Ignorant-Banker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.5%

Resolved

6,919

Trades

16,717

lifetime

Volume

$170.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-26 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% -$5,458

Other

1% 39% -$91

Politics

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 50% +$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	20	$2.7K	4,028	1,968	+2,060	Down	+$43	06-01 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	15	$2.4K	3,024	2,030	+994	Down	+$748	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	9	$1.6K	3,279	3,279	+0	Down	+$139	05-12 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	17	$1.3K	1,788	1,788	+0	Down	+$225	05-17 15:51
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	11	$1.2K	1,571	1,371	+200	Up	+$242	06-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	17	$1.2K	1,626	1,326	+300	Down	+$246	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	18	$1.1K	2,463	2,463	+0	Up	-$197	05-14 14:10
bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	12	$1.0K	1,210	1,210	+0	Up	+$413	06-11 15:34
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	8	$769	920	920	+0	Down	+$261	06-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	15	$747	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$3	05-31 15:41
bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	12	$726	1,200	700	+500	Up	-$48	06-10 12:33
bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	6	$611	630	630	+0	Down	+$233	06-30 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$605	417	417	+0	Down	+$221	05-15 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	13	$600	1,872	1,872	-0	Down	-$311	05-16 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	10	$584	1,052	851	+202	Down	+$168	05-31 09:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$565	19,678	19,678	+0	No	-$4	06-03 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	17	$535	674	674	+0	Down	+$294	06-08 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	14	$527	1,861	218	+1,643	Down	-$402	05-18 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	9	$467	461	369	+91	Down	+$162	05-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	4	$430	450	450	+0	Up	+$116	09-24 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	9	$403	608	608	+0	Up	+$148	05-30 15:42
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	23	$398	460	460	+0	Down	+$194	06-29 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	8	$381	604	604	+0	Down	+$149	05-14 20:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	12	$365	640	640	+0	Up	+$74	06-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	16	$340	368	368	+0	Down	+$107	05-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	17	$324	421	187	+234	Down	-$96	06-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	23	$316	391	391	+0	Down	+$106	05-17 16:59
bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	4	$315	1,004	0	+1,004	Up	-$315	06-11 17:48
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	7	$315	2,273	2,273	+0	Down	-$266	06-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$313	450	300	+150	Down	+$137	09-04 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x66d6f6…
10-26 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xabf504…
10-26 19:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0x965078…
10-26 19:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xd3ad0c…
10-26 19:40:14	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	Team Secret Whales	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x9ce8d5…
10-26 19:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x8ad6f9…
10-26 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb00b6f…
10-26 19:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1baf39…
10-26 19:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xf14407…
10-26 19:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x88af83…
10-26 19:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x10b742…
10-26 19:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x86229b…
10-26 19:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xdd96be…
10-26 19:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x15f99b…
10-26 19:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xc066d6…
10-26 19:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x975d14…
10-26 18:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xdd16ac…
10-26 18:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x714249…
10-26 18:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xc90590…
10-26 18:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x402673…
10-26 18:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x347124…
10-26 18:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xb82111…
10-26 18:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	26	67¢	$17	0xc0637e…
10-26 18:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x7e8285…
10-26 18:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x2405cf…
10-26 17:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x3035c0…
10-26 15:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0xb5d072…
10-26 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xc88574…
10-26 15:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xb724f3…
10-26 14:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1e680e…
10-26 14:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x503df9…
10-26 10:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd51dfb…
10-26 05:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xfc4b7c…
10-26 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xd7eb3c…
10-26 00:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$4	0xddc053…
10-26 00:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x812333…
10-26 00:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0a32a4…
10-26 00:00:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	237	1¢	$2	0x657a5f…
10-25 23:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa55554…
10-25 23:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x8c4ce7…
10-25 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x78ef2e…
10-25 23:16:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xafb063…
10-25 23:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x1c2623…
10-25 23:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xac9de7…
10-25 22:58:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0x35cffa…
10-25 22:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xac1f89…
10-25 22:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdba9c5…
10-25 22:44:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x8178cb…
10-25 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x8c5bf6…
10-25 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc50cb4…
10-25 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xa949a8…
10-25 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x925f83…
10-25 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x07ff15…
10-25 22:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x05a28e…
10-25 22:28:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x464b38…
10-25 22:28:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0x8ec54e…
10-25 22:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xa9599f…
10-25 22:21:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xf10c4a…
10-25 22:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe98841…
10-25 21:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x284e72…
10-25 21:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7d040d…
10-25 21:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x514ea7…
10-25 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc6c42d…
10-25 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x6e5d2f…
10-25 21:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x6612f7…
10-25 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x9f80f3…
10-25 21:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x761b9c…
10-25 21:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8721cf…
10-25 21:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x65db6c…
10-25 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xa654c9…
10-25 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x7002c4…
10-25 20:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x399865…
10-25 20:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x49d70f…
10-25 20:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xd5dc91…
10-25 20:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xddc9b9…
10-25 20:24:02	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd345af…
10-25 20:23:44	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe6e0ad…
10-25 20:23:27	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x9911e1…
10-25 20:23:15	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x750417…
10-25 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbb75fa…
10-25 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x0fa414…
10-25 20:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x31d401…
10-25 20:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x1b449d…
10-25 20:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x6da947…
10-25 20:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x3d2176…
10-25 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x4272ad…
10-25 19:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xc96fbe…
10-25 19:51:17	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x531380…
10-25 19:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x88d010…
10-25 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xd6d2a9…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xe8a38c…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe4f8a3…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xd05a5e…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb17bc7…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa59946…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x8c94e6…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7a8e9e…
10-25 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5edb00…
10-25 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8749fc…
10-25 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xe6e109…