Ignorant-Banker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.91K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved (90d)

4,201

Trades (90d)

9,623

17,749 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$87.5K

$179.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 11-02 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% -$5,604

Other

1% 39% -$24

Politics

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 50% +$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	20	$2.7K	4,028	1,968	+2,060	Down	+$43	06-01 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	15	$2.4K	3,024	2,030	+994	Down	+$748	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	9	$1.6K	3,279	3,279	+0	Down	+$139	05-12 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	17	$1.3K	1,788	1,788	+0	Down	+$225	05-17 15:51
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	11	$1.2K	1,571	1,371	+200	Up	+$242	06-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	17	$1.2K	1,626	1,326	+300	Down	+$246	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	18	$1.1K	2,463	2,463	+0	Up	-$197	05-14 14:10
bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	12	$1.0K	1,210	1,210	+0	Up	+$413	06-11 15:34
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	8	$769	920	920	+0	Down	+$261	06-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	15	$747	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$3	05-31 15:41
bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	12	$726	1,200	700	+500	Up	-$48	06-10 12:33
bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	6	$611	630	630	+0	Down	+$233	06-30 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$605	417	417	+0	Down	+$221	05-15 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	13	$600	1,872	1,872	-0	Down	-$311	05-16 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	10	$584	1,052	851	+202	Down	+$168	05-31 09:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$565	19,678	19,678	+0	No	-$4	06-03 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	17	$535	674	674	+0	Down	+$294	06-08 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	14	$527	1,861	218	+1,643	Down	-$402	05-18 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	9	$467	461	369	+91	Down	+$162	05-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	4	$430	450	450	+0	Up	+$116	09-24 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	9	$403	608	608	+0	Up	+$148	05-30 15:42
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	23	$398	460	460	+0	Down	+$194	06-29 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	8	$381	604	604	+0	Down	+$149	05-14 20:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	12	$365	640	640	+0	Up	+$74	06-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	16	$340	368	368	+0	Down	+$107	05-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	17	$324	421	187	+234	Down	-$96	06-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	23	$316	391	391	+0	Down	+$106	05-17 16:59
bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	4	$315	1,004	0	+1,004	Up	-$315	06-11 17:48
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	7	$315	2,273	2,273	+0	Down	-$266	06-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$313	450	300	+150	Down	+$137	09-04 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xd4c0a1…
11-02 02:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x63ba5c…
11-02 02:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x25e93a…
11-02 02:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x03c16a…
11-02 02:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xb16ac5…
11-02 02:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x70109a…
11-02 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xff1bb2…
11-02 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xfb7542…
11-02 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x563fd9…
11-02 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x1f9c58…
11-02 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x12e639…
11-02 02:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x94c882…
11-02 02:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9dc4d8…
11-02 02:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x253136…
11-02 02:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x0444c9…
11-02 02:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x8a1bb1…
11-02 02:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x70379c…
11-02 02:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x5ff81b…
11-02 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd78aba…
11-02 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xcc7fdf…
11-02 02:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0xe0bc18…
11-02 02:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x1d965a…
11-02 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x378177…
11-02 02:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x5d67cd…
11-02 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe21cdb…
11-02 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa395ff…
11-02 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xa2febc…
11-02 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x804cce…
11-02 02:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x2cd2f4…
11-02 01:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xd7948c…
11-02 01:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xe22d7f…
11-02 01:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x8a1a4d…
11-02 01:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0b0f96…
11-02 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x241ba5…
11-02 01:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x4f1472…
11-02 01:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xed8b8f…
11-02 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf706e9…
11-02 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb73d56…
11-02 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4563f5…
11-02 01:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa6ae39…
11-02 01:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x4cb301…
11-02 01:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x45bd46…
11-02 01:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x147539…
11-02 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc81537…
11-02 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x85291d…
11-02 01:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x76980d…
11-02 01:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1bafe9…
11-02 01:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x61492f…
11-02 01:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6c1275…
11-02 01:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x1af802…
11-02 00:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x178a02…
11-02 00:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x555913…
11-02 00:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x62ba3a…
11-02 00:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x9e8bf2…
11-02 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xf9518f…
11-02 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x785462…
11-02 00:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6cd905…
11-02 00:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x3577b4…
11-02 00:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	31¢	$8	0x4627ee…
11-02 00:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x942c9d…
11-02 00:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x979e3c…
11-02 00:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xafb63c…
11-02 00:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe9d06a…
11-02 00:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb5bc25…
11-02 00:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xdb02c9…
11-02 00:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5174a7…
11-02 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xd3d2b7…
11-02 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0xc8d997…
11-02 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7b2702…
11-02 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x694391…
11-02 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x38a9d2…
11-02 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9d6c4c…
11-02 00:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa742ee…
11-02 00:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0x80623c…
11-02 00:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x67f2da…
11-02 00:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x1f6008…
11-02 00:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xaebbb6…
11-02 00:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xe2b48f…
11-02 00:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb34ceb…
11-02 00:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xf51265…
11-02 00:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa15bc0…
11-02 00:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x852c46…
11-02 00:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x1b31c2…
11-01 23:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xc6ff0a…
11-01 23:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9f0b37…
11-01 23:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x8aaeab…
11-01 23:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xd6483c…
11-01 23:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x74edc9…
11-01 23:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x9dd9d5…
11-01 23:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x14ca30…
11-01 23:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe836bc…
11-01 23:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa1dfaa…
11-01 23:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x9cb1f4…
11-01 23:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xafd12c…
11-01 23:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x0e9ff2…
11-01 22:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4d4d57…
11-01 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xb8fdc8…
11-01 22:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe3a637…
11-01 22:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xf87b69…
11-01 22:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xe98098…