Ignorant-Banker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$576

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved (7d)

332

Trades (7d)

687

16,873 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$5.85K

$171.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-28 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 28% -$5,512

Other

1% 39% -$91

Politics

0% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 50% +$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 680 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?	20	$2.7K	4,028	1,968	+2,060	Down	+$43	06-01 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	15	$2.4K	3,024	2,030	+994	Down	+$748	05-13 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	9	$1.6K	3,279	3,279	+0	Down	+$139	05-12 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	17	$1.3K	1,788	1,788	+0	Down	+$225	05-17 15:51
bitcoin up or down on june 6 2026	11	$1.2K	1,571	1,371	+200	Up	+$242	06-06 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	17	$1.2K	1,626	1,326	+300	Down	+$246	05-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?	18	$1.1K	2,463	2,463	+0	Up	-$197	05-14 14:10
bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	12	$1.0K	1,210	1,210	+0	Up	+$413	06-11 15:34
bitcoin up or down on june 29 2026	8	$769	920	920	+0	Down	+$261	06-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?	15	$747	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	-$3	05-31 15:41
bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	12	$726	1,200	700	+500	Up	-$48	06-10 12:33
bitcoin up or down on june 30 2026	6	$611	630	630	+0	Down	+$233	06-30 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	2	$605	417	417	+0	Down	+$221	05-15 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	13	$600	1,872	1,872	-0	Down	-$311	05-16 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET	10	$584	1,052	851	+202	Down	+$168	05-31 09:54
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$565	19,678	19,678	+0	No	-$4	06-03 00:52
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	17	$535	674	674	+0	Down	+$294	06-08 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	14	$527	1,861	218	+1,643	Down	-$402	05-18 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	9	$467	461	369	+91	Down	+$162	05-14 19:45
bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	4	$430	450	450	+0	Up	+$116	09-24 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	9	$403	608	608	+0	Up	+$148	05-30 15:42
bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	23	$398	460	460	+0	Down	+$194	06-29 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET	8	$381	604	604	+0	Down	+$149	05-14 20:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	12	$365	640	640	+0	Up	+$74	06-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	16	$340	368	368	+0	Down	+$107	05-15 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	17	$324	421	187	+234	Down	-$96	06-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET	23	$316	391	391	+0	Down	+$106	05-17 16:59
bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	4	$315	1,004	0	+1,004	Up	-$315	06-11 17:48
bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	7	$315	2,273	2,273	+0	Down	-$266	06-04 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	9	$313	450	300	+150	Down	+$137	09-04 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x73bd6a…
10-28 21:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x3ad710…
10-28 21:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9438b2…
10-28 19:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	51	36¢	$19	0x237dc8…
10-28 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x92bfb4…
10-28 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x772978…
10-28 19:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x81ac63…
10-28 19:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xef5085…
10-28 19:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0xd06a91…
10-28 18:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xa8704c…
10-28 18:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xf615c0…
10-28 18:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x8c4763…
10-28 18:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0xc0e9f2…
10-28 18:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x8668b2…
10-28 18:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8cdb04…
10-28 18:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xd22ab8…
10-28 18:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x7f63c6…
10-28 18:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xb712cc…
10-28 18:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3c1b63…
10-28 18:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8b736d…
10-28 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xfe3a2c…
10-28 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xb7b485…
10-28 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x731f16…
10-28 18:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x5677da…
10-28 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7682f2…
10-28 18:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x410b54…
10-28 18:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xf00bd1…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf5b3ca…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xea9c79…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc8e26f…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xc2bf1a…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbc64d9…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x9e0ea4…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x5dd518…
10-28 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x172ad0…
10-28 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xc7d420…
10-28 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa6e6e3…
10-28 18:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x6d72ce…
10-28 18:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xfc6aed…
10-28 18:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xc415af…
10-28 18:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x8aeaa8…
10-28 18:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x32cea1…
10-28 18:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xf68670…
10-28 18:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xbd0dd3…
10-28 17:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0xa34748…
10-28 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfafeaf…
10-28 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe775b7…
10-28 17:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6c29aa…
10-28 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x7ac389…
10-28 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x135986…
10-28 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x1242a2…
10-28 17:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x1ff93a…
10-28 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x9ade93…
10-28 17:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x1ffd3c…
10-28 17:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb17d14…
10-28 17:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1b94c8…
10-28 17:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x07f0bb…
10-28 17:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x653e81…
10-28 17:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x93d413…
10-28 17:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x07dfe2…
10-28 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdba656…
10-28 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb7f616…
10-28 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x480fef…
10-28 17:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x20317c…
10-28 17:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2922f8…
10-28 17:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa2b98f…
10-28 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf4c36e…
10-28 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x4bf29b…
10-28 17:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	30¢	$15	0x1f8415…
10-28 17:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6a8565…
10-28 17:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe3d966…
10-28 17:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xc54801…
10-28 17:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfd37f1…
10-28 17:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	28¢	$6	0x938b1f…
10-28 17:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x8b21a0…
10-28 17:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xe4cbb8…
10-28 16:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0xc1cd0c…
10-28 16:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0xb390fc…
10-28 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x5ac0e9…
10-28 16:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x86525f…
10-28 16:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x08ff2c…
10-28 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xe3f340…
10-28 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xaf092c…
10-28 16:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa2b0f5…
10-28 16:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x5f0793…
10-28 16:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x28aa93…
10-28 16:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x9183a0…
10-28 16:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x20dbb9…
10-28 16:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x77cd05…
10-28 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0xb34693…
10-28 15:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xf07d13…
10-28 15:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xa857d6…
10-28 15:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x105e22…
10-28 15:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xb3327d…
10-28 15:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x87c251…
10-28 15:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0x871966…
10-28 14:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xbc8414…
10-28 14:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x27d9fd…
10-28 14:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xba421e…
10-28 14:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7a31b4…