Ignorant-Banker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

7,132

Trades

17,133

lifetime

Volume

$173.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-31 00:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% -$5,667

Other

1% 36% -$112

Politics

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 50% +$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	20	$2.7K	4,028	1,968	+2,060	Down	+$43	06-01 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	15	$2.4K	3,024	2,030	+994	Down	+$748	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	9	$1.6K	3,279	3,279	+0	Down	+$139	05-12 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	17	$1.3K	1,788	1,788	+0	Down	+$225	05-17 15:51
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	11	$1.2K	1,571	1,371	+200	Up	+$242	06-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	17	$1.2K	1,626	1,326	+300	Down	+$246	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	18	$1.1K	2,463	2,463	+0	Up	-$197	05-14 14:10
bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	12	$1.0K	1,210	1,210	+0	Up	+$413	06-11 15:34
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	8	$769	920	920	+0	Down	+$261	06-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	15	$747	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$3	05-31 15:41
bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	12	$726	1,200	700	+500	Up	-$48	06-10 12:33
bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	6	$611	630	630	+0	Down	+$233	06-30 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$605	417	417	+0	Down	+$221	05-15 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	13	$600	1,872	1,872	-0	Down	-$311	05-16 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	10	$584	1,052	851	+202	Down	+$168	05-31 09:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$565	19,678	19,678	+0	No	-$4	06-03 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	17	$535	674	674	+0	Down	+$294	06-08 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	14	$527	1,861	218	+1,643	Down	-$402	05-18 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	9	$467	461	369	+91	Down	+$162	05-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	4	$430	450	450	+0	Up	+$116	09-24 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	9	$403	608	608	+0	Up	+$148	05-30 15:42
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	23	$398	460	460	+0	Down	+$194	06-29 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	8	$381	604	604	+0	Down	+$149	05-14 20:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	12	$365	640	640	+0	Up	+$74	06-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	16	$340	368	368	+0	Down	+$107	05-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	17	$324	421	187	+234	Down	-$96	06-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	23	$316	391	391	+0	Down	+$106	05-17 16:59
bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	4	$315	1,004	0	+1,004	Up	-$315	06-11 17:48
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	7	$315	2,273	2,273	+0	Down	-$266	06-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$313	450	300	+150	Down	+$137	09-04 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x26966b…
10-31 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb2f3fb…
10-31 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x9cfa81…
10-31 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x4a2610…
10-31 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x27a739…
10-31 01:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa482f8…
10-31 01:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xb88f4f…
10-31 01:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x74e0db…
10-31 01:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x44fa5a…
10-31 01:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xfaa798…
10-31 01:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x794eec…
10-31 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcce210…
10-31 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xb99813…
10-31 01:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x99b6f2…
10-31 01:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x7856df…
10-31 01:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc47024…
10-31 01:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x55a5d2…
10-31 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xdf3dbf…
10-31 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x145a01…
10-31 00:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7bfb98…
10-31 00:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x8debb5…
10-31 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x4101fb…
10-31 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x75d340…
10-31 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x364708…
10-31 00:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x85bfee…
10-31 00:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x7294af…
10-31 00:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	30¢	$12	0x1e320f…
10-31 00:08:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x4783f1…
10-31 00:07:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xfb722a…
10-31 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x5f6d81…
10-31 00:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x3fd2af…
10-30 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x2c571a…
10-30 23:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x685b33…
10-30 23:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x884d3f…
10-30 23:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xd8df98…
10-30 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x361955…
10-30 23:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	39	23¢	$9	0x5a49b5…
10-30 23:11:33	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x0bdfb6…
10-30 23:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x18781e…
10-30 22:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xeff1e7…
10-30 22:44:58	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xc65e5d…
10-30 22:34:06	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x28cf06…
10-30 22:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe3d0ef…
10-30 22:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe414ff…
10-30 22:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb1e395…
10-30 22:27:31	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x1cc5bf…
10-30 22:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x31f62a…
10-30 22:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x89b865…
10-30 22:17:28	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x6d8087…
10-30 22:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x4870cc…
10-30 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x70d151…
10-30 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x1391fe…
10-30 21:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x08844a…
10-30 21:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4fb28f…
10-30 21:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x4bbc0f…
10-30 21:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x2619a4…
10-30 21:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x3a4a1f…
10-30 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x6a51fa…
10-30 21:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$2	0x782c5c…
10-30 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x60b4a6…
10-30 21:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x3efe4d…
10-30 21:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x12fbf6…
10-30 21:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdd4f50…
10-30 21:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x6f29a2…
10-30 21:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xb7b36b…
10-30 20:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x35dd29…
10-30 20:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0x868375…
10-30 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x68965e…
10-30 19:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0x157efe…
10-30 19:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x636567…
10-30 19:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa5c01a…
10-30 19:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x7f23db…
10-30 19:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x9b8413…
10-30 19:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x321e81…
10-30 19:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x1574e4…
10-30 19:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x743217…
10-30 19:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xbf322b…
10-30 19:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xbad47c…
10-30 19:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xed2570…
10-30 19:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x57b414…
10-30 18:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x68d048…
10-30 18:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x81fdfd…
10-30 18:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0x385208…
10-30 18:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xf6d470…
10-30 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x9529d8…
10-30 17:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	91¢	$26	0x07b3ce…
10-30 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xc886a8…
10-30 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9b982f…
10-30 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xe86cac…
10-30 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x784759…
10-30 17:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5b33ec…
10-30 17:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0xd99f5b…
10-30 17:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	34¢	$10	0x5b854e…
10-30 16:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x118a3b…
10-30 13:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xed7953…
10-30 12:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb0e0da…
10-30 12:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xbcc3d3…
10-30 12:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	39	53¢	$21	0xed2b8e…
10-30 12:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	39	37¢	$15	0xe14ec8…
10-30 12:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x642104…