Traumatic-Heating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$206.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

86,332

Trades

2,445,063

lifetime

Volume

$19.7M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-26 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$206,442

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 18205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:15 UTC	477	$5.1K	4,896	4,925	-29	Up	-$95	06-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	465	$4.6K	4,556	4,644	-88	Down	-$190	06-13 15:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:30 UTC	315	$4.6K	4,417	4,738	-322	Down	-$55	06-05 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	510	$4.1K	3,426	4,703	-1,277	Up	+$91	06-04 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:55 UTC	385	$4.0K	3,615	4,350	-734	Up	+$50	06-04 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:50 UTC	391	$3.9K	3,310	4,473	-1,163	Down	-$181	06-04 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	343	$3.9K	3,935	3,950	-15	Down	-$54	06-03 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:15 UTC	285	$3.9K	3,292	4,326	-1,034	Up	+$172	06-05 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:20 UTC	293	$3.8K	3,814	3,771	+43	Up	+$16	06-05 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:10 UTC	342	$3.8K	3,616	3,983	-367	Up	+$164	06-05 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	394	$3.8K	7,571	0	+7,571	Down	+$22	10-05 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:25 UTC	318	$3.7K	3,654	3,761	-107	Down	+$102	06-05 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC	323	$3.7K	3,602	3,614	-12	Up	-$102	06-05 13:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	373	$3.7K	2,945	4,418	-1,473	Up	-$156	06-05 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC	328	$3.7K	6,914	0	+6,914	Up	-$185	10-04 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	310	$3.6K	7,220	0	+7,220	Down	-$15	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	404	$3.6K	3,661	3,598	+64	Down	+$70	06-13 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:40 UTC	276	$3.6K	3,514	3,548	-34	Up	+$4	06-05 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:20 UTC	385	$3.5K	2,376	4,392	-2,016	Down	+$28	06-04 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:05 UTC	280	$3.5K	3,833	3,065	+768	Down	-$184	06-05 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 22:10 UTC	410	$3.4K	3,758	3,113	+645	Down	-$47	06-04 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:15 UTC	329	$3.4K	2,918	3,743	-825	Down	+$20	06-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	392	$3.4K	3,472	3,152	+320	Down	+$105	06-04 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:10 UTC	262	$3.4K	3,422	3,324	+98	Up	+$77	06-05 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:25 UTC	350	$3.3K	2,296	4,319	-2,023	Down	+$89	06-04 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	325	$3.3K	3,320	3,526	-205	Down	+$74	06-03 06:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:40 UTC	373	$3.3K	2,706	3,720	-1,015	Up	-$62	06-04 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 16:10 UTC	258	$3.3K	3,517	3,023	+494	Down	-$157	06-06 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:00 UTC	355	$3.3K	2,043	4,625	-2,582	Up	-$161	06-05 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:55 UTC	409	$3.3K	2,902	3,678	-776	Down	+$72	06-04 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf8d76b…
10-26 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xf36f6f…
10-26 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x476c83…
10-26 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x263fb6…
10-26 20:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x75cda3…
10-26 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xe9ba7a…
10-26 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xe00bc5…
10-26 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc1c101…
10-26 20:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x34dae0…
10-26 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xba4bcc…
10-26 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	52¢	$17	0xa5dfaa…
10-26 20:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x6085f5…
10-26 20:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x953465…
10-26 20:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x5eddcf…
10-26 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc3f816…
10-26 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x8ab267…
10-26 20:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	82¢	$37	0xe6d9a1…
10-26 20:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x78d242…
10-26 20:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x3f43dd…
10-26 20:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5681d8…
10-26 20:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x550f6c…
10-26 20:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	37¢	$9	0x151bdd…
10-26 20:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb3beb6…
10-26 20:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x440384…
10-26 20:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x583161…
10-26 20:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x50abed…
10-26 20:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3fc2ee…
10-26 20:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x1fdb5b…
10-26 20:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x441cd8…
10-26 20:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xbf881a…
10-26 20:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x4bff89…
10-26 20:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xe26c05…
10-26 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xda4e9b…
10-26 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd9357a…
10-26 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xd5b235…
10-26 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb2893b…
10-26 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x541be1…
10-26 20:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x46e347…
10-26 20:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xb68fdd…
10-26 20:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb151a4…
10-26 20:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x3d0a3f…
10-26 20:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x903868…
10-26 20:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x04853f…
10-26 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xe99857…
10-26 20:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xada3e7…
10-26 20:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x1b58c1…
10-26 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x5dbc5f…
10-26 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0f7d0a…
10-26 20:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	27¢	$7	0xe39a3f…
10-26 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd352e5…
10-26 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xaacf6e…
10-26 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa97d42…
10-26 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x5a8e46…
10-26 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x068387…
10-26 20:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	47¢	$16	0xb6d353…
10-26 20:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x16de85…
10-26 20:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x84ee34…
10-26 20:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x59254b…
10-26 20:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x223a5f…
10-26 20:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x649921…
10-26 20:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x91cb8d…
10-26 20:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbe788b…
10-26 20:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xbcd1db…
10-26 20:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0xf18136…
10-26 20:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xa7ea20…
10-26 20:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x72f3ff…
10-26 20:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x735790…
10-26 20:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe3f50d…
10-26 20:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1a8514…
10-26 20:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xdb6496…
10-26 20:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x16e960…
10-26 20:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xcc1cd4…
10-26 20:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xfb84a6…
10-26 20:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x8e971a…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xcddd6a…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x7cac7e…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x6a4a5e…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x5d933b…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x08e343…
10-26 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x0794ae…
10-26 20:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xfe9fc3…
10-26 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	7¢	$3	0xce46af…
10-26 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x984eb1…
10-26 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0x25540b…
10-26 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xabdebc…
10-26 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xc83a10…
10-26 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x8d210a…
10-26 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x6e0dae…
10-26 20:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	89¢	$22	0x671d80…
10-26 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x760c94…
10-26 20:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xb4a3f7…
10-26 20:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xb33f8a…
10-26 20:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x7b4a2f…
10-26 20:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x4fc564…
10-26 20:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x03751c…
10-26 20:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x450266…
10-26 20:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x697e9d…
10-26 20:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc3a78f…
10-26 20:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xb59c33…
10-26 20:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x194e09…