Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

61,014

Trades

559,214

lifetime

Volume

$4.84M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$119

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-27 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$65,539

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 6967 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	—	+115	$84	100¢	$115	+$31	10-27 13:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	—	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$1	10-27 13:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	161	$3.4K	5,275	+5,275	Up	-$108	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:15 UTC	63	$3.3K	5,233	+5,233	Down	+$386	07-17 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	48	$2.3K	3,262	+3,262	Down	+$544	07-21 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:25 UTC	53	$2.3K	3,313	+3,313	Down	-$948	07-21 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:40 UTC	28	$2.3K	2,857	+2,857	Up	-$559	07-21 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:45 UTC	38	$2.3K	3,980	+3,980	Down	-$1,411	07-21 14:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	95	$2.2K	2,976	+2,976	Up	-$264	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:55 UTC	61	$2.2K	3,734	+3,734	Down	-$81	07-20 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	97	$2.1K	3,402	+3,402	Up	-$326	07-31 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	78	$2.0K	4,729	+4,729	Down	-$1,187	07-21 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:55 UTC	64	$1.9K	3,090	+3,090	Down	-$83	07-21 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:55 UTC	62	$1.9K	3,762	+3,762	Up	+$516	07-16 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	101	$1.9K	2,948	+2,948	Up	-$244	07-21 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:45 UTC	50	$1.8K	2,590	+2,590	Down	+$391	07-24 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:15 UTC	26	$1.8K	2,824	+2,824	Up	-$1,830	07-21 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	56	$1.8K	3,342	+3,342	Up	+$310	07-16 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:55 UTC	83	$1.7K	3,123	+3,123	Down	-$13	08-31 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:40 UTC	60	$1.7K	2,898	+2,898	Down	-$633	07-17 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:55 UTC	59	$1.7K	3,155	+3,155	Down	-$146	07-16 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:45 UTC	64	$1.7K	3,098	+3,098	Down	-$667	07-23 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:10 UTC	27	$1.6K	2,379	+2,379	Down	-$96	07-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:20 UTC	38	$1.6K	2,060	+2,060	Down	-$519	07-22 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:40 UTC	39	$1.6K	2,287	+2,287	Up	-$125	07-22 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	39	$1.6K	2,023	+2,023	Down	-$388	07-21 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	68	$1.6K	3,248	+3,248	Down	-$17	05-29 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:10 UTC	48	$1.5K	2,347	+2,347	Down	+$521	07-21 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:55 UTC	23	$1.5K	2,269	+2,269	Down	+$166	07-17 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:25 UTC	50	$1.5K	2,698	+2,698	Up	-$333	07-20 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:50 UTC	53	$1.5K	3,253	+3,253	Down	+$355	06-18 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:40 UTC	31	$1.5K	2,712	+2,712	Up	-$493	06-18 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xbb209b…
10-27 13:05:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x78df82…
10-27 13:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xf368f6…
10-27 13:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd5fac5…
10-27 13:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xe16fcc…
10-27 13:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa0face…
10-27 13:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0xeaad76…
10-27 13:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0x22922a…
10-27 13:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb90c4b…
10-27 13:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9eaf49…
10-27 13:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x646ded…
10-27 13:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x480ccd…
10-27 13:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xe6ff73…
10-27 13:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe3fec3…
10-27 13:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc5071c…
10-27 13:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x51c68a…
10-27 13:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4fa465…
10-27 13:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf0930b…
10-27 13:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xcdb77f…
10-27 13:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5acb3d…
10-27 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9c10ca…
10-27 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x259ff3…
10-27 13:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0x76833a…
10-27 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xffc1a2…
10-27 13:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x597f29…
10-27 13:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcc7856…
10-27 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xfca7db…
10-27 13:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x1941c2…
10-27 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xef4927…
10-27 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe7b4d9…
10-27 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xe020b1…
10-27 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x867f2f…
10-27 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x28a565…
10-27 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x275d88…
10-27 13:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3656bd…
10-27 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x5f26f8…
10-27 12:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x905f4a…
10-27 12:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x8f73b0…
10-27 12:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x643f6f…
10-27 12:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x197397…
10-27 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xba5eff…
10-27 12:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x6dd4d1…
10-27 12:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1944e5…
10-27 12:54:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x3929ce…
10-27 12:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xca417c…
10-27 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0b9ec7…
10-27 12:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xf7cdc0…
10-27 12:51:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2a466b…
10-27 12:50:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x4fd46f…
10-27 12:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x5c6acc…
10-27 12:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x5fb340…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xefd871…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa3304c…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x9a3d5c…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x89282c…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x667352…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x5cd78e…
10-27 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x037ffc…
10-27 12:45:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0xabfa9b…
10-27 12:45:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x83632f…
10-27 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc39aed…
10-27 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xbd3ca8…
10-27 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x98995c…
10-27 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x806f7d…
10-27 12:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb629b1…
10-27 12:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x544bc8…
10-27 12:45:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7c4c20…
10-27 12:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xe27845…
10-27 12:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x66a1fe…
10-27 12:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	73¢	$18	0x2a5b9c…
10-27 12:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xfeff99…
10-27 12:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0x3ed241…
10-27 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd35756…
10-27 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xbed234…
10-27 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x03cdf1…
10-27 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xcfde56…
10-27 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb48546…
10-27 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xacc382…
10-27 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8658f0…
10-27 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$11	0x1f33d2…
10-27 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xcfa71d…
10-27 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0xbd9f30…
10-27 12:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xd34396…
10-27 12:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xdd911d…
10-27 12:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x506d55…
10-27 12:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7d9836…
10-27 12:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x7572ba…
10-27 12:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x50bccc…
10-27 12:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcef30f…
10-27 12:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x80b6b1…
10-27 12:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x7c158c…
10-27 12:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc62ac4…
10-27 12:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xdffae0…
10-27 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x1c2823…
10-27 12:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x25d0df…
10-27 12:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0xb1e2b4…
10-27 12:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x16a8b5…
10-27 12:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0xa29923…
10-27 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xca9026…
10-27 12:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x48c686…