Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

4,352

Trades

6,738

lifetime

Volume

$139.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 11-03 04:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 90% +$164

Other

2% 15% -$95

Tech

0% 0% -$26

Politics

0% 8% -$9

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 289 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No		+45	$24	94¢	$42	+$18	08-28 01:33
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes		+45	$25	6¢	$3	-$22	08-28 01:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	27	$415	583	213	+370	No	-$17	09-04 20:37
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	27	$268	280	266	+14	No	+$0	09-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$155	157	0	+157	Up	+$2	10-18 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:40 UTC	68	$155	288	0	+288	Up	+$30	09-24 12:43
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	10	$150	135	135	+0	No	-$4	08-28 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$148	150	0	+150	Up	+$2	10-22 18:49
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?	8	$145	138	138	+0	open	—	09-01 05:09
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	4	$136	150	150	+0	Yes	-$6	08-27 09:15
Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?	9	$117	118	118	-0	No	-$20	08-31 18:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	10	$104	124	124	+0	Yes	-$8	09-04 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-12 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-16 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	6	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-12 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-18 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	10-16 18:48
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	4	$91	135	45	+90	open	—	08-28 01:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	4	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	08-29 05:18
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	8	$89	82	82	+0	Yes	-$1	08-25 12:50
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?	9	$83	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	08-27 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	10-10 06:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:55 UTC	3	$79	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	09-29 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:25 UTC	2	$79	40	40	+0	Up	+$0	09-29 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	10-10 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	10-10 08:34
Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?	4	$79	129	41	+88	No	-$9	08-21 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	37	$78	272	0	+272	Up	+$194	11-03 00:58
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?	9	$77	90	90	+0	Yes	-$7	09-05 01:04
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	4	$77	87	87	+0	open	—	08-24 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 05:41:04	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xba94bf…
11-03 05:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x6ce102…
11-03 05:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd23860…
11-03 05:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb98cc5…
11-03 04:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9335b7…
11-03 04:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa247f9…
11-03 04:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x85b692…
11-03 04:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x387f16…
11-03 04:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x256af0…
11-03 04:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe06e99…
11-03 04:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc014f9…
11-03 04:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8bf0bf…
11-03 04:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x211fab…
11-03 04:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1019ae…
11-03 04:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x843532…
11-03 04:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x51caba…
11-03 04:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3e42f5…
11-03 04:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6d4e55…
11-03 04:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4767d4…
11-03 04:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0dfc87…
11-03 04:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe1f4e6…
11-03 04:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4cfa7e…
11-03 04:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x47ffd9…
11-03 04:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1fe7e2…
11-03 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xce4639…
11-03 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbf553e…
11-03 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x80dba4…
11-03 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x77cd38…
11-03 04:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6ab1ff…
11-03 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd9d09f…
11-03 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x948993…
11-03 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6b7d1e…
11-03 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x59842b…
11-03 04:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0c3550…
11-03 04:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa11f46…
11-03 04:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x858710…
11-03 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf89640…
11-03 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf6e5ba…
11-03 04:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb2be8f…
11-03 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xfa443d…
11-03 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf956a4…
11-03 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc88498…
11-03 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x28264b…
11-03 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xfeef0f…
11-03 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd5917f…
11-03 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x96ff6e…
11-03 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x88f77b…
11-03 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x840b6e…
11-03 03:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x8bddbc…
11-03 03:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x658fa1…
11-03 03:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x590f68…
11-03 03:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x554547…
11-03 03:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb1557e…
11-03 03:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9ac26b…
11-03 03:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x57bdf4…
11-03 03:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4f252c…
11-03 03:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x25b56f…
11-03 03:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3f3095…
11-03 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xade0e4…
11-03 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xabcc8c…
11-03 03:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9ae6ad…
11-03 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf69920…
11-03 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd04c36…
11-03 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7b4c9b…
11-03 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x78eb62…
11-03 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5c76bf…
11-03 03:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe781b6…
11-03 03:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdea8af…
11-03 03:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcc9d9a…
11-03 03:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb86f5b…
11-03 03:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x39b595…
11-03 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfd74a0…
11-03 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf48e2f…
11-03 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8af7f8…
11-03 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0d8e6b…
11-03 03:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7b58cb…
11-03 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x6ff215…
11-03 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x561e50…
11-03 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2c8738…
11-03 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x08b234…
11-03 03:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x03c32c…
11-03 03:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8c9536…
11-03 03:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x667a5a…
11-03 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x4c1aba…
11-03 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x2939b9…
11-03 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xe4677d…
11-03 02:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3c37ea…
11-03 02:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2f513b…
11-03 02:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x98a570…
11-03 02:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x50da2e…
11-03 02:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1ffeed…
11-03 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x461772…
11-03 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x606772…
11-03 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0bb6f5…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xed94f7…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x41015c…
11-03 02:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x27f2b5…
11-03 02:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5ac7bf…
11-03 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf5830f…
11-03 02:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x85c8de…