Creamy-Brace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.55K

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

27.1%

Resolved

3,217

Trades

7,215

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-28 04:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Other

53% 30% +$321

Crypto

47% 9% +$1,238

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 1106 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+105	$20	6¢	$7	-$13	10-18 20:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 21?	12	$197	198	198	+0	No	-$4	08-21 10:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?	8	$186	220	100	+120	Yes	-$37	08-17 07:35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20?	16	$184	300	100	+200	Yes	-$4	08-20 04:24
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 20?	7	$176	265	265	+0	Yes	-$74	08-19 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	12	$164	233	133	+100	Yes	-$6	08-17 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 19?	7	$133	102	102	+0	No	+$25	08-19 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 21?	8	$127	111	111	+0	No	-$7	08-21 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?	21	$126	117	113	+4	Yes	-$12	08-20 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?	18	$124	281	0	+281	No	-$4	08-19 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 19?	23	$124	223	0	+223	No	-$121	08-19 06:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?	5	$124	200	0	+200	Yes	-$24	08-20 19:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?	4	$115	79	79	+0	Yes	+$41	06-08 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 19?	16	$109	137	81	+56	No	-$15	08-19 17:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 18?	16	$106	192	80	+112	Yes	-$6	08-18 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 11?	2	$99	109	0	+109	Yes	+$10	09-11 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 17?	4	$92	96	96	+0	Yes	-$1	08-16 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 20?	8	$91	166	37	+129	Yes	-$5	08-20 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?	7	$88	106	94	+13	No	-$1	08-20 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20?	9	$86	100	100	+0	No	-$26	08-20 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 20?	8	$85	132	124	+8	No	+$1	08-19 21:51
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 21?	15	$83	112	85	+27	No	+$0	08-21 02:19
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 17?	4	$78	142	0	+142	No	-$57	08-17 06:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	3	$77	100	100	+0	No	-$1	08-20 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 26?	5	$74	104	42	+61	No	-$48	05-26 07:02
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?	3	$74	87	54	+34	Yes	+$8	06-08 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 17?	5	$74	118	118	+0	No	-$4	08-16 23:07
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 20?	6	$72	124	30	+94	No	-$2	08-19 22:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?	2	$71	100	100	+0	Yes	-$9	08-19 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 18?	11	$69	103	9	+94	No	+$37	08-18 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 20?	7	$67	133	0	+133	Yes	+$26	08-20 04:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0xbec2fe…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xeb40a9…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xdde994…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	87	5¢	$4	0xdd02cf…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd65115…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd1993c…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x9547ad…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8f0436…
10-28 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x857550…
10-28 05:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xeebb16…
10-28 05:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x88d332…
10-28 05:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1d7dd9…
10-28 04:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe5ca7a…
10-28 04:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x9938de…
10-28 04:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	151	9¢	$14	0x460663…
10-28 03:41:51	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x932c17…
10-28 03:41:39	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x6a7190…
10-28 03:41:36	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xcbbca8…
10-28 03:41:36	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x768f02…
10-28 03:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	151	4¢	$6	0x861c64…
10-28 02:44:48	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x89a45e…
10-28 01:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xc969c9…
10-28 01:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x2363d1…
10-28 01:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	6¢	$6	0x0e75ff…
10-28 01:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	151	6¢	$9	0x0297b0…
10-28 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0xd2c62a…
10-28 00:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x5249a3…
10-28 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0xffa9b3…
10-28 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb7bffb…
10-28 00:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x46e00b…
10-28 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xe2b315…
10-28 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xbd67b3…
10-28 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xa4b196…
10-28 00:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x0d5291…
10-28 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe87d47…
10-28 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xdd9ac8…
10-28 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc25c3a…
10-28 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x40b49f…
10-28 00:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x026f22…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd50cfd…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xc5b8f3…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4a9f68…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x46cfe8…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x452a24…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1923e2…
10-28 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x117992…
10-28 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	126	3¢	$4	0x9f726b…
10-28 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x005123…
10-27 23:29:38	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	151	8¢	$12	0x48a3ad…
10-27 22:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	151	3¢	$5	0x75df4f…
10-27 21:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf00808…
10-27 21:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x9f8a80…
10-27 21:32:56	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x314e17…
10-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0xfc7f9a…
10-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x51d4a8…
10-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x2bf2da…
10-27 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x1afb13…
10-27 21:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xf31ea3…
10-27 21:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x55e866…
10-27 21:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x27c4e1…
10-27 21:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	151	9¢	$14	0x2982f2…
10-27 20:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x94de2a…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xfe9c1f…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf4fbc5…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xe4ebba…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd630a8…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xd2f9de…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x80e8f3…
10-27 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x7b44e9…
10-27 20:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xd39056…
10-27 20:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb8ecd5…
10-27 20:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x409adc…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xff5322…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xfd5e7e…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xdeade1…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	9¢	$2	0xae3779…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x7acda1…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x6585c1…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x4787af…
10-27 20:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x2e1ef5…
10-27 20:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	151	4¢	$6	0x70ab92…
10-27 19:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xbb3ced…
10-27 19:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x1b2e5a…
10-27 19:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x016cb4…
10-27 18:59:48	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	126	12¢	$15	0x710ab5…
10-27 18:59:48	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x257cd3…
10-27 18:59:47	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x346833…
10-27 18:59:47	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x0c3b95…
10-27 18:59:42	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb79a0c…
10-27 18:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x381e7d…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x91e266…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	12¢	$7	0x78dacb…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x4ee8a4…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1ebe96…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x1cb08d…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x05b8d2…
10-27 18:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x057131…
10-27 18:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf84d0a…
10-27 18:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8e76b0…
10-27 18:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x84b732…