Well-Lit-Publication-Chasm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$53

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

61,777

Trades

564,795

lifetime

Volume

$4.87M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% +$65,199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 6967 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	—	+85	$42	1¢	$1	-$42	10-29 15:37
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	—	+18	$11	1¢	$0	-$11	10-29 15:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:25 UTC	161	$3.4K	5,275	+5,275	Up	-$108	08-27 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:15 UTC	63	$3.3K	5,233	+5,233	Down	+$386	07-17 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	48	$2.3K	3,262	+3,262	Down	+$544	07-21 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 16:25 UTC	53	$2.3K	3,313	+3,313	Down	-$948	07-21 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:40 UTC	28	$2.3K	2,857	+2,857	Up	-$559	07-21 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:45 UTC	38	$2.3K	3,980	+3,980	Down	-$1,411	07-21 14:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:30 UTC	95	$2.2K	2,976	+2,976	Up	-$264	08-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:55 UTC	61	$2.2K	3,734	+3,734	Down	-$81	07-20 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	97	$2.1K	3,402	+3,402	Up	-$326	07-31 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:45 UTC	78	$2.0K	4,729	+4,729	Down	-$1,187	07-21 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:55 UTC	64	$1.9K	3,090	+3,090	Down	-$83	07-21 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:55 UTC	62	$1.9K	3,762	+3,762	Up	+$516	07-16 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	101	$1.9K	2,948	+2,948	Up	-$244	07-21 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 16:45 UTC	50	$1.8K	2,590	+2,590	Down	+$391	07-24 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:15 UTC	26	$1.8K	2,824	+2,824	Up	-$1,830	07-21 15:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:00 UTC	56	$1.8K	3,342	+3,342	Up	+$310	07-16 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:55 UTC	83	$1.7K	3,123	+3,123	Down	-$13	08-31 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:40 UTC	60	$1.7K	2,898	+2,898	Down	-$633	07-17 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:55 UTC	59	$1.7K	3,155	+3,155	Down	-$146	07-16 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 16:45 UTC	64	$1.7K	3,098	+3,098	Down	-$667	07-23 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:10 UTC	27	$1.6K	2,379	+2,379	Down	-$96	07-20 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:20 UTC	38	$1.6K	2,060	+2,060	Down	-$519	07-22 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 13:40 UTC	39	$1.6K	2,287	+2,287	Up	-$125	07-22 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:15 UTC	39	$1.6K	2,023	+2,023	Down	-$388	07-21 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	68	$1.6K	3,248	+3,248	Down	-$17	05-29 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:10 UTC	48	$1.5K	2,347	+2,347	Down	+$521	07-21 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:55 UTC	23	$1.5K	2,269	+2,269	Down	+$166	07-17 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:25 UTC	50	$1.5K	2,698	+2,698	Up	-$333	07-20 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:50 UTC	53	$1.5K	3,253	+3,253	Down	+$355	06-18 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:40 UTC	31	$1.5K	2,712	+2,712	Up	-$493	06-18 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x863f02…
10-29 15:35:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0x4acb04…
10-29 15:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x4498c7…
10-29 15:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xdaaf68…
10-29 15:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x90fd70…
10-29 15:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x8dd044…
10-29 15:30:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xd9a8e7…
10-29 15:30:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x1614f5…
10-29 15:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xbe4221…
10-29 15:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd49070…
10-29 15:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc228ef…
10-29 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xde60c8…
10-29 15:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xcb843f…
10-29 15:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x35baf8…
10-29 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x43e529…
10-29 15:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x8eccaa…
10-29 15:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x6fee89…
10-29 15:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x87ec48…
10-29 15:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3ab00b…
10-29 15:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x3a08db…
10-29 15:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x39fff1…
10-29 15:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x007d70…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xe7553f…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0xd0f4a8…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb22503…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb1efb4…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xac2f9a…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x762d42…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x614f1b…
10-29 15:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5d2ea4…
10-29 15:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xf4bd9f…
10-29 15:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x83f7e3…
10-29 15:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$5	0x23b945…
10-29 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd63c46…
10-29 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb1f632…
10-29 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x7241e8…
10-29 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x5bbdc9…
10-29 15:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0737d6…
10-29 15:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x500f69…
10-29 15:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xf26ad1…
10-29 15:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x32f716…
10-29 15:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x31cbb7…
10-29 15:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x8ea3a2…
10-29 15:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0xc43a94…
10-29 15:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xef443f…
10-29 15:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7afa60…
10-29 15:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x4a8e79…
10-29 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$4	0xec2805…
10-29 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc538fa…
10-29 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xc41ab7…
10-29 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb90ff8…
10-29 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2cc14a…
10-29 15:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xda0b90…
10-29 15:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x23bcd9…
10-29 15:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xfdbe6f…
10-29 15:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x70a0bb…
10-29 15:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x203449…
10-29 15:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0x560280…
10-29 15:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x798a28…
10-29 15:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x11d9e5…
10-29 15:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x04ca6f…
10-29 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcd4f4b…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbeee71…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa3fff6…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa06d6e…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x989e3a…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x411a5c…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x2e33ec…
10-29 15:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x09cc52…
10-29 15:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x96092c…
10-29 15:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x98753f…
10-29 15:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8e354f…
10-29 15:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x54f6fd…
10-29 15:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x506095…
10-29 15:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x24006d…
10-29 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xfad8bf…
10-29 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbd2de0…
10-29 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x4a6d52…
10-29 15:11:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0xc637f0…
10-29 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x37e655…
10-29 15:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x02e211…
10-29 15:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0xec7a14…
10-29 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xdd90d1…
10-29 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xa615d8…
10-29 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x762685…
10-29 15:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x63fdfc…
10-29 15:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0xf16c03…
10-29 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e4285…
10-29 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x854361…
10-29 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x71fd88…
10-29 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x4546f7…
10-29 15:11:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x12ab03…
10-29 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x0eac7a…
10-29 15:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xe9eb01…
10-29 15:10:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x447483…
10-29 15:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0xa7256f…
10-29 15:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa51412…
10-29 15:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8bcc1e…
10-29 15:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc2a45d…
10-29 15:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x90b9ab…