Demanding-Encirclement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

28,517

Trades

72,692

lifetime

Volume

$983.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$197

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$19,462

Other

0% 57% -$1,020

Sports

0% 23% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 4493 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	—	+200	$198	98¢	$197	-$1	10-28 18:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	204	$3.1K	3,823	3,823	+0	Down	-$357	09-06 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	105	$1.7K	2,770	0	+2,770	Down	-$177	09-04 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	12	$1.5K	1,015	986	+30	Down	-$74	09-20 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	76	$1.5K	2,348	0	+2,348	Down	-$11	09-04 07:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 17:55 UTC	10	$1.5K	872	872	+0	Up	+$78	08-05 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	164	$1.5K	2,743	0	+2,743	Down	-$75	09-06 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	171	$1.5K	2,752	0	+2,752	Down	-$88	09-06 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	178	$1.5K	2,775	0	+2,775	Up	-$88	09-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	143	$1.4K	2,762	0	+2,762	Down	-$23	09-06 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	135	$1.4K	2,800	0	+2,800	Up	-$17	09-06 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	93	$1.4K	2,254	0	+2,254	Down	-$541	09-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	199	$1.4K	2,780	0	+2,780	Up	-$10	09-06 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	11	$1.4K	944	944	+0	Down	-$207	10-06 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	119	$1.4K	2,265	0	+2,265	Down	+$45	09-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	141	$1.4K	2,756	0	+2,756	Up	+$19	09-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	146	$1.4K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$38	09-06 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	141	$1.4K	2,769	0	+2,769	Up	+$8	09-06 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	191	$1.4K	2,745	0	+2,745	Down	+$30	09-06 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	154	$1.3K	2,800	0	+2,800	Up	+$97	09-06 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 11:50 UTC	11	$1.3K	1,886	1,886	+0	Down	-$114	06-16 11:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-06 09:00 UTC	186	$1.3K	2,762	0	+2,762	Up	+$85	09-06 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	138	$1.3K	2,775	0	+2,775	Down	+$103	09-06 08:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:45 UTC	17	$1.3K	713	713	+0	Up	+$9	09-02 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	149	$1.3K	2,436	0	+2,436	Up	-$175	09-06 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	11	$1.2K	902	902	+0	Down	+$47	06-03 14:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 20:45 UTC	9	$1.2K	657	657	+0	Down	+$23	08-05 20:48
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:35 UTC	10	$1.2K	666	666	+0	Down	+$16	08-02 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	15	$1.2K	1,200	823	+377	Down	-$174	05-28 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	116	$1.2K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$97	09-04 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 20:30 UTC	15	$1.2K	1,163	656	+507	Down	+$101	08-05 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0x55a52a…
10-28 18:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc674d6…
10-28 18:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46fdfe…
10-28 18:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0778e0…
10-28 18:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	174	99¢	$173	0xdd05da…
10-28 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xa9d315…
10-28 17:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa0962f…
10-28 17:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf8d8f7…
10-28 17:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x144099…
10-28 17:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x966ae6…
10-28 17:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe958a3…
10-28 17:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe82d39…
10-28 17:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd8366…
10-28 17:38:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xef0369…
10-28 17:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x773105…
10-28 17:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xd17026…
10-28 17:23:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x11e86c…
10-28 17:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1650f7…
10-28 17:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xe406a8…
10-28 17:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x75a062…
10-28 17:19:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x09ca12…
10-28 17:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa8b2df…
10-28 17:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7001e0…
10-28 17:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x575740…
10-28 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xce822f…
10-28 17:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd7c694…
10-28 16:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2fea45…
10-28 16:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3aa97c…
10-28 16:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x871c0c…
10-28 16:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0d13c6…
10-28 16:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x5ced31…
10-28 16:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x3c43fb…
10-28 16:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xa93b95…
10-28 16:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x06bfa6…
10-28 16:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd74348…
10-28 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xb4f26d…
10-28 16:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	173	99¢	$172	0xb20f75…
10-28 15:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xb3accf…
10-28 15:32:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa1572a…
10-28 15:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	199	99¢	$197	0x19309f…
10-28 15:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd191b1…
10-28 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2849f6…
10-28 14:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5d1602…
10-28 14:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x31e2f7…
10-28 14:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x39482e…
10-28 14:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x5c1f47…
10-28 14:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xbbf116…
10-28 14:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x81a923…
10-28 14:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x1a9452…
10-28 14:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x10d93f…
10-28 14:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x7d5404…
10-28 14:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xf0adb6…
10-28 14:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x1bca0f…
10-28 14:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0xef4c4f…
10-28 14:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0c7a60…
10-28 14:18:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$96	0x9317e6…
10-28 13:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xe0918d…
10-28 13:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe89154…
10-28 13:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc53712…
10-28 13:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xdbaa5d…
10-28 13:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x810e57…
10-28 13:54:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x434324…
10-28 13:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8e4eaf…
10-28 13:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0xf40649…
10-28 13:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	163	99¢	$161	0xf10d15…
10-28 13:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdf2032…
10-28 13:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb474fa…
10-28 13:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd44b2…
10-28 13:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xa33f04…
10-28 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfeb840…
10-28 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd58081…
10-28 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac0111…
10-28 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8d677a…
10-28 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x39f848…
10-28 13:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x730a4d…
10-28 13:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x00949c…
10-28 13:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd368bf…
10-28 13:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xcd1c25…
10-28 13:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x44f5ec…
10-28 13:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xf765f0…
10-28 13:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeec354…
10-28 12:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xfbce7d…
10-28 12:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x6eb59d…
10-28 12:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33bb4…
10-28 12:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x775fc7…
10-28 12:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x980b33…
10-28 12:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21263a…
10-28 12:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x9b1891…
10-28 12:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x35b796…
10-28 12:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0468af…
10-28 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0xea71db…
10-28 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0xd3ed21…
10-28 12:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x3f404e…
10-28 12:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xc7c4bd…
10-28 11:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0c7fa3…
10-28 11:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfce8f8…
10-28 11:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x96fe08…
10-28 11:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x20b1d3…
10-28 11:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xee9109…
10-28 11:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x18ddaf…