Ignorant-Banker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved (30d)

932

Trades (30d)

1,879

17,407 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$16.5K

$176.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 11-01 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% -$5,607

Other

1% 39% -$24

Politics

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 50% +$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	—	+50	$13	16¢	$8	-$5	11-01 02:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	20	$2.7K	4,028	1,968	+2,060	Down	+$43	06-01 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	15	$2.4K	3,024	2,030	+994	Down	+$748	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	9	$1.6K	3,279	3,279	+0	Down	+$139	05-12 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	17	$1.3K	1,788	1,788	+0	Down	+$225	05-17 15:51
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	11	$1.2K	1,571	1,371	+200	Up	+$242	06-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	17	$1.2K	1,626	1,326	+300	Down	+$246	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	18	$1.1K	2,463	2,463	+0	Up	-$197	05-14 14:10
bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	12	$1.0K	1,210	1,210	+0	Up	+$413	06-11 15:34
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	8	$769	920	920	+0	Down	+$261	06-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	15	$747	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$3	05-31 15:41
bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	12	$726	1,200	700	+500	Up	-$48	06-10 12:33
bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	6	$611	630	630	+0	Down	+$233	06-30 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$605	417	417	+0	Down	+$221	05-15 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	13	$600	1,872	1,872	-0	Down	-$311	05-16 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	10	$584	1,052	851	+202	Down	+$168	05-31 09:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$565	19,678	19,678	+0	No	-$4	06-03 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	17	$535	674	674	+0	Down	+$294	06-08 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	14	$527	1,861	218	+1,643	Down	-$402	05-18 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	9	$467	461	369	+91	Down	+$162	05-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	4	$430	450	450	+0	Up	+$116	09-24 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	9	$403	608	608	+0	Up	+$148	05-30 15:42
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	23	$398	460	460	+0	Down	+$194	06-29 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	8	$381	604	604	+0	Down	+$149	05-14 20:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	12	$365	640	640	+0	Up	+$74	06-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	16	$340	368	368	+0	Down	+$107	05-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	17	$324	421	187	+234	Down	-$96	06-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	23	$316	391	391	+0	Down	+$106	05-17 16:59
bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	4	$315	1,004	0	+1,004	Up	-$315	06-11 17:48
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	7	$315	2,273	2,273	+0	Down	-$266	06-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$313	450	300	+150	Down	+$137	09-04 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x2155a4…
11-01 02:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x89e4b4…
11-01 02:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x5f7408…
11-01 02:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x8bac77…
11-01 02:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9f60d0…
11-01 02:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x276453…
11-01 02:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x447883…
11-01 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0xf7b22f…
11-01 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x4bd89f…
11-01 02:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xfb6585…
11-01 02:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xa15613…
11-01 02:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x1866ae…
11-01 02:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x99cd57…
11-01 02:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x869701…
11-01 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x81fb00…
11-01 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x7906be…
11-01 02:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x5faa5f…
11-01 02:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xf3831e…
11-01 02:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x812035…
11-01 02:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x5f3cf6…
11-01 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xc289d5…
11-01 01:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0xdeaf21…
11-01 01:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc523f2…
11-01 01:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x508304…
11-01 01:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x904b81…
11-01 01:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xfcd4f5…
11-01 01:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	30¢	$14	0x17bab8…
11-01 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd45117…
11-01 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc3b27b…
11-01 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x5af247…
11-01 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x31b6a8…
11-01 01:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x858b8f…
11-01 01:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x696421…
11-01 01:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe05e7d…
11-01 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xca62e1…
11-01 01:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x37ef6e…
11-01 01:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x838bd0…
11-01 01:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe4b75a…
11-01 01:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf1ff77…
11-01 01:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xb64dcd…
11-01 01:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7d5326…
11-01 01:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x2c10cd…
11-01 00:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8e3201…
11-01 00:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xe4619b…
11-01 00:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x86611c…
11-01 00:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x6ff8d0…
11-01 00:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x000b99…
11-01 00:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x4f43aa…
11-01 00:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x89fd86…
11-01 00:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x0d2fb7…
11-01 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x555eb4…
11-01 00:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5973c0…
10-31 23:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x818ded…
10-31 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xafb218…
10-31 23:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x8eaea2…
10-31 23:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x00c4f6…
10-31 23:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x5e8819…
10-31 23:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x1937e7…
10-31 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xdfb5b7…
10-31 23:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1c3943…
10-31 23:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x940582…
10-31 23:31:19	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc20be3…
10-31 23:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xc18e2a…
10-31 23:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa76909…
10-31 23:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x293b26…
10-31 23:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xce86f7…
10-31 23:11:51	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x5f3437…
10-31 23:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x6da455…
10-31 23:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x6e06a5…
10-31 23:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x6aefea…
10-31 23:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x1dc83f…
10-31 23:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x129512…
10-31 23:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x520a00…
10-31 23:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf011a1…
10-31 22:57:27	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x40191a…
10-31 22:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xbdb61f…
10-31 22:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x8b7385…
10-31 22:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0a0f17…
10-31 22:45:55	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa470a3…
10-31 22:38:58	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x100460…
10-31 22:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf33c6c…
10-31 22:33:06	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x0484d9…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xffb3e4…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x09c2b2…
10-31 22:21:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x7df17d…
10-31 22:18:04	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xe375a7…
10-31 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x654b05…
10-31 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x597844…
10-31 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x19dac7…
10-31 21:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd7c285…
10-31 21:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x652507…
10-31 21:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x0b2b3f…
10-31 21:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa97c14…
10-31 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x0ea4c0…
10-31 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x4579f2…
10-31 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x550f7b…
10-31 21:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	106	51¢	$54	0xd1eedb…
10-31 21:36:58	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x832093…
10-31 21:36:30	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x7ca0a4…
10-31 21:29:43	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xef011a…