-27 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa70615…
10-27 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7954ad…
10-27 16:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x245485…
10-27 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8d1a3…
10-27 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd93fa7…
10-27 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc10cbe…
10-27 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xa10fd3…
10-27 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f9278…
10-27 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0221a6…
10-27 15:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x8a4915…
10-27 15:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x36f10b…
10-27 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xf220c7…
10-27 15:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x7a5009…
10-27 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x02b65e…
10-27 12:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31c3d8…
10-27 12:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x511db4…
10-27 12:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x294f58…
10-27 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x8db4d3…
10-27 12:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xb71c61…
10-27 12:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x973acb…
10-27 12:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x8e20ac…
10-27 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x001503…
10-27 12:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x0ff929…
10-27 11:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x544621…
10-27 11:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47c516…
10-27 11:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x147b6e…
10-27 11:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xeb1829…
10-27 10:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xad3abd…
10-27 10:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x5e2f33…
10-27 10:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa05ebb…
10-27 10:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x23afc6…
10-27 10:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x8baabe…
10-27 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b783f…
10-27 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0xa28378…
10-27 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3a6e45…
10-27 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x354eb0…
10-27 10:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x39eefa…
10-27 09:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x489beb…
10-27 09:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x48921e…
10-27 09:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x01d365…
10-27 09:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xc4b72c…
10-27 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xd01c53…
10-27 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xf9b319…
10-27 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xc5aa0c…
10-27 08:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xb031a4…
10-27 08:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4c4d4e…
10-27 08:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4a010…
10-27 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x7da0cd…
10-27 08:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa7238e…
10-27 08:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x3f9e38…
10-27 07:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xe9614f…
10-27 07:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x956bec…
10-27 06:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x767630…
10-27 05:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x421c5d…
10-27 05:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x00c45c…
10-27 04:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbfa833…
10-27 04:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x80b41c…
10-27 04:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5d50b8…
10-27 04:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa70807…
10-27 04:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf6f8b5…