Insecure-Catalyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

11,160

Trades

57,344

lifetime

Volume

$34.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$597

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 10-31 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% -$23,142

Crypto

12% 100% -$9,807

Sports

9% 100% -$3,890

Politics

2% 100% +$602

Tech

0% 100% +$84

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 726 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$159.5K	80,000	80,000	+0	No	+$160	06-03 23:53
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	2	$125.3K	41,816	83,631	-41,816	Over	-$42	05-19 03:16
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$106.4K	106,502	0	+106,502	Yes	+$107	05-01 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:20 UTC	4	$104.1K	104,164	0	+104,164	Up	+$104	04-06 01:26
Spurs vs. Thunder	97	$97.5K	97,570	0	+97,570	Spurs	+$98	05-19 03:45
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	59	$96.1K	47,816	48,400	-584	Usyk	-$1	05-23 23:48
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	2	$95.8K	95,858	0	+95,858	Knicks	+$96	04-10 01:58
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner	42	$93.7K	93,805	0	+93,805	Team Falcons	+$94	05-21 15:13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	66	$92.7K	92,826	0	+92,826	Nongshim Red Force	+$93	05-23 12:33
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	80	$88.7K	88,828	0	+88,828	Natus Vincere	+$89	04-25 18:34
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)	10	$87.4K	87,450	0	+87,450	Colorado Rockies	+$87	05-14 01:44
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	38	$87.3K	87,432	0	+87,432	Dplus KIA	+$87	05-13 10:33
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	1	$86.1K	86,157	0	+86,157	No	+$86	06-14 22:05
lol hle1 ns 2026 04 22	160	$78.3K	78,394	0	+78,394	Hanwha Life Esports	+$78	04-22 12:56
lol gen dk 2026 07 18 game1	86	$78.2K	78,321	0	+78,321	Dplus KIA	+$78	07-18 15:17
cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	1	$78.1K	78,184	0	+78,184	Team Falcons	+$78	06-20 20:55
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	70	$77.6K	77,680	0	+77,680	Diego Lopes	+$78	06-15 01:31
cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	1	$76.5K	76,594	0	+76,594	Team Falcons	+$77	06-19 23:51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp	72	$75.7K	75,768	0	+75,768	Karen Khachanov	+$76	05-10 18:46
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	177	$75.7K	75,737	0	+75,737	Spurs	+$76	06-09 03:32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	67	$75.5K	75,538	0	+75,538	Anyone's Legend	+$76	05-21 11:08
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	19	$75.1K	75,149	0	+75,149	Rockets	+$75	04-08 05:33
lol bro2 ns 2026 04 19	54	$74.7K	74,757	0	+74,757	Nongshim Red Force	+$75	04-19 10:45
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner	86	$73.4K	73,440	0	+73,440	KT Rolster	+$73	05-14 11:16
dota2 vg ts8 2026 07 09 game1	54	$72.3K	72,323	0	+72,323	Team Spirit	+$72	07-09 18:26
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	33	$71.3K	71,359	0	+71,359	Kiwoom DRX	+$71	05-02 16:30
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals	24	$70.7K	70,724	0	+70,724	Rajasthan Royals	+$71	04-22 17:37
lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	14	$69.9K	69,977	0	+69,977	Team Secret Whales	+$70	07-05 06:55
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	125	$68.0K	68,025	0	+68,025	Yes	+$68	06-24 00:57
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	9	$66.8K	66,827	0	+66,827	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$67	04-30 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 02:36:21	Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0x0952ed…
10-31 02:31:15	Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x33b5ea…
10-31 02:30:00	Spread: Timberwolves (-19.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x380ee6…
10-31 02:23:22	Spread: Timberwolves (-21.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e19e6…
10-31 02:21:40	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	326	100¢	$325	0xcc39eb…
10-31 02:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x14bff4…
10-31 02:13:19	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa88d73…
10-31 01:53:48	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	7,983	100¢	$7,975	0x9fa044…
10-31 01:41:21	AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x305883…
10-31 01:39:25	AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfbcf5b…
10-31 01:35:54	AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x27be04…
10-31 01:35:52	AJ Dybantsa: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xbf36da…
10-30 23:31:34	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x700be8…
10-30 22:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1,213	100¢	$1,212	0x5cc93a…
10-30 22:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf6b68…
10-30 21:51:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4b66b…
10-30 21:45:40	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	3,191	100¢	$3,188	0x2641b9…
10-30 21:41:19	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc08630…
10-30 21:01:39	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	340	100¢	$339	0x16379b…
10-30 21:00:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc9686f…
10-30 20:58:51	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x3cb313…
10-30 20:58:03	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	999	100¢	$998	0x64ff8c…
10-30 20:57:42	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	432	100¢	$431	0xe4ba00…
10-30 20:57:22	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x93cff5…
10-30 20:56:55	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x400172…
10-30 20:56:52	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Metizport (BO3) - Circuito Retake Group D	Metizport	BUY	964	100¢	$963	0x1f22bb…
10-30 20:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf0b8bc…
10-30 20:10:57	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcdbff4…
10-30 20:01:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd1c089…
10-30 19:31:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xe5b1ed…
10-30 19:00:21	M25 Las Vegas, NV: William Jansen vs Nikita Filin	Nikita Filin	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xe7f354…
10-30 17:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ccba2…
10-30 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9a1ce…
10-30 17:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x949602…
10-30 17:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd66f59…
10-30 17:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x257c04…
10-30 17:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6148f5…
10-30 17:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x8b30bc…
10-30 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x841527…
10-30 16:35:37	Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)	Team Liquid	BUY	1,140	100¢	$1,139	0x97c509…
10-30 15:52:39	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	naocopulas	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb77c48…
10-30 15:31:18	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	naocopulas	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99752b…
10-30 15:28:43	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	naocopulas	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xb9a766…
10-30 15:21:49	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	naocopulas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f9efd…
10-30 15:20:48	Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs naocopulas (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B	naocopulas	BUY	755	100¢	$754	0xdc21e2…
10-30 15:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,729	100¢	$1,728	0xc88be4…
10-30 15:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x98c9ee…
10-30 14:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd22141…
10-30 14:28:15	Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6a2120…
10-30 14:27:24	Aksu vs. Akugue: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xfb05f0…
10-30 14:26:48	Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x00887d…
10-30 14:11:42	Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	447	100¢	$446	0x1ae704…
10-30 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa90ff9…
10-30 14:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4534f2…
10-30 14:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe45484…
10-30 14:06:55	Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x436882…
10-30 14:06:22	Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	359	100¢	$359	0x116453…
10-30 13:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5c28a…
10-30 13:30:13	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b9326…
10-30 13:17:42	Brest (Doubles): Balaji/King vs Kittay/Yuzuki	Balaji/King	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0xb44aaa…
10-30 12:58:31	Brest (Doubles): Balaji/King vs Kittay/Yuzuki	Balaji/King	BUY	404	100¢	$404	0x265bac…
10-30 12:30:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0xe29263…
10-30 12:11:30	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27ea41…
10-30 12:11:22	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9d4fcc…
10-30 11:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x7feb07…
10-30 11:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2566f1…
10-30 10:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x628525…
10-30 10:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d6a07…
10-30 10:10:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x529c39…
10-30 10:10:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x050725…
10-30 09:45:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x330335…
10-30 09:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	345	100¢	$345	0x0ebd59…
10-30 08:35:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4f478b…
10-30 08:15:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa608d8…
10-30 07:31:28	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xafe99b…
10-30 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc9f548…
10-30 06:25:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x246d30…
10-30 06:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	430	100¢	$430	0xf1cd13…
10-30 06:11:37	Pan Pacific Open (Doubles): Muhammad/Zhang vs Errani/Paolini	Errani/Paolini	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd3213b…
10-30 05:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5314e…
10-30 04:56:27	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c1778…
10-30 04:45:22	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4703c3…
10-30 04:31:15	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x396839…
10-30 04:31:01	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x06cdb6…
10-30 04:30:39	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5	Over	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xeb254c…
10-30 04:29:30	Spread: Grizzlies (-14.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb1d6e…
10-30 04:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0xe7d9f6…
10-30 04:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,470	100¢	$1,469	0x36215b…
10-30 04:25:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc554a4…
10-30 04:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7780e1…
10-30 02:45:13	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdef203…
10-30 02:45:06	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x089890…
10-30 02:37:22	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe28d8c…
10-30 02:37:22	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x887081…
10-30 02:37:22	Cavaliers vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4cb997…
10-30 02:06:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x694f1d…
10-30 02:05:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90b83b…
10-30 01:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3cf2d5…
10-30 01:25:28	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x029540…
10-30 00:45:28	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e30ef…