Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$107

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved (30d)

2,505

Trades (30d)

3,615

6,104 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$114.7K

$137.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-30 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 91% -$357

Other

2% 15% -$95

Tech

0% 0% -$26

Politics

0% 9% -$8

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No		+45	$24	94¢	$42	+$18	08-28 01:33
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes		+45	$25	6¢	$3	-$22	08-28 01:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	27	$415	583	213	+370	No	-$17	09-04 20:37
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	27	$268	280	266	+14	No	+$0	09-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$155	157	0	+157	Up	+$2	10-18 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:40 UTC	68	$155	288	0	+288	Up	+$30	09-24 12:43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	10	$150	135	135	+0	No	-$4	08-28 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$148	150	0	+150	Up	+$2	10-22 18:49
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	8	$145	138	138	+0	open	—	09-01 05:09
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	4	$136	150	150	+0	Yes	-$6	08-27 09:15
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?	9	$117	118	118	-0	No	-$20	08-31 18:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	10	$104	124	124	+0	Yes	-$8	09-04 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-16 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-12 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-18 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-16 18:48
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	4	$91	135	45	+90	open	—	08-28 01:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	4	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	08-29 05:18
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	8	$89	82	82	+0	Yes	-$1	08-25 12:50
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	9	$83	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	08-27 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	10-10 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:55 UTC	3	$79	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	09-29 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:25 UTC	2	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-10 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	10-10 08:34
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	4	$79	129	41	+88	No	-$9	08-21 13:25
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?	9	$77	90	90	+0	Yes	-$7	09-05 01:04
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	4	$77	87	87	+0	open	—	08-24 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$74	75	0	+75	Up	+$1	10-24 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x0c209d…
10-30 18:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xc6f133…
10-30 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2bd088…
10-30 15:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9f7146…
10-30 14:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xb6b863…
10-30 14:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x89225f…
10-30 14:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf563ec…
10-30 08:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x06cc54…
10-30 01:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeff7da…
10-30 01:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0f847a…
10-30 01:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x8643ca…
10-30 01:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x703082…
10-30 01:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x82a686…
10-30 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xc452e2…
10-29 23:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xaece2c…
10-29 23:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x80f5db…
10-29 20:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xd879bf…
10-29 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xbc6634…
10-29 19:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbcdef7…
10-29 19:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x440af4…
10-29 19:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x882d8c…
10-29 19:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x232ae8…
10-29 17:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xd4c890…
10-29 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x1831dd…
10-29 16:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xcd8b78…
10-29 16:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x37b4d8…
10-29 16:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9261e7…
10-29 16:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1a168f…
10-29 16:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0x5ea5c5…
10-29 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9ced72…
10-29 16:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xeef539…
10-29 14:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x662420…
10-29 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5593da…
10-29 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x3df8c8…
10-29 13:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x02608e…
10-29 13:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x12bdbe…
10-29 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa5d452…
10-29 13:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xf1703c…
10-29 13:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x3cbaa9…
10-29 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf6d080…
10-29 12:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x88262b…
10-29 12:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa0f903…
10-29 12:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xc8daf0…
10-29 12:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xc42b69…
10-29 12:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xdc4f75…
10-29 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x6486c3…
10-29 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdb832f…
10-29 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb98f1f…
10-29 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x95b19f…
10-29 12:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6d3343…
10-29 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xffd5e2…
10-29 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x3f5458…
10-29 12:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xf2d112…
10-29 12:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xbf2f15…
10-29 11:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa3f6a2…
10-29 11:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xabafd4…
10-29 11:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xecea0f…
10-29 11:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa8ad90…
10-29 11:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x3165a3…
10-29 11:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x736d8a…
10-29 11:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x58c537…
10-29 10:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x28c116…
10-29 10:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x770b91…
10-29 09:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb54123…
10-29 09:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xeab15d…
10-29 08:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xdc018e…
10-29 08:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0xbaf558…
10-29 08:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xc64c0b…
10-29 08:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x235b5f…
10-29 07:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x931815…
10-29 07:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x8b7378…
10-29 07:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x4bbcb1…
10-29 06:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x6ae9bc…
10-29 06:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xe1b3ba…
10-29 06:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x6f49d6…
10-29 05:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x663894…
10-29 05:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x63819c…
10-29 05:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xca2bae…
10-29 05:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4b00fd…
10-29 04:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xd09dc5…
10-29 04:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x216ee2…
10-29 04:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x918e06…
10-29 03:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xdda996…
10-29 03:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x5e7d79…
10-29 03:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x8871bc…
10-29 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xfe9e23…
10-29 02:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x2a91e5…
10-29 02:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x750c38…
10-29 02:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x46930f…
10-29 02:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1d46fc…
10-29 02:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x54c01c…
10-29 01:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x043c74…
10-29 01:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x425b3d…
10-29 01:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x109ec9…
10-29 01:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	99¢	$71	0x7c8be4…
10-29 01:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x6d1abf…
10-29 00:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xa51c73…
10-29 00:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x12d2f5…
10-29 00:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x91af53…
10-28 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xd2271a…